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Michigan State vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 72-62
34-34 38-28
Position#108
Record19-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#73
Record22-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Michigan State v USC
05 Jan 2026
MICH80
USC51
17 Mar 2023
MICH72
USC62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#14
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A12/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A01/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-40
39-37
25-19
30-42
31-22
32-36
27-14
35-27
36-33
36-51
35-29
45-36
42-42
59-59
26-38
54-29
43-34
41-44
24-33
34-35
143.2Avg total
72.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)70.267.4137.6+2.861%
Season at home (19)71.364.9136.2+6.479%
Season away (12)68.571.3139.8-2.833%
Last 10 (10)72.171.1143.2+1.050%
Last 5 (5)81.678.0159.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.068.4132.4-4.414%
vs Similar ◀ (19)72.868.8141.6+3.974%
vs Weaker (4)68.261.8130.0+6.575%
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#212
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A10/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A11/02
NCAA
California
#369
W
97-60
97
60
+37
H17/02
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H19/02
NCAA
Colorado
#192
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A24/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A26/02
NCAA
Arizona
#16
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H03/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H05/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
46-47
27-42
33-36
25-30
33-31
50-23
47-37
41-30
44-45
43-30
41-35
34-28
28-21
31-43
50-44
29-20
39-45
25-39
47-38
143.8Avg total
74.7Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)72.867.2140.0+5.569%
Season at home (20)75.367.5142.8+7.880%
Season away (12)68.666.8135.4+1.850%
Last 10 (10)74.769.1143.8+5.660%
Last 5 (5)73.468.6142.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.673.0142.6-3.420%
vs Similar ◀ (18)72.167.0139.1+5.178%
vs Weaker (7)75.364.1139.4+11.186%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +2.9+2.9
Michigan StateUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#14
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H10/03
NCAA
61.5Avg total
31.1Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.563.2+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.528.962.4+4.672%-
Last 30 away (12)31.432.964.3-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)31.130.461.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.269.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.431.763.1-0.357%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)33.830.263.9+3.668%-
vs Weaker (4)29.530.259.8-0.850%-
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#212
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A10/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A11/02
NCAA
California
#369
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H17/02
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Colorado
#192
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A24/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A26/02
NCAA
Arizona
#16
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H03/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H10/03
NCAA
65.1Avg total
33.9Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.632.465.0+0.155%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.831.263.9+1.659%-
Last 30 away (12)32.234.266.5-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)33.931.265.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)32.432.064.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.440.468.8-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.531.865.4+1.765%-
vs Weaker (7)33.128.361.4+4.971%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
USC wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23HOhio State58-68
04/03/23HOhio State84-78
01/03/23ANebraska80-67
25/02/23AIowa106-112 OT
22/02/23HIndiana80-65
19/02/23AMichigan72-84
12/02/23AOhio State62-41
08/02/23HMaryland63-58
04/02/23ARutgers55-61
29/01/23APurdue61-77
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23HArizona State72-77
05/03/23HArizona State68-65
03/03/23HArizona81-87
26/02/23AUtah Utes62-49
24/02/23AColorado84-65
19/02/23HStanford85-75
17/02/23HCalifornia97-60
11/02/23AOregon State58-61
10/02/23AOregon60-78
05/02/23HWashington80-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL61%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %61%79%33%
Points / game70.271.368.5
Allowed / game67.464.971.3
Point differential+2.8+6.4-2.8
Avg total137.6136.2139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%37%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %6%5%8%
USC
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %69%80%50%
Points / game72.875.368.6
Allowed / game67.267.566.8
Point differential+5.5+7.8+1.8
Avg total140.0142.8135.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA3530586%74.360.1+14.2
2 Purdue3429585%73.162.7+10.4
3 USC32221069%72.867.2+5.5
4 Indiana33221167%75.068.5+6.6
5 Northwestern33221167%67.962.6+5.3
6 Maryland34221265%70.363.2+7.1
7 Penn State36231364%72.468.1+4.3
8 Michigan State31191261%70.267.4+2.8
9 Illinois33201361%74.367.2+7.2
10 Rutgers33191458%67.960.3+7.5
11 Iowa33191458%80.174.7+5.4
12 Oregon33191458%70.767.1+3.6
13 Wisconsin31171455%64.963.8+1.1
14 Michigan32171553%73.169.4+3.7
15 Washington32161650%69.270.3-1.2
16 Nebraska32161650%68.069.9-1.9
17 Ohio State35161946%72.569.0+3.5
18 Minnesota3192229%62.971.0-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State343872
USC342862
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