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Utah Valley State vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 65-78
29-38 36-40
Position#207
Record14-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#136
Record16-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game73.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Utah Valley State v UT Arlington
13 Mar 2026
UTAH67
UT A65
07 Feb 2026
UTAH81
UT A60
17 Jan 2026
UTAH86
UT A74
06 Feb 2025
UTAH94
UT A73
02 Mar 2024
UTAH65
UT A78
01 Mar 2023
UTAH78
UT A59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Valley State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#309
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A27/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A02/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H03/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H09/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
74-45
74
45
+29
H10/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
69-46
69
46
+23
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A18/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H23/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-25
45-46
34-40
27-22
27-38
45-39
23-32
44-54
38-23
23-49
30-22
44-23
35-23
34-23
38-39
40-36
31-32
39-27
37-24
34-38
136.2Avg total
70.7Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.168.4137.5+0.650%
Season at home (14)72.365.6137.9+6.671%
Season away (14)65.971.2137.1-5.429%
Last 10 (10)70.765.5136.2+5.260%
Last 5 (5)72.457.4129.8+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.173.8138.9-8.720%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.467.0138.4+4.464%
vs Weaker (5)71.268.8140.0+2.460%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#10
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A02/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A03/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A09/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
71-63 OT
71
63
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H16/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
89-70
89
70
+19
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H23/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H24/02
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-30
26-37
36-27
40-41
47-33
40-33
28-24
35-40
29-27
32-34
33-28
45-52
42-26
47-44
37-39
53-46
34-34
55-44
50-21
32-41
148.9Avg total
78.6Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.773.1148.8+2.655%
Season at home (15)79.869.9149.7+9.980%
Season away (14)71.376.5147.8-5.229%
Last 10 (10)78.670.3148.9+8.370%
Last 5 (5)85.675.0160.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.681.6150.2-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.074.2145.2-3.233%
vs Weaker (12)81.869.9151.8+11.992%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +8.2+8.22nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: -0.7-0.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +8.2+8.22nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: -0.7-0.7
Utah Valley StateUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#309
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H20/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H03/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H09/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H10/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A18/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H24/02
NCAA
63.0Avg total
33.2Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.032.564.5-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.329.864.1+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)29.635.364.9-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)33.229.863.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.228.062.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.336.768.0-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.931.663.4+0.350%-
vs Weaker (5)31.028.659.6+2.440%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#10
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A03/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H16/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H23/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H24/02
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A01/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
37.1Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.268.9+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.730.767.4+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)34.635.770.3-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)37.128.966.0+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.229.668.8+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.638.674.2-3.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.732.464.1-0.742%-
vs Weaker (12)38.432.671.0+5.867%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Utah Valley State wins
1
UT Arlington wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HStephen F. Austin71-62
23/02/24HUTRGV70-59
18/02/24ASouthern Utah78-75
16/02/24ACalifornia Baptist69-46
10/02/24HAbilene Christian74-45
09/02/24HTarleton61-72
03/02/24HGrand Canyon67-86
02/02/24AStephen F. Austin72-77
27/01/24ASeattle61-62
20/01/24HUtah Tech84-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24ASeattle82-62
24/02/24HUtah Tech89-78
23/02/24HSouthern Utah90-85
18/02/24AUTRGV89-70
16/02/24HTarleton78-80
10/02/24HStephen F. Austin71-63 OT
09/02/24ACalifornia Baptist63-64
03/02/24AUtah Tech87-66
02/02/24ASouthern Utah76-68
27/01/24HGrand Canyon61-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Valley State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW50%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game69.172.365.9
Allowed / game68.465.671.2
Point differential+0.6+6.6-5.4
Avg total137.5137.9137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW55%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayWWLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%80%29%
Points / game75.779.871.3
Allowed / game73.169.976.5
Point differential+2.6+9.9-5.2
Avg total148.8149.7147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%47%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton2821775%73.367.9+5.4
2 UT Arlington29161355%75.773.1+2.6
3 California Baptist28141450%67.866.5+1.3
4 Utah Valley State28141450%69.168.4+0.6
5 Abilene Christian28131546%73.174.2-1.2
6 Utah Tech28101836%70.276.6-6.4
7 Southern Utah2891932%75.577.6-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah Valley State293665
UT Arlington384078
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