Union De Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Apr 2025

Tip-off: 23:05

Final 77-83

19-24 19-31 20-10 19-18

Position#11

Record17-18

FormWLWLL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game85.5

Union De Santa Fe

Boca Juniors 🏆

Position#1

Record23-7

FormWWLWW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game75.2

Liga A· Estadio Ángel Malvicino

Other2024-25

Meetings · Union De Santa Fe v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Union De Santa Fe winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Union De Santa Fe Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFe

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#15

95-87

86avg 76

A08/03

Liga A

Riachuelo

87-92

-5

82avg 76

A10/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

79-74

73avg 76

H17/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

88-89

-1

86avg 76

H20/03

Liga A

Atenas

#13

75-85

-10

60avg 76

A24/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#17

105-100

105

100

100avg 76

A26/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

93-104

104

-11

92avg 76

A28/03

Liga A

Regatas

84-76

81avg 76

H01/04

Liga A

Ferro

85-89

-4

76avg 76

H10/04

Liga A

Obera TC

80-96

-16

72avg 76

A13/04

Liga A

21-21

22-12

21-21

31-33

20-24

18-21

28-25

21-22

19-11

21-25

21-24

18-14

22-24

20-14

23-22

23-29

17-28

23-23

16-15

19-19

28-31

21-18

28-25

28-26

26-28

25-22

15-24

27-30

24-20

21-13

16-20

23-23

19-21

23-18

22-22

21-28

14-28

26-16

15-25

25-27

176.3Avg total

87.1Scored

89.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	81.9	85.5	167.5	-3.6	49%
Season at home (16)	83.6	81.7	165.3	+1.9	75%
Season away (19)	80.5	88.8	169.3	-8.3	26%
Last 10 (10)	87.1	89.2	176.3	-2.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	93.0	182.4	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	78.5	84.9	163.3	-6.4	33%
vs Similar (12)	86.8	89.6	176.4	-2.8	50%
vs Weaker (3)	86.3	83.0	169.3	+3.3	67%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJuniors

Date

Competition

Penarol

#12

72-64

66avg 75

A21/03

Liga A

Quimsa

72-76

-4

66avg 75

H26/03

Liga A

Riachuelo

84-77

82avg 75

H29/03

Liga A

Zarate

#19

73-72

68avg 75

A02/04

Liga A

Atenas

#13

82-57

+25

82avg 75

H05/04

Liga A

Obera TC

87-77

+10

89avg 75

H09/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

80-73

74avg 75

H18/04

Champions League Americas

Flamengo

57-83

-26

46avg 75

A20/04

Champions League Americas

Gimnasia

73-62

+11

69avg 75

H23/04

Liga A

Olimpico

#15

84-76

78avg 75

H25/04

Liga A

21-14

11-19

20-22

20-9

17-23

21-21

12-26

22-6

20-20

17-16

24-18

23-23

23-18

22-15

15-19

13-20

20-14

28-17

14-13

20-13

24-22

27-17

17-24

19-14

19-19

15-15

19-13

27-26

13-30

16-19

16-11

12-23

17-18

23-13

13-20

20-11

15-20

17-16

27-16

25-24

148.1Avg total

76.4Scored

71.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	80.8	75.2	156.0	+5.5	77%
Season at home (16)	82.2	72.4	154.6	+9.9	88%
Season away (14)	79.1	78.5	157.6	+0.6	64%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	71.7	148.1	+4.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	74.2	150.4	+2.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	70.8	80.0	150.8	-9.2	25%
vs Similar (7)	81.1	76.3	157.4	+4.9	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	84.3	74.0	158.3	+10.3	83%

This opponent (Union De Santa Fe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Union De Santa FeBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.7	43.7	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	24.3	45.1	-3.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	25.6	47.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.5	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.1	23.4	45.5	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.7	23.3	48.0	+1.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	23.5	43.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.6	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	20.2	41.2	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.4	40.6	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.2	19.2	42.4	+3.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.7	19.0	44.7	+6.7	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	17.3	39.4	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	20.6	39.4	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.8	36.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.0	35.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.3	18.3	39.6	+2.9	61%	-

Union De Santa FeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#15

43-33

+10

A08/03

Liga A

Riachuelo

38-45

-7

A10/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

40-36

H17/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

42-38

H20/03

Liga A

Atenas

#13

40-51

-11

A24/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#17

49-49

A26/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

51-50

A28/03

Liga A

Regatas

45-33

+12

H01/04

Liga A

Ferro

42-39

H10/04

Liga A

Obera TC

40-44

-4

A13/04

Liga A

84.8Avg total

43.0Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	42.3	84.0	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.8	39.6	81.4	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	44.6	86.3	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	41.8	84.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	43.0	88.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.3	41.9	79.2	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	45.2	42.7	87.9	+2.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	50.3	42.3	92.7	+8.0	67%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#12

32-33

-1

A21/03

Liga A

Quimsa

38-44

-6

H26/03

Liga A

Riachuelo

37-36

H29/03

Liga A

Zarate

#19

45-33

+12

A02/04

Liga A

Atenas

#13

48-31

+17

H05/04

Liga A

Obera TC

51-39

+12

H09/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

34-34

H18/04

Champions League Americas

Flamengo

29-49

-20

A20/04

Champions League Americas

Gimnasia

40-31

H23/04

Liga A

Olimpico

#15

32-36

-4

H25/04

Liga A

75.2Avg total

38.6Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	38.5	80.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.7	36.8	80.5	+6.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	40.4	79.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	36.6	75.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	37.8	75.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.8	42.8	81.5	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.3	39.6	79.9	+0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.9	37.4	80.3	+5.5	67%	-

This opponent (Union De Santa Fe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.3	42.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.2	42.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.1	22.3	41.4	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	15.7	22.3	38.0	-6.7	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	17.8	38.9	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	17.9	35.6	-0.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.2	35.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.8	35.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	16.0	33.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.6	16.8	37.3	+3.8	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.7	44.3	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	24.1	45.6	-2.5	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	25.1	48.7	-1.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	26.8	51.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.5	53%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.2	26.5	47.7	-5.3	8%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	18.3	38.7	+2.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	17.8	37.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	16.9	37.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.2	21.2	35.5	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	14.4	35.9	+7.0	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	44.1	84.7	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	42.4	83.9	-0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	45.6	85.4	-5.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	47.4	91.5	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	50.0	94.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	41.2	42.9	84.1	-1.7	53%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.2	46.3	87.5	-5.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.0	40.7	76.7	-4.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	36.5	76.4	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	37.2	79.6	+5.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	35.6	72.8	+1.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	35.1	72.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	36.4	75.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.0	37.2	69.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.4	35.0	74.4	+4.4	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	41.4	36.6	78.1	+4.8	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Union De Santa Fetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 80.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.1	17.3	55.6%	53.8%	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	11.1	39.5%	32.9%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	18.1	12.4	68.5%	71.7%	12.4

They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	19.0	47.6%	53.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	7.8	33.8%	32.9%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	15.3	10.7	69.9%	71.7%	10.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.6	17.2	54.3%	53.8%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	10.1	35.4%	32.9%	30.4
🏀 Free throws	16.4	11.9	72.4%	71.7%	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	18.4	47.8%	53.8%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	7.8	31.6%	32.9%	23.3
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.2	73.0%	71.7%	12.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Union De Santa Fe wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
15/10/24	Boca Juniors v Union De Santa Fe	99-72
20/04/24	Boca Juniors v Union De Santa Fe	95-79
09/01/24	Union De Santa Fe v Boca Juniors	90-88 OT
13/04/23	Boca Juniors v Union De Santa Fe	92-71
19/03/23	Union De Santa Fe v Boca Juniors	84-86
10/01/22	Union De Santa Fe v Boca Juniors	67-90
22/12/21	Boca Juniors v Union De Santa Fe	94-74
12/10/21	Boca Juniors v Union De Santa Fe	68-64

Union De Santa Felast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/04/25	A	Obera TC	80-96
10/04/25	H	Ferro	85-89
01/04/25	H	Regatas	84-76
28/03/25	A	Instituto de Cordoba	93-104
26/03/25	A	Independiente de Oliva	105-100
24/03/25	A	Atenas	75-85
20/03/25	H	Gimnasia	88-89
17/03/25	H	San Martin	79-74
10/03/25	A	Riachuelo	87-92
08/03/25	A	Olimpico	95-87

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/04/25	H	Olimpico	84-76
23/04/25	H	Gimnasia	73-62
20/04/25	A	Flamengo	57-83
18/04/25	H	Instituto de Cordoba	80-73
09/04/25	H	Obera TC	87-77
05/04/25	H	Atenas	82-57
02/04/25	A	Zarate	73-72
29/03/25	H	Riachuelo	84-77
26/03/25	H	Quimsa	72-76
21/03/25	A	Penarol	72-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Union De Santa Fe

Liga A 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	49%
Home	WWLWL	75%
Away	LLWLL	26%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	16	19
Win %	49%	75%	26%
Points / game	81.9	83.6	80.5
Allowed / game	85.5	81.7	88.8
Point differential	-3.6	+1.9	-8.3
Avg total	167.5	165.3	169.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	3%	6%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	73% (15)	78% (9)	67% (6)
Overtime %	3%	0%	5%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	77%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	WWLWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	16	14
Win %	77%	88%	64%
Points / game	80.8	82.2	79.1
Allowed / game	75.2	72.4	78.5
Point differential	+5.5	+9.9	+0.6
Avg total	156.0	154.6	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	44%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (14)	67% (6)	62% (8)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Boca Juniors	30	23	7	77%	80.8	75.2	+5.5
2	Instituto de Cordoba	30	21	9	70%	81.0	72.1	+8.9
3	Quimsa	35	23	12	66%	86.5	77.8	+8.7
4	Riachuelo	32	21	11	66%	82.4	76.8	+5.6
5	Obera TC	33	21	12	64%	81.6	77.5	+4.0
6	Obras Sanitarias	34	21	13	62%	82.6	79.9	+2.8
7	Gimnasia	32	18	14	56%	82.5	78.4	+4.2
8	Regatas	33	18	15	55%	79.4	79.0	+0.4
9	Atenas	34	17	17	50%	78.8	79.4	-0.6
10	San Martin	37	18	19	49%	74.5	73.4	+1.1
11	Union De Santa Fe	35	17	18	49%	81.9	85.5	-3.6
12	Ferro	34	16	18	47%	81.5	83.4	-1.9
13	Penarol	33	15	18	45%	79.9	78.5	+1.5
14	Olimpico	33	15	18	45%	80.3	82.9	-2.7
15	San Lorenzo	33	15	18	45%	76.8	79.5	-2.8
16	Independiente de Oliva	34	14	20	41%	86.0	87.7	-1.7
17	Platense	36	14	22	39%	79.1	81.9	-2.9
18	La Union	33	11	22	33%	83.0	85.9	-2.9
19	Zarate	34	10	24	29%	73.4	82.8	-9.4
20	Argentino	33	6	27	18%	72.2	84.6	-12.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Union De Santa Fe	19	19	20	19	77
Boca Juniors	24	31	10	18	83

← all games of the day

Union De Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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