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UT Arlington vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 78-80
33-28 45-52
Position#136
Record12-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#42
Record17-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UT Arlington v Tarleton
21 Jan 2026
UT A71
TARL64
29 Dec 2025
UT A63
TARL69
22 Feb 2025
UT A67
TARL57
15 Feb 2024
UT A78
TARL80
06 Feb 2023
UT A64
TARL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UT Arlington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A06/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H12/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H13/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H19/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A20/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A02/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A03/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A09/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
71-63 OT
71
63
+8
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
46-55
39-20
44-49
34-36
46-39
43-33
48-40
33-41
34-37
35-30
26-37
36-27
40-41
47-33
40-33
28-24
35-40
29-27
32-34
146.7Avg total
75.2Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.672.7146.3+1.050%
Season at home (12)78.367.1145.4+11.283%
Season away (12)68.978.2147.2-9.317%
Last 10 (10)75.271.5146.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)71.665.6137.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.379.0148.3-9.722%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.075.3143.3-7.327%
vs Weaker (9)79.367.3146.7+12.089%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A12/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
48-74
48
74
-26
A14/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H19/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H26/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H27/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
A02/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A09/02
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-35
29-42
29-36
19-38
40-30
39-41
26-40
51-33
27-32
43-41
46-34
40-34
31-23
36-44
33-32
42-32
23-38
49-23
38-31
44-46
143.9Avg total
72.8Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.067.0139.0+5.071%
Season at home (11)77.862.5140.3+15.482%
Season away (13)67.170.9138.0-3.862%
Last 10 (10)72.871.1143.9+1.770%
Last 5 (5)78.268.6146.8+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)50.770.3121.0-19.70%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.073.5145.5-1.564%
vs Weaker (13)74.259.5133.6+14.785%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
UT ArlingtonTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A06/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H12/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H13/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H19/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A03/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H10/02
NCAA
65.9Avg total
35.1Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.468.7-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.431.267.6+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)32.437.269.7-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)35.130.865.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)35.028.263.2+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.037.971.9-3.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)29.534.263.6-4.727%-
vs Weaker (9)38.732.471.1+6.278%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A12/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H19/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A21/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H27/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A02/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A09/02
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A10/02
NCAA
65.8Avg total
32.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.333.668.9+1.862%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.330.970.1+8.486%-
Last 30 away (15)31.636.167.7-4.540%-
Last 10 (10)32.733.165.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.665.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.036.363.3-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.635.169.7-0.573%-
vs Weaker (12)36.032.268.2+3.858%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UT Arlington wins
3
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
05/01/24Tarleton v UT Arlington78-76
06/02/23UT Arlington v Tarleton64-69
30/12/22Tarleton v UT Arlington70-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HStephen F. Austin71-63 OT
09/02/24ACalifornia Baptist63-64
03/02/24AUtah Tech87-66
02/02/24ASouthern Utah76-68
27/01/24HGrand Canyon61-67
20/01/24AAbilene Christian67-78
19/01/24HUTRGV91-73
13/01/24HSeattle80-75
12/01/24HUtah Valley State83-69
06/01/24AStephen F. Austin73-92
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ASeattle82-77
09/02/24AUtah Valley State72-61
03/02/24HStephen F. Austin75-64
02/02/24AAbilene Christian76-73 OT
27/01/24HUtah Tech86-68
26/01/24HSouthern Utah70-73
21/01/24AUTRGV77-73
19/01/24HAbilene Christian79-71
14/01/24AGrand Canyon48-74
12/01/24ACalifornia Baptist63-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UT Arlington
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLWWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%83%17%
Points / game73.678.368.9
Allowed / game72.767.178.2
Point differential+1.0+11.2-9.3
Avg total146.3145.4147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %71%82%62%
Points / game72.077.867.1
Allowed / game67.062.570.9
Point differential+5.0+15.4-3.8
Avg total139.0140.3138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton2417771%72.067.0+5.0
2 California Baptist2314961%69.065.2+3.8
3 UT Arlington24121250%73.672.7+1.0
4 Utah Valley State24101442%68.669.8-1.2
5 Utah Tech24101442%70.376.3-6.0
6 Southern Utah2491538%75.877.0-1.2
7 Abilene Christian2491538%73.275.5-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UT Arlington334578
Tarleton285280
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