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Tarleton vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 62-91
34-47 28-44
Position#308
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#283
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game91.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tarleton v Sam Houston St.
09 Nov 2024
TARL62
SAM 91
18 Feb 2023
TARL59
SAM 64
06 Jan 2022
TARL75
SAM 64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#144
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A10/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H23/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H24/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A03/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H09/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H16/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
62-96
62
96
-34
A05/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
44-46
28-33
52-45
22-35
55-39
35-32
47-33
49-30
36-44
39-37
49-46
40-30
20-33
39-32
30-34
41-39
43-48
28-51
34-45
153.2Avg total
76.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)62.096.0158.0-34.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)62.096.0158.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)76.976.3153.2+0.670%
Last 5 (5)72.679.0151.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)58.277.2135.5-19.025%
vs Similar (11)73.371.8145.1+1.573%
vs Weaker (13)74.968.9143.8+6.077%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#318
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H16/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H18/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
79-58
79
58
+21
A23/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A25/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H03/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A08/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H13/03
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H15/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A05/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-29
31-27
50-27
33-46
48-23
31-35
29-25
36-29
48-36
33-28
35-27
37-39
39-35
42-38
43-27
35-32
33-27
30-38
34-37
41-54
140.6Avg total
74.7Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.091.0166.0-16.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.091.0166.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)74.765.9140.6+8.880%
Last 5 (5)73.870.8144.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.678.7154.3-3.157%
vs Similar (11)69.571.5140.9-2.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)72.462.9135.3+9.582%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +10.5+10.52nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -1.7-1.7
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +10.5+10.52nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -1.7-1.7
TarletonSam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#144
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A10/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H23/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H24/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A01/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A05/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
35.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.269.3+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.632.570.1+5.180%-
Last 30 away (15)32.535.968.5-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.070.9+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.875.2-0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)26.040.266.2-14.20%-
vs Similar (11)36.334.670.9+1.673%-
vs Weaker (13)35.132.767.8+2.462%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#318
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H16/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H18/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A23/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H03/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A08/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H09/03
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H13/03
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H15/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A05/11
NCAA
69.1Avg total
39.8Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.767.9+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.329.369.7+11.093%-
Last 30 away (15)32.134.066.1-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.829.369.1+10.590%-
Last 5 (5)36.830.667.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.736.172.9+0.643%-
vs Similar (11)33.332.565.8+0.755%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)37.228.565.7+8.682%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tarleton wins
3
Sam Houston St. wins
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24ASMU Mustangs62-96
16/03/24HUT Arlington84-87
09/03/24HSeattle69-66
08/03/24HUtah Valley State60-63
03/03/24ASouthern Utah88-83
01/03/24AUtah Tech85-74
24/02/24HCalifornia Baptist82-65
23/02/24HGrand Canyon77-74
16/02/24AUT Arlington80-78
10/02/24ASeattle82-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24ANevada75-91
15/03/24HUTEP63-65
13/03/24HFlorida International78-59
09/03/24HJacksonville State81-73
08/03/24ALouisiana Tech72-66
03/03/24HMiddle Tenn. St.81-64
25/02/24AUTEP65-54
23/02/24ANew Mexico State79-58
18/02/24HLiberty83-73
16/02/24HFlorida International70-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game62.0-62.0
Allowed / game96.0-96.0
Point differential-34.0--34.0
Avg total158.0-158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game91.0-91.0
Point differential-16.0--16.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State220100%90.558.5+32.0
2 Southern Utah110100%96.068.0+28.0
3 California Baptist110100%83.078.0+5.0
4 UT Arlington21150%83.573.5+10.0
5 Abilene Christian21150%81.576.5+5.0
6 Utah Tech1010%57.080.0-23.0
7 Tarleton1010%62.096.0-34.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State110100%110.061.0+49.0
2 New Mexico State110100%93.057.0+36.0
3 Middle Tenn. St.220100%88.053.5+34.5
4 Louisiana Tech220100%84.563.5+21.0
5 Liberty110100%83.063.0+20.0
6 Jacksonville State21150%89.560.5+29.0
7 UTEP21150%81.072.0+9.0
8 Delaware21150%77.081.0-4.0
9 Florida International1010%70.077.0-7.0
10 Missouri State1010%65.072.0-7.0
11 Western Kentucky1010%84.091.0-7.0
12 Sam Houston St.1010%75.091.0-16.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton342862
Sam Houston St.474491
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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