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UTRGV vs Austin Peay Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 63-50
31-30 32-20
Position#137
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game78.8
UTRGV 🏆
USA
vs
Position#49
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#190
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H18/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A22/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
65-100
65
100
-35
A25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H01/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A04/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A12/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
110-53
110
53
+57
H18/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A25/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
24-35
35-36
49-57
34-43
31-57
42-37
46-41
48-35
29-41
37-46
44-50
36-48
29-37
58-30
52-23
31-42
42-45
26-29
34-44
157.0Avg total
76.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.878.8156.6-1.020%
Season at home (1)110.053.0163.0+57.0100%
Season away (4)69.885.2155.0-15.50%
Last 10 (10)76.380.7157.0-4.430%
Last 5 (5)77.878.8156.6-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.784.2153.8-14.517%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.480.7152.1-9.418%
vs Weaker (13)80.663.7144.3+16.985%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#228
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H03/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A04/03
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
128-47
128
47
+81
H04/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A08/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A12/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A15/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A19/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H26/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-45
52-24
30-48
34-42
69-25
59-22
33-22
41-32
35-37
30-42
33-27
36-36
23-31
42-41
40-33
35-51
41-38
36-21
32-36
52-60
150.4Avg total
79.1Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.669.2148.9+10.450%
Season at home (2)102.553.0155.5+49.5100%
Season away (6)72.074.7146.7-2.733%
Last 10 (10)79.171.3150.4+7.850%
Last 5 (5)74.074.8148.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.481.2152.5-9.823%
vs Similar ◀ (3)90.384.7175.0+5.767%
vs Weaker (14)78.766.9145.6+11.864%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: +4.6+4.6
UTRGVAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#190
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H04/03
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A04/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H18/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A04/12
NCAA
76.0Avg total
38.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.668.3+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.130.467.4+6.781%-
Last 30 away (14)31.937.369.2-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.776.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.076.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.337.567.8-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.238.272.4-4.036%-
vs Weaker (13)37.127.965.0+9.277%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#228
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H03/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A04/03
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
69-25
69
25
+44
H04/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A08/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A12/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A15/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H26/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A04/12
NCAA
71.6Avg total
37.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.069.6-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.732.971.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (17)31.536.568.0-5.135%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.271.6+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.833.066.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.336.667.9-5.331%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)34.741.776.3-7.00%-
vs Weaker (14)37.632.069.6+5.671%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTRGV wins
0
Austin Peay wins
No previous meetings.
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AStephen F. Austin60-73
25/11/25AIllinois73-87
18/11/25HSouthwest Adventist110-53
12/11/25ABoise State65-85
04/11/25ABaylor81-96
04/03/25HSE Louisiana77-76
01/03/25HNew Orleans88-78
25/02/25AMcNeese State65-100
22/02/25ANicholls State84-93
18/02/25HIncarnate Word60-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AKent State84-96
26/11/25HNorthern Illinois77-59
22/11/25ATulsa75-84
19/11/25AOle Miss65-72
15/11/25ANC Greensboro69-63
12/11/25AWyoming65-79
08/11/25AAir Force74-54
04/11/25HBryan128-47
04/03/25ANorth Alabama64-90
03/03/25HNorth Florida90-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%100%0%
Points / game77.8110.069.8
Allowed / game78.853.085.2
Point differential-1.0+57.0-15.5
Avg total156.6163.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Austin Peay
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game79.6102.572.0
Allowed / game69.253.074.7
Point differential+10.4+49.5-2.7
Avg total148.9155.5146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%100%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State97278%90.065.4+24.6
2 Stephen F. Austin86275%78.167.8+10.4
3 Lamar85362%72.162.6+9.5
4 Incarnate Word95456%84.473.9+10.6
5 Houston Christian95456%72.772.0+0.7
6 Texas A&M-CC83538%72.473.0-0.6
7 SE Louisiana83538%63.967.4-3.5
8 New Orleans103730%76.581.2-4.7
9 UTRGV51420%77.878.8-1.0
10 Nicholls State81712%69.181.1-12.0
11 Northwestern St.81712%70.284.5-14.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Gulf Coast95456%86.982.8+4.1
2 Lipscomb95456%79.175.6+3.6
3 North Alabama95456%73.474.7-1.2
4 West Georgia95456%76.280.6-4.3
5 Austin Peay84450%79.669.2+10.4
6 Central Arkansas94544%74.273.3+0.9
7 Queens Royals94544%83.783.8-0.1
8 Bellarmine94544%77.878.3-0.6
9 Stetson113827%67.778.7-11.0
10 North Florida82625%83.684.0-0.4
11 Eastern Kentucky92722%85.883.1+2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTRGV313263
Austin Peay302050
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