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Florida State vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-52
33-28 39-24
Position#177
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game63.5
Florida State 🏆
USA
vs
Tarleton
USA
Position#308
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game93.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A25/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A06/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A14/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-43
41-33
28-38
35-36
41-33
49-50
41-44
35-41
31-42
42-46
37-32
46-43
36-37
50-39
30-46
37-46
43-31
31-31
33-23
40-42
154.5Avg total
76.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.563.5137.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)74.062.0136.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.977.6154.5-0.760%
Last 5 (5)76.674.0150.6+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.478.2147.6-8.817%
vs Similar (15)78.372.1150.3+6.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)83.385.7169.0-2.333%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#136
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H23/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H24/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A03/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H09/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H16/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
62-96
62
96
-34
A05/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
62-91
62
91
-29
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-33
52-45
22-35
55-39
35-32
47-33
49-30
36-44
39-37
49-46
40-30
20-33
39-32
30-34
41-39
43-48
28-51
34-45
34-47
28-44
152.6Avg total
74.9Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)62.093.5155.5-31.50%
Season at home (1)62.091.0153.0-29.00%
Season away (1)62.096.0158.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)74.977.7152.6-2.860%
Last 5 (5)67.480.6148.0-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)59.080.0139.0-21.020%
vs Similar (10)74.370.4144.7+3.980%
vs Weaker (13)74.968.9143.8+6.077%
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -1.7-1.7
Florida StateTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A25/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A06/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A14/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A10/11
NCAA
73.2Avg total
36.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.568.8-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.132.666.7+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)34.436.771.1-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.973.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.869.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.836.667.3-5.833%-
vs Similar (15)36.732.569.1+4.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)36.036.772.7-0.733%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#136
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H23/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H24/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A01/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A05/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H10/11
NCAA
72.1Avg total
35.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.269.3+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.433.470.8+4.075%-
Last 30 away (14)32.535.267.7-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)35.536.672.1-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.876.2-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)27.641.669.2-14.00%-
vs Similar (10)36.633.570.1+3.180%-
vs Weaker (13)35.132.767.8+2.462%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida State wins
0
Tarleton wins
No previous meetings.
Florida Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24ARice73-65
05/11/24HNorthern Kentucky74-62
14/03/24ANorth Carolina67-92
13/03/24AVirginia Tech86-76
09/03/24HMiami (FL)83-75
06/03/24APittsburgh73-88
02/03/24AGeorgia Tech76-85
28/02/24HNC State90-83
25/02/24AClemson63-74
21/02/24HBoston College84-76
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HSam Houston St.62-91
05/11/24ASMU Mustangs62-96
16/03/24HUT Arlington84-87
09/03/24HSeattle69-66
08/03/24HUtah Valley State60-63
03/03/24ASouthern Utah88-83
01/03/24AUtah Tech85-74
24/02/24HCalifornia Baptist82-65
23/02/24HGrand Canyon77-74
16/02/24AUT Arlington80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game73.574.073.0
Allowed / game63.562.065.0
Point differential+10.0+12.0+8.0
Avg total137.0136.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game62.062.062.0
Allowed / game93.591.096.0
Point differential-31.5-29.0-34.0
Avg total155.5153.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke220100%98.060.0+38.0
2 Miami (FL)220100%100.568.0+32.5
3 Clemson220100%89.563.0+26.5
4 SMU Mustangs330100%93.067.7+25.3
5 Stanford220100%82.557.5+25.0
6 Pittsburgh330100%87.362.7+24.7
7 NC State220100%89.069.0+20.0
8 Notre Dame220100%87.568.5+19.0
9 Virginia Tech330100%78.062.0+16.0
10 California220100%88.573.0+15.5
11 Virginia220100%63.550.5+13.0
12 Wake Forest330100%72.061.0+11.0
13 Florida State220100%73.563.5+10.0
14 Syracuse110100%86.082.0+4.0
15 Louisville21150%74.061.0+13.0
16 Georgia Tech21150%89.083.5+5.5
17 North Carolina21150%89.584.0+5.5
18 Boston College21150%62.070.0-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State220100%90.558.5+32.0
2 Southern Utah220100%88.071.5+16.5
3 California Baptist220100%85.581.0+4.5
4 UT Arlington21150%83.573.5+10.0
5 Abilene Christian21150%81.576.5+5.0
6 Utah Tech2020%60.077.5-17.5
7 Tarleton2020%62.093.5-31.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State333972
Tarleton282452
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