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UTRGV vs Northwestern St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#211
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#338
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UTRGV v Northwestern St.
11 Jan 2027
UTRG v NORT
upcoming
02 Mar 2026
UTRG74
NORT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A21/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A24/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-Kingsville
#419
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H03/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#27
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H11/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#82
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-26
50-49
22-34
46-41
24-34
39-21
39-30
35-32
44-32
42-36
23-31
35-27
42-19
39-32
30-29
38-34
28-30
37-42
24-45
53-40
144.8Avg total
75.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.867.8140.5+5.050%
Season at home (3)71.362.0133.3+9.367%
Season away (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)75.869.0144.8+6.860%
Last 5 (5)74.271.0145.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.076.3147.3-5.317%
vs Similar (4)59.056.5115.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)79.167.8146.9+11.279%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H21/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H24/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A28/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Baylor
#6
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#98
L
44-82
44
82
-38
A06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#25
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Millsaps
#410
W
77-49
77
49
+28
H11/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-25
34-28
18-23
36-26
30-29
29-42
30-39
32-35
24-25
23-36
32-50
33-37
27-49
17-33
39-42
32-51
34-21
43-28
40-35
30-35
133.6Avg total
63.3Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.079.0147.0-11.020%
Season at home (1)77.049.0126.0+28.0100%
Season away (4)65.886.5152.2-20.80%
Last 10 (10)63.370.3133.6-7.030%
Last 5 (5)68.079.0147.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.975.4139.2-11.525%
vs Similar (12)67.568.2135.7-0.733%
vs Weaker (1)108.055.0163.0+53.0100%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: -4.2-4.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: -4.2-4.2
UTRGVNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A21/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A24/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-Kingsville
#419
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H03/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#27
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H11/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#82
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A15/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.2Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.265.5+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.828.763.6+6.172%-
Last 30 away (12)35.832.568.3+3.358%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.063.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.860.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)27.032.559.5-5.517%-
vs Similar (4)27.525.553.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.131.170.2+8.079%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H21/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
L
18-23
18
23
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Baylor
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#98
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#25
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Millsaps
#410
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H11/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/11
NCAA
64.9Avg total
31.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.335.566.9-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.233.164.2-1.931%-
Last 30 away (17)31.537.468.9-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)31.133.864.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.473.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.638.769.2-8.119%-
vs Similar (12)30.633.063.6-2.433%-
vs Weaker (1)50.030.080.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UTRGV wins
2
Northwestern St. wins
DateGameScore
03/03/26UTRGV v Northwestern St.74-62
13/01/26Northwestern St. v UTRGV64-63
04/02/25Northwestern St. v UTRGV79-63
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUT Arlington77-85
11/11/26HTexas State65-72
07/11/26HPrairie View A&M68-63
03/11/26HTexas A&M-Kingsville81-51
11/03/26AMcNeese State80-84 OT
10/03/26HNicholls State86-68
03/03/26HNorthwestern St.74-62
28/02/26HEast Texas A&M63-55
24/02/26AMcNeese State68-75
21/02/26ASE Louisiana96-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUALR83-84 OT
11/11/26HMillsaps77-49
08/11/26AMurray State71-93
06/11/26AMississippi St.44-82
03/11/26ABaylor65-87
09/03/26ANicholls State47-61
03/03/26AUTRGV62-74
28/02/26ATexas A&M-CC59-71
24/02/26HIncarnate Word54-49
21/02/26HHouston Christian71-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game72.871.377.0
Allowed / game67.862.085.0
Point differential+5.0+9.3-8.0
Avg total140.5133.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%100%0%
Points / game68.077.065.8
Allowed / game79.049.086.5
Point differential-11.0+28.0-20.8
Avg total147.0126.0152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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