PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga Uruguaya· Urunday Universitario
Urunday will host Union Atletica in the Liga Uruguaya on 16 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 72% versus 28% for the visitors and projecting a 85-79 win for Urunday; the spread of -4.5 gives a 59% chance the home team will cover, while the over/under line of 163.5 has a 50% probability of exceeding the total, and a 5% chance of overtime. Urunday's season record of 2-5 shows 77.9 points per game scored and 79.7 allowed, with a 2-2 home record of 82.5 points scored and 81.2 allowed; the last five games yielded two wins and three losses, including a recent 70-64 victory over Malvin at home and a 67-74 loss to Nacional away. Union Atletica, 1-6 overall, averages 78.3 points scored and 85.9 allowed, and has a 1-3 road record of 79.0 points scored and 84.2 allowed; the last five outings were all defeats, most recently a 76-96 loss to Hebraica y Macabi away. Their head-to-head history is even at 2-2, with Urunday's last win in the series coming 89-75 on 17 March 2026. The projected total of 163.9 points suggests a tightly contested game that will likely stay within the 163.5 line.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 77.9 | 79.7 | 157.6 | -1.9 | 29% |
| Season at home (4) | 82.5 | 81.2 | 163.8 | +1.2 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 71.7 | 77.7 | 149.3 | -6.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.2 | 84.3 | 160.5 | -8.1 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.8 | 77.4 | 155.2 | +0.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 78.0 | 92.7 | 170.7 | -14.7 | 11% |
| vs Similar (14) | 79.5 | 80.4 | 159.9 | -0.9 | 29% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 102.6 | 78.4 | 181.0 | +24.1 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 78.3 | 85.9 | 164.1 | -7.6 | 14% |
| Season at home (3) | 77.3 | 88.0 | 165.3 | -10.7 | 0% |
| Season away (4) | 79.0 | 84.2 | 163.2 | -5.2 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.4 | 84.2 | 163.6 | -4.8 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.2 | 91.4 | 169.6 | -13.2 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 79.8 | 86.2 | 166.0 | -6.4 | 22% |
| vs Similar (12) | 80.1 | 83.5 | 163.6 | -3.4 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 85.8 | 79.9 | 165.7 | +5.9 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.3 | 41.2 | 85.5 | +3.0 | 63% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 46.6 | 40.8 | 87.4 | +5.8 | 81% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 41.6 | 41.7 | 83.4 | -0.1 | 43% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.0 | 40.9 | 80.9 | -0.9 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.6 | 35.4 | 77.0 | +6.2 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 42.4 | 44.7 | 87.1 | -2.2 | 44% | 67% |
| vs Similar (14) | 40.6 | 40.4 | 80.9 | +0.2 | 57% | 36% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 54.0 | 38.6 | 92.6 | +15.4 | 100% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.1 | 42.5 | 84.5 | -0.4 | 40% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 45.4 | 42.1 | 87.5 | +3.3 | 60% | 73% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.7 | 42.9 | 81.6 | -4.1 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.3 | 44.9 | 86.2 | -3.6 | 20% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.0 | 48.0 | 88.0 | -8.0 | 0% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 40.7 | 45.0 | 85.7 | -4.3 | 22% | 56% |
| vs Similar (12) | 40.6 | 42.6 | 83.2 | -2.0 | 33% | 42% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 45.4 | 39.8 | 85.2 | +5.7 | 67% | 78% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urunday win | 72.3% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | +9.0pp |
| Union Atletica under 84.5 | 71.9% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp |
| Urunday over 79.5 | 71.7% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp |
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.4 | 22.7 | 50.3% | 45.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 6.6 | 32.1% | 19.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.4 | 13.2 | 70.5% | 13.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.6 | 19.0 | 50.3% | 38.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.6 | 9.3 | 32.1% | 27.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.0 | 16.3 | 70.5% | 16.3 |
Urunday
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 | Urunday v Union Atletica | 89-75 |
| 04/02/26 | Urunday v Union Atletica | 76-79 |
| 15/11/25 | Union Atletica v Urunday | 77-101 |
| 26/11/16 | Union Atletica v Urunday | 77-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 29% |
| Home | LLWW | 50% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 77.9 | 82.5 | 71.7 |
| Allowed / game | 79.7 | 81.2 | 77.7 |
| Point differential | -1.9 | +1.2 | -6.0 |
| Avg total | 157.6 | 163.8 | 149.3 |
| Over 163.5 | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 14% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | WLLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Points / game | 78.3 | 77.3 | 79.0 |
| Allowed / game | 85.9 | 88.0 | 84.2 |
| Point differential | -7.6 | -10.7 | -5.2 |
| Avg total | 164.1 | 165.3 | 163.2 |
| Over 163.5 | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 91.8 | 73.8 | +18.0 |
| 2 |  Goes | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 95.3 | 84.7 | +10.6 |
| 3 |  Bigua | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 93.0 | 84.9 | +8.1 |
| 4 |  Hebraica y Macabi | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 84.2 | 80.7 | +3.5 |
| 5 |  Defensor | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 80.2 | 78.7 | +1.5 |
| 6 |  Aguada | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.4 | 77.6 | -1.1 |
| 7 |  Malvin | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.9 | 79.9 | -3.0 |
| 8 |  Nacional | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 87.0 | 90.7 | -3.7 |
| 9 | Urunday | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 77.9 | 79.7 | -1.9 |
| 10 | Larranaga | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 85.6 | 89.0 | -3.4 |
| 11 | Union Atletica | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 78.3 | 85.9 | -7.6 |
| 12 |  Atenas | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 72.7 | 91.0 | -18.3 |
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