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USC vs Arizona State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 81-73
32-32 49-41
Position#249
Record12-17
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game74.8
USC 🏆
USA
vs
Arizona State
USA
Position#267
Record14-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · USC v Arizona State
07 Mar 2024
USC81
ARIZ73
09 Mar 2023
USC72
ARIZ77
04 Mar 2023
USC68
ARIZ65
24 Jan 2022
USC78
ARIZ56
17 Feb 2021
USC89
ARIZ71
29 Feb 2020
USC71
ARIZ61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#219
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H28/01
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H02/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
82-54
82
54
+28
H04/02
NCAA
California
#283
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
68-99
68
99
-31
A11/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
H18/02
NCAA
UCLA
#219
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A25/02
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-37
24-28
39-46
30-32
38-23
44-31
31-42
36-25
26-55
42-44
34-29
34-35
39-33
34-40
34-34
28-22
39-35
33-40
39-38
43-37
146.0Avg total
71.9Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.474.8149.2-0.441%
Season at home (14)77.171.6148.6+5.557%
Season away (15)71.977.9149.8-5.927%
Last 10 (10)71.974.1146.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)74.672.4147.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.277.5150.7-4.418%
vs Similar (18)74.972.6147.5+2.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)67.082.0149.0-15.00%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#284
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A28/01
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H02/02
NCAA
California
#283
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H03/02
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A09/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A11/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H15/02
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
60-105
60
105
-45
A18/02
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
H23/02
NCAA
Washington State
#45
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H25/02
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-44
42-40
33-29
29-42
26-38
40-43
35-44
35-38
40-42
45-35
33-33
46-28
31-49
29-56
24-45
51-30
36-29
37-32
27-41
40-44
150.6Avg total
71.5Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.173.7143.8-3.748%
Season at home (18)70.769.3139.9+1.461%
Season away (11)69.181.0150.1-11.927%
Last 10 (10)71.579.1150.6-7.630%
Last 5 (5)72.279.2151.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.773.3142.0-4.748%
vs Similar (7)74.774.7149.4+0.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (USC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: -8.0-8.02nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: -8.0-8.02nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
USCArizona State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#219
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H28/01
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H04/02
NCAA
California
#283
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A08/02
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
26-55
26
55
-29
A11/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado
#47
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H18/02
NCAA
UCLA
#219
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A25/02
NCAA
Washington State
#45
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A02/03
NCAA
71.7Avg total
34.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.670.4+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.930.767.6+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)34.838.072.8-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)34.537.271.7-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.870.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.535.171.5+1.455%-
vs Similar (18)35.333.869.2+1.556%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#284
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A28/01
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H02/02
NCAA
California
#283
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H03/02
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A09/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A18/02
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H23/02
NCAA
Washington State
#45
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H25/02
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H29/02
NCAA
70.8Avg total
31.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.034.466.4-2.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.132.764.8-0.756%-
Last 30 away (12)31.936.868.8-4.942%-
Last 10 (10)31.439.470.8-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)30.239.469.6-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)31.434.265.7-2.852%-
vs Similar (7)33.934.968.7-1.043%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (USC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
USC wins
3
Arizona State wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Arizona State v USC82-67
10/03/23USC v Arizona State72-77
05/03/23USC v Arizona State68-65
22/01/23Arizona State v USC69-77
04/02/22Arizona State v USC53-58
25/01/22USC v Arizona State78-56
18/02/21USC v Arizona State89-71
10/01/21Arizona State v USC64-73
01/03/20USC v Arizona State71-61
09/02/20Arizona State v USC66-64
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AWashington82-75
01/03/24AWashington State72-75
25/02/24AUCLA62-56
18/02/24HColorado89-92 OT
16/02/24HUtah Utes68-64
11/02/24AStanford68-99
08/02/24ACalifornia77-83 OT
04/02/24HOregon State82-54
02/02/24HOregon69-78
28/01/24HUCLA50-65
Arizona Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24HArizona67-85
25/02/24HWashington State73-61
23/02/24HWashington82-84 OT
18/02/24AArizona60-105
15/02/24HOregon State79-61
11/02/24AUtah Utes85-77
09/02/24AColorado70-82
03/02/24HCalifornia66-81
02/02/24HStanford62-71
28/01/24AOregon State71-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW41%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %41%57%27%
Points / game74.477.171.9
Allowed / game74.871.677.9
Point differential-0.4+5.5-5.9
Avg total149.2148.6149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %10%14%7%
Arizona State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL48%
HomeLWLWL61%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %48%61%27%
Points / game70.170.769.1
Allowed / game73.769.381.0
Point differential-3.7+1.4-11.9
Avg total143.8139.9150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3027390%84.470.2+14.2
2 Illinois3022873%84.373.3+11.0
3 Nebraska3021970%76.569.3+7.2
4 Northwestern30201067%73.669.1+4.5
5 Wisconsin30191163%74.669.5+5.1
6 Oregon30191163%76.272.8+3.3
7 Michigan State30181260%73.765.9+7.8
8 Minnesota30181260%76.071.0+5.0
9 Iowa30181260%83.878.9+5.0
10 Ohio State30181260%74.569.6+4.9
11 Indiana30171357%73.174.5-1.4
12 Washington31171455%80.877.0+3.8
13 Maryland30151550%69.665.0+4.6
14 Rutgers30151550%66.366.4-0.0
15 Penn State30141647%75.674.5+1.1
16 UCLA30141647%66.266.3-0.1
17 USC29121741%74.474.8-0.4
18 Michigan3082227%73.679.2-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3027390%74.157.3+16.9
2 Arizona3024680%90.373.0+17.3
3 Iowa State3024680%76.362.0+14.4
4 Baylor3022873%82.071.3+10.7
5 Kansas3022873%77.068.3+8.7
6 Brigham Young3021970%82.169.4+12.7
7 Colorado3021970%80.872.6+8.2
8 Texas Tech3021970%75.969.0+6.8
9 TCU30201067%80.571.4+9.1
10 Utah Utes29181162%78.672.8+5.8
11 Cincinnati30171357%74.268.2+6.0
12 Kansas State30171357%72.470.6+1.8
13 UCF Knights29151452%71.066.7+4.4
14 Arizona State29141548%70.173.7-3.7
15 Oklahoma State30121840%71.372.2-0.9
16 West Virginia3092130%69.875.9-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
USC324981
Arizona State324173
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