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UTEP vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 67-62
32-23 35-39
Position#163
Record6-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game66.7
UTEP 🏆
USA
vs
Position#308
Record3-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game61.6
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTEP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#84
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A17/03
NCAA
Sul Ross State
#600
W
102-55
102
55
+47
H05/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A09/11
NCAA
Texas-Permian Basin
#408
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H13/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A21/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A26/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
70-44
70
44
+26
A27/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H28/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H07/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-40
35-38
49-26
53-29
28-43
32-46
46-19
32-39
37-32
42-44
27-36
38-35
37-23
33-21
33-25
31-33
48-23
40-49
36-32
38-45
142.9Avg total
75.1Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.666.7142.2+8.967%
Season at home (4)83.060.8143.8+22.2100%
Season away (5)69.671.4141.0-1.840%
Last 10 (10)75.167.8142.9+7.360%
Last 5 (5)72.264.4136.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.666.5130.1-2.938%
vs Similar (12)71.972.6144.5-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)73.166.0139.1+7.162%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
62-91
62
91
-29
H10/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A13/11
NCAA
Tabor
#483
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H15/11
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
41-104
41
104
-63
A18/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
49-72
49
72
-23
A22/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H02/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
90-50
90
50
+40
H04/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-47
28-44
28-33
24-39
44-34
44-23
13-56
28-48
30-40
19-32
20-28
31-34
31-26
30-33
31-53
40-34
55-22
35-28
21-29
30-37
133.6Avg total
61.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)61.674.2135.8-12.527%
Season at home (5)72.469.4141.8+3.040%
Season away (6)52.778.2130.8-25.517%
Last 10 (10)61.672.0133.6-10.430%
Last 5 (5)64.864.8129.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)56.877.9134.7-21.118%
vs Similar (6)78.074.7152.7+3.383%
vs Weaker (12)77.369.2146.6+8.175%
This opponent (UTEP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: -6.1-6.12nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -4.3-4.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: -6.1-6.12nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -4.3-4.3
UTEPTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#84
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/03
NCAA
Sul Ross State
#600
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Texas-Permian Basin
#408
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H13/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A27/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H28/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H07/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A12/12
NCAA
67.6Avg total
37.7Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.230.764.9+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.428.965.2+7.579%-
Last 30 away (16)32.232.464.6-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.729.967.6+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)36.227.864.0+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.231.662.9-0.462%-
vs Similar (12)33.933.167.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)34.128.462.5+5.875%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H10/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A13/11
NCAA
Tabor
#483
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
13-56
13
56
-43
A18/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H29/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A30/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H02/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H04/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A08/12
NCAA
67.5Avg total
30.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.235.268.4-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.634.571.1+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)29.935.965.7-6.033%-
Last 10 (10)30.736.867.5-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.663.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)26.139.565.5-13.49%-
vs Similar (6)36.834.070.8+2.883%-
vs Weaker (12)37.131.969.0+5.267%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTEP wins
0
Tarleton wins
No previous meetings.
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24ALouisville74-77
07/12/24HSeattle88-72
28/11/24HNC Greensboro64-58
27/11/24ALong Beach State70-44
26/11/24ASan Jose State65-71
21/11/24AUC Santa Barbara79-76
13/11/24HTexas-Permian Basin78-58
09/11/24AUtah Valley State60-89
05/11/24HSul Ross State102-55
17/03/24AWestern Kentucky71-78
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AUCF Knights51-66
04/12/24HDallas Christian90-50
02/12/24HIndiana State71-87
30/11/24AHofstra61-59
29/11/24HIona51-62
22/11/24AMichigan49-72
18/11/24ABaylor41-104
15/11/24HTabor88-57
13/11/24AFlorida State52-72
10/11/24HSam Houston St.62-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTEP
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game75.683.069.6
Allowed / game66.760.871.4
Point differential+8.9+22.2-1.8
Avg total142.2143.8141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL27%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game61.672.452.7
Allowed / game74.269.478.2
Point differential-12.5+3.0-25.5
Avg total135.8141.8130.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1110191%77.759.1+18.6
2 Louisiana Tech1210283%78.267.6+10.7
3 Middle Tenn. St.118373%82.170.6+11.5
4 Kennesaw State107370%80.371.3+9.0
5 Western Kentucky107370%80.773.4+7.3
6 UTEP96367%75.666.7+8.9
7 Jacksonville State106460%78.667.3+11.3
8 Delaware106460%78.275.1+3.1
9 Sam Houston St.116555%78.776.5+2.2
10 Missouri State105550%77.175.7+1.4
11 Florida International104640%74.670.3+4.3
12 New Mexico State104640%72.574.3-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah118373%78.371.7+6.5
2 Abilene Christian117464%77.671.5+6.2
3 UT Arlington115645%79.775.7+4.0
4 Utah Valley State115645%74.172.0+2.1
5 California Baptist115645%76.276.9-0.7
6 Tarleton113827%61.674.2-12.5
7 Utah Tech1221017%67.576.6-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTEP323567
Tarleton233962
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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