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USC vs Arizona State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 68-65
29-20 39-45
Position#73
Record21-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game67.0
USC 🏆
USA
vs
Arizona State
USA
Position#90
Record20-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · USC v Arizona State
07 Mar 2024
USC81
ARIZ73
09 Mar 2023
USC72
ARIZ77
04 Mar 2023
USC68
ARIZ65
24 Jan 2022
USC78
ARIZ56
17 Feb 2021
USC89
ARIZ71
29 Feb 2020
USC71
ARIZ61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#12
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H27/01
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Washington
#212
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A10/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A11/02
NCAA
California
#369
W
97-60
97
60
+37
H17/02
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H19/02
NCAA
Colorado
#192
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A24/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A26/02
NCAA
Arizona
#16
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-37
52-27
–
–
34-27
46-47
27-42
33-36
25-30
33-31
50-23
47-37
41-30
44-45
43-30
41-35
34-28
28-21
31-43
50-44
144.7Avg total
76.4Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.067.0140.0+6.070%
Season at home (18)75.967.1143.0+8.883%
Season away (12)68.666.8135.4+1.850%
Last 10 (10)76.468.3144.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)81.867.2149.0+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.673.0142.6-3.420%
vs Similar ◀ (17)71.666.9138.6+4.776%
vs Weaker (8)77.963.4141.2+14.588%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#212
L
66-69 OT
66
69
-3
A27/01
NCAA
Washington State
#193
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A29/01
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H05/02
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A10/02
NCAA
California
#369
W
70-62 OT
70
62
+8
A12/02
NCAA
Colorado
#192
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H17/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H18/02
NCAA
Arizona
#16
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
20-32
34-22
24-36
34-39
31-35
37-22
30-27
40-48
33-33
36-32
32-30
25-27
32-32
27-35
25-26
42-33
46-45
43-43
32-36
29-43
137.3Avg total
67.7Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.967.6138.5+3.367%
Season at home (16)72.164.8136.9+7.269%
Season away (14)69.670.7140.3-1.164%
Last 10 (10)67.769.6137.3-1.950%
Last 5 (5)69.271.0140.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.073.3141.3-5.350%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.768.0137.7+1.764%
vs Weaker (10)74.363.5137.8+10.880%
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
USCArizona State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#12
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H27/01
NCAA
Washington
#212
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A10/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A11/02
NCAA
California
#369
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H17/02
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Colorado
#192
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A24/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A26/02
NCAA
Arizona
#16
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H03/03
NCAA
66.7Avg total
34.4Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.432.265.6+1.259%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.230.864.9+3.465%-
Last 30 away (12)32.234.266.5-2.050%-
Last 10 (9)34.432.266.7+2.256%-
Last 5 (5)39.830.870.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.440.468.8-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.131.966.1+2.269%-
vs Weaker (8)35.027.662.6+7.475%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#212
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A27/01
NCAA
Washington State
#193
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A29/01
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H03/02
NCAA
Oregon
#140
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Stanford
#260
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A10/02
NCAA
California
#369
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Colorado
#192
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H17/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H18/02
NCAA
Arizona
#16
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/03
NCAA
63.7Avg total
30.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.832.265.0+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.229.663.9+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)31.235.166.4-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)30.533.263.7-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.867.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.036.770.7-2.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.531.864.3+0.750%-
vs Weaker (10)32.630.162.7+2.560%-
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
USC wins
1
Arizona State wins
DateGameScore
22/01/23Arizona State v USC69-77
04/02/22Arizona State v USC53-58
25/01/22USC v Arizona State78-56
18/02/21USC v Arizona State89-71
10/01/21Arizona State v USC64-73
01/03/20USC v Arizona State71-61
09/02/20Arizona State v USC66-64
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HArizona81-87
26/02/23AUtah Utes62-49
24/02/23AColorado84-65
19/02/23HStanford85-75
17/02/23HCalifornia97-60
11/02/23AOregon State58-61
10/02/23AOregon60-78
05/02/23HWashington80-74
03/02/23HWashington State80-70
27/01/23HUCLA77-64
Arizona Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23AUCLA61-79
25/02/23AArizona89-88
18/02/23HUtah Utes67-59
17/02/23HColorado59-67
12/02/23ACalifornia70-62 OT
10/02/23AStanford69-65
05/02/23HOregon70-75
03/02/23HOregon State68-57
29/01/23AWashington State58-75
27/01/23AWashington66-69 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game73.075.968.6
Allowed / game67.067.166.8
Point differential+6.0+8.8+1.8
Avg total140.0143.0135.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Arizona State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeLWLLW69%
AwayLWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %67%69%64%
Points / game70.972.169.6
Allowed / game67.664.870.7
Point differential+3.3+7.2-1.1
Avg total138.5136.9140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)67% (3)75% (8)
Overtime %10%0%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA3127487%74.260.1+14.0
2 Purdue3025583%73.162.2+10.9
3 USC3021970%73.067.0+6.0
4 Illinois30201067%74.766.3+8.5
5 Maryland30201067%70.963.2+7.8
6 Indiana30201067%75.368.3+7.0
7 Northwestern30201067%67.862.6+5.2
8 Iowa30191163%80.774.2+6.5
9 Michigan State30191163%70.667.4+3.3
10 Rutgers30181260%68.760.2+8.5
11 Penn State30181260%72.668.3+4.3
12 Oregon31181358%71.066.7+4.3
13 Michigan30171357%73.969.5+4.4
14 Wisconsin29161355%65.063.7+1.3
15 Washington31161552%69.270.2-1.0
16 Nebraska30151550%67.369.4-2.1
17 Ohio State31131842%73.169.4+3.7
18 Minnesota2882029%62.570.9-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3028293%76.356.2+20.1
2 Arizona3125681%83.171.9+11.2
3 Kansas3125681%75.668.2+7.4
4 Kansas State3123874%75.868.7+7.1
5 Baylor3122971%77.370.0+7.3
6 Arizona State30201067%70.967.6+3.3
7 TCU31201165%75.568.0+7.5
8 Cincinnati30191163%77.369.6+7.7
9 Iowa State30181260%68.562.2+6.3
10 West Virginia31181358%76.771.1+5.6
11 Brigham Young33191458%75.769.7+6.0
12 UCF Knights29161355%71.665.6+6.0
13 Utah Utes31171455%68.963.5+5.3
14 Oklahoma State31171455%69.566.8+2.7
15 Texas Tech31161552%73.768.7+5.0
16 Colorado31161552%69.966.3+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
USC293968
Arizona State204565
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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