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Penarol vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:05
Final 64-72
14-21 19-11 22-20 9-20
Position#12
Record13-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#1
Record16-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game77.1
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v Boca Juniors
10 Dec 2026
PENA v BOCA
upcoming
06 Nov 2025
PENA89
BOCA78
21 Mar 2025
PENA64
BOCA72
15 Oct 2023
PENA72
BOCA92
28 Apr 2023
PENA110
BOCA114
23 Nov 2022
PENA86
BOCA81
01 May 2022
PENA80
BOCA81
29 Apr 2022
PENA70
BOCA81
02 Feb 2022
PENA68
BOCA71
25 Sep 2021
PENA77
BOCA86
19 Jan 2021
PENA74
BOCA80
29 Apr 2020
PENA v BOCA
upcoming
08 Oct 2019
PENA85
BOCA65
21 Apr 2019
PENA82
BOCA63
10 Feb 2018
PENA79
BOCA71
27 Feb 2017
PENA89
BOCA71
29 Sep 2016
PENA90
BOCA65
29 Jan 2016
PENA91
BOCA86
01 Oct 2015
PENA86
BOCA80
15 Apr 2015
PENA67
BOCA75
05 Dec 2014
PENA66
BOCA86
10 May 2014
PENA81
BOCA67
08 May 2014
PENA81
BOCA79
15 Dec 2013
PENA78
BOCA71
22 Nov 2013
PENA91
BOCA81
18 Jan 2013
PENA97
BOCA78
13 Sep 2012
PENA58
BOCA70
20 Jan 2012
PENA81
BOCA69
13 Nov 2011
PENA93
BOCA88
07 Jan 2011
PENA68
BOCA73
03 Dec 2010
PENA120
BOCA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Riachuelo
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
54avg 69
A22/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 69
A24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
W
84-79
84
79
+5
77avg 69
A25/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
70avg 69
H04/02
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
94-62
94
62
+32
93avg 69
H06/02
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
81-66
81
66
+15
74avg 69
H09/02
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
55-76
55
76
-21
43avg 69
A06/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
48avg 69
A08/03
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 69
A10/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
90-58
90
58
+32
93avg 69
H13/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
21-16
12-29
20-18
27-17
21-18
13-22
11-21
15-23
17-21
28-16
24-19
17-24
18-24
24-17
21-17
35-18
10-19
25-12
24-13
24-22
22-14
16-13
19-17
10-16
15-26
18-17
12-17
19-24
12-22
22-20
11-18
25-19
20-24
27-11
19-19
27-14
15-16
29-9
19-19
152.3Avg total
78.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.278.5159.7+2.852%
Season at home (11)86.174.5160.5+11.673%
Season away (14)77.481.6159.1-4.236%
Last 10 (10)78.274.1152.3+4.150%
Last 5 (5)76.271.4147.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.377.7147.0-8.350%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.179.6156.7-2.536%
vs Weaker (13)84.577.5162.0+7.162%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
79-77
79
77
+2
68avg 75
A29/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 75
H01/02
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
W
96-71
96
71
+25
97avg 75
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
114-70
114
70
+44
120avg 75
H12/02
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#14
L
75-76
75
76
-1
58avg 75
H15/02
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
66avg 75
H28/02
Liga A
Real Esteli
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
84avg 75
H11/03
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
89-97
89
97
-8
90avg 75
A15/03
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
72-58
72
58
+14
68avg 75
A16/03
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
82avg 75
A19/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
21-16
22-6
19-31
27-18
19-22
18-14
19-25
24-17
32-15
28-12
12-27
30-13
21-21
33-16
30-20
16-21
21-20
17-12
21-23
22-23
23-16
20-21
15-17
18-21
17-18
35-19
23-21
21-24
27-22
20-23
21-28
24-13
16-19
19-14
13-12
21-18
23-28
13-22
23-12
164.7Avg total
87.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.677.1158.7+4.573%
Season at home (10)83.473.3156.7+10.190%
Season away (12)80.280.2160.4-0.158%
Last 10 (10)87.177.6164.7+9.570%
Last 5 (5)84.880.6165.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.379.0154.3-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.078.0158.0+2.078%
vs Weaker (17)85.376.6161.9+8.771%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
PenarolBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Riachuelo
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A25/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H04/02
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H06/02
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H09/02
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A06/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/03
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A10/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H13/03
Liga A
78.5Avg total
38.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.180.6-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.239.580.7+1.662%-
Last 30 away (17)38.242.280.5-4.041%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.778.5-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.477.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.542.075.5-8.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.540.479.8-0.955%-
vs Weaker (13)42.341.283.5+1.162%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A29/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H01/02
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H12/02
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H15/02
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H28/02
Liga A
Real Esteli
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/03
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A15/03
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/03
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/03
Liga A
82.9Avg total
44.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.081.1+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.635.379.9+9.377%-
Last 30 away (17)40.141.881.9-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.982.9+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.482.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.040.782.7+1.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.739.077.7-0.344%-
vs Weaker (17)43.939.182.9+4.871%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.918.5
58.0%
53.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.8
40.1%
32.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
71.7%13.0
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Penarol wins
8
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24Boca Juniors v Penarol83-81
30/04/24Boca Juniors v Penarol87-83
15/10/23Penarol v Boca Juniors72-92
29/04/23Penarol v Boca Juniors110-114 OT
26/04/23Boca Juniors v Penarol98-84
23/04/23Boca Juniors v Penarol94-78
16/04/23Boca Juniors v Penarol92-82
24/11/22Penarol v Boca Juniors86-81
08/05/22Boca Juniors v Penarol86-77
05/05/22Boca Juniors v Penarol68-75
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HOlimpico90-58
10/03/25ALa Union91-73
08/03/25ARegatas64-84
06/03/25ASan Martin55-76
09/02/25HAtenas81-66
06/02/25HArgentino94-62
04/02/25HUnion De Santa Fe80-82
25/01/25AQuimsa84-79
24/01/25AOlimpico72-78
22/01/25ARiachuelo71-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25AObras Sanitarias90-92 OT
16/03/25AReal Esteli72-58
15/03/25AReal Esteli89-97
11/03/25HReal Esteli93-79
28/02/25HFerro80-77
15/02/25HSan Lorenzo75-76
12/02/25HToros del Chiriqui114-70
09/02/25HFlamengo96-71
01/02/25HRegatas83-79
29/01/25AIndependiente de Oliva79-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW52%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %52%73%36%
Points / game81.286.177.4
Allowed / game78.574.581.6
Point differential+2.8+11.6-4.2
Avg total159.7160.5159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%64%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayWLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %73%90%58%
Points / game81.683.480.2
Allowed / game77.173.380.2
Point differential+4.5+10.1-0.1
Avg total158.7156.7160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)80% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Riachuelo2216673%83.776.5+7.2
2 Boca Juniors2216673%81.677.1+4.5
3 Obras Sanitarias2417771%82.978.3+4.6
4 Instituto de Cordoba2316770%80.270.3+10.0
5 Obera TC2415962%82.477.0+5.4
6 Quimsa25151060%84.077.5+6.5
7 Penarol25131252%81.278.5+2.8
8 Regatas27141352%79.579.3+0.2
9 Union De Santa Fe29151452%80.984.3-3.4
10 Gimnasia24121250%81.178.1+3.0
11 Atenas26131350%78.679.2-0.6
12 Ferro24121250%81.783.1-1.5
13 Olimpico26131350%80.282.3-2.1
14 San Martin27131448%74.272.3+1.9
15 San Lorenzo25111444%76.280.2-4.0
16 Independiente de Oliva26101638%83.886.0-2.2
17 La Union2691735%83.487.2-3.8
18 Platense2791833%77.781.9-4.2
19 Zarate2471729%70.680.2-9.6
20 Argentino2652119%72.483.3-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol141922964
Boca Juniors2111202072
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