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USC vs Long Beach State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 79-84 (OT)
45-30 29-44 5-10
Position#249
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#140
Record6-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · USC v Long Beach State
10 Dec 2023
USC79
LONG84
14 Dec 2022
USC88
LONG78
12 Dec 2021
USC73
LONG62
15 Dec 2019
USC87
LONG76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Long Beach State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#90
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H10/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A17/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A07/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
85-59
85
59
+26
H10/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H15/11
NCAA
Brown
#276
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H20/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A24/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
106-78
106
78
+28
H30/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-39
47-38
34-34
28-38
40-30
42-39
47-23
38-36
26-29
34-41
35-32
46-38
32-22
39-41
39-36
31-36
52-33
54-45
37-44
39-45
148.4Avg total
76.5Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.971.2150.1+7.662%
Season at home (5)80.668.0148.6+12.680%
Season away (3)76.076.7152.7-0.733%
Last 10 (10)76.571.9148.4+4.650%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.275.1149.4-0.925%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.767.4141.1+6.278%
vs Weaker (4)78.865.5144.2+13.275%
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Long Beach StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#305
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A15/11
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A20/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A22/11
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H03/12
NCAA
Life Pacific
#484
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
42-46
37-21
40-52
39-47
37-41
48-50
46-36
24-32
28-29
40-41
40-35
43-40
39-52
30-34
45-35
43-39
40-34
50-34
38-32
154.2Avg total
78.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.076.2154.2+1.860%
Season at home (2)85.569.5155.0+16.0100%
Season away (8)76.177.9154.0-1.850%
Last 10 (10)78.076.2154.2+1.860%
Last 5 (5)81.675.2156.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.787.7167.3-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.475.7149.1-2.336%
vs Weaker (13)81.073.2154.2+7.885%
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +0.3+0.3
USCLong Beach State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#90
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H10/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A07/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H10/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H15/11
NCAA
Brown
#276
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A24/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A03/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
36.7Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.933.067.9+1.959%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.430.666.0+4.869%-
Last 30 away (13)34.235.970.2-1.746%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.268.9+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.033.472.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.838.471.1-5.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.231.566.8+3.771%-
vs Weaker (4)37.528.566.0+9.075%-
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Long Beach StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#305
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A18/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A26/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Life Pacific
#484
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/12
NCAA
75.5Avg total
38.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.172.6+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.833.071.8+5.883%-
Last 30 away (18)36.536.673.1-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.075.5+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.678.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.044.780.7-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.136.671.6-1.550%-
vs Weaker (13)40.331.471.7+8.985%-
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
USC wins
0
Long Beach State wins
DateGameScore
15/12/22USC v Long Beach State88-78
12/12/21USC v Long Beach State73-62
15/12/19USC v Long Beach State87-76
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23AGonzaga76-89
30/11/23HEast. Washington106-78
24/11/23AOklahoma70-72
23/11/23HSeton Hall71-63
20/11/23HBrown81-70
15/11/23HUC Irvine60-70
10/11/23HCSU Bakersfield85-59
07/11/23AKansas State82-69
17/03/23AMichigan State62-72
10/03/23HArizona State72-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HLife Pacific88-66
03/12/23HSacramento State83-73
26/11/23AMontana State75-69
22/11/23ALouisiana Lafayette82-92
21/11/23AIona80-76
20/11/23AIllinois State52-61
18/11/23AMichigan94-86
15/11/23ASan Diego State76-88
12/11/23ADePaul77-73
07/11/23APortland73-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game78.980.676.0
Allowed / game71.268.076.7
Point differential+7.6+12.6-0.7
Avg total150.1148.6152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Long Beach State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1028
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game78.085.576.1
Allowed / game76.269.577.9
Point differential+1.8+16.0-1.8
Avg total154.2155.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue109190%85.669.1+16.5
2 Northwestern87188%75.965.9+10.0
3 Ohio State108280%80.867.3+13.5
4 Illinois97278%80.065.0+15.0
5 Nebraska97278%77.366.4+10.9
6 Indiana97278%74.373.1+1.2
7 Oregon86275%80.871.5+9.2
8 Minnesota107370%78.567.2+11.3
9 Wisconsin107370%73.566.6+6.9
10 Washington96367%82.272.7+9.6
11 Rutgers96367%67.660.9+6.7
12 UCLA85362%69.158.8+10.4
13 USC85362%78.971.2+7.6
14 Iowa95456%85.378.6+6.8
15 Maryland95456%69.964.3+5.6
16 Michigan State84450%72.663.2+9.4
17 Penn State105550%76.471.4+5.0
18 Michigan94544%81.276.6+4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii65183%79.368.7+10.7
2 CS Northridge96367%80.468.7+11.8
3 UC Santa Barbara85362%83.175.8+7.4
4 UC Irvine106460%76.566.4+10.1
5 CS Fullerton106460%68.366.4+1.9
6 Long Beach State106460%78.076.2+1.8
7 UC San Diego105550%76.869.5+7.3
8 CSU Bakersfield94544%70.170.1+0.0
9 UC Riverside104640%67.971.8-3.9
10 Cal Poly103730%66.274.9-8.7
11 UC Davis72529%68.772.9-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
USC4529579
Long Beach State30441084
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