PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
The UTSA Roadrunners host Florida A&M on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Roadrunners the model favourite and a 56% chance of winning. UTSA, 2-1 overall with 76.7 points scored and 74.0 allowed per game, sits 187th in the league; at home they are undefeated 1-0, averaging 70.0 points and 68.0 allowed. Their last five games were 2-3, including a 86-59 away win over Seattle, a 70-68 home win over VMI and a 74-95 loss to San Jose State. Florida A&M, 1-3 overall with 77.8 points scored and 80.8 allowed, is 321st; on the road they are 1-1, 88.0 points scored and 80.5 allowed. Their last five games were 1-4, with losses to UMKC, UAB and Fort Valley State. The teams have met once before, with the last meeting recorded as a 70-75 loss for Florida A&M. Pythia projects a 77-75 score, 151.4 total points, and a 5% chance of overtime, giving the Roadrunners a 56% win probability and Florida A&M a 44% chance. The Roadrunners' 70-68 home victory over VMI on 7 November 2026 stands as a recent concrete success.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 76.7 | 74.0 | 150.7 | +2.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (1) | 70.0 | 68.0 | 138.0 | +2.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 80.0 | 77.0 | 157.0 | +3.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.5 | 79.5 | 153.0 | -6.0 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.6 | 77.2 | 150.8 | -3.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (27) | 67.6 | 82.7 | 150.3 | -15.1 | 15% |
| vs Similar (1) | 74.0 | 95.0 | 169.0 | -21.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 94.5 | 64.5 | 159.0 | +30.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 77.8 | 80.8 | 158.5 | -3.0 | 25% |
| Season at home (2) | 67.5 | 81.0 | 148.5 | -13.5 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 88.0 | 80.5 | 168.5 | +7.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.6 | 72.6 | 148.2 | +3.0 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.2 | 79.2 | 155.4 | -3.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 71.5 | 75.2 | 146.7 | -3.6 | 46% |
| vs Similar (9) | 75.1 | 75.6 | 150.7 | -0.4 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 68.2 | 65.0 | 133.2 | +3.2 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.1 | 39.9 | 72.0 | -7.8 | 23% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 32.4 | 36.7 | 69.1 | -4.3 | 31% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 31.9 | 42.4 | 74.3 | -10.5 | 18% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.7 | 39.1 | 72.8 | -5.4 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.0 | 37.6 | 69.6 | -5.6 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (27) | 31.2 | 40.7 | 71.9 | -9.5 | 19% | - |
| vs Similar (1) | 27.0 | 45.0 | 72.0 | -18.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 47.0 | 27.5 | 74.5 | +19.5 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.1 | 33.1 | 67.2 | +1.0 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 35.7 | 33.2 | 68.9 | +2.5 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 32.5 | 33.1 | 65.6 | -0.5 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.2 | 34.2 | 68.4 | +0.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.6 | 39.2 | 73.8 | -4.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 35.0 | 33.6 | 68.6 | +1.4 | 54% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 33.6 | 35.7 | 69.2 | -2.1 | 56% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 33.3 | 29.8 | 63.2 | +3.5 | 50% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Seattle | 86-59 |
| 07/11/26 | H | VMI | 70-68 |
| 02/11/26 | A | San Jose State | 74-95 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Rice | 71-80 |
| 02/03/26 | H | Wichita State | 67-84 |
| 26/02/26 | H | East Carolina | 81-82 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Tulsa | 74-100 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Florida Atlantic | 52-60 |
| 15/02/26 | A | Charlotte | 88-79 |
| 12/02/26 | A | East Carolina | 72-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | UMKC | 65-87 |
| 10/11/26 | A | UAB | 64-92 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Fort Valley State Wildcats | 70-75 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Florida State | 112-69 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Southern Univ. | 70-73 |
| 12/03/26 | H | Jackson State | 70-60 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Bethune-Cookman | 81-77 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Grambling St. | 66-59 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Southern Univ. | 82-71 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Alabama State | 76-63 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWW | 67% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 76.7 | 70.0 | 80.0 |
| Allowed / game | 74.0 | 68.0 | 77.0 |
| Point differential | +2.7 | +2.0 | +3.0 |
| Avg total | 150.7 | 138.0 | 157.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLL | 25% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Points / game | 77.8 | 67.5 | 88.0 |
| Allowed / game | 80.8 | 81.0 | 80.5 |
| Point differential | -3.0 | -13.5 | +7.5 |
| Avg total | 158.5 | 148.5 | 168.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tulsa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.7 | 65.3 | +25.3 |
| 2 |  North Texas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 90.0 | 64.3 | +25.7 |
| 3 |  Wichita State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.7 | 73.3 | +19.3 |
| 4 |  East Carolina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 71.7 | +5.0 |
| 5 |  Tulane | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 87.3 | 82.7 | +4.7 |
| 6 |  UAB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 75.3 | +4.7 |
| 7 | UTSA Roadrunners | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 74.0 | +2.7 |
| 8 |  Florida Atlantic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 82.3 | -2.3 |
| 9 |  Memphis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 83.3 | 89.7 | -6.3 |
| 10 |  Charlotte | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.2 | 67.8 | +1.5 |
| 11 |  Rice | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 72.7 | +8.7 |
| 12 |  South Florida | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 86.0 | 78.7 | +7.3 |
| 13 |  Temple | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 75.3 | -8.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 81.2 | 67.8 | +13.5 |
| 2 |  Grambling St. | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 75.5 | 90.0 | -14.5 |
| 3 |  Prairie View A&M | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 75.4 | 82.0 | -6.6 |
| 4 |  Alabama State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 69.7 | 78.7 | -9.0 |
| 5 | Florida A&M | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 77.8 | 80.8 | -3.0 |
| 6 |  Texas Southern | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.5 | 93.0 | -16.5 |
| 7 |  Jackson State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 66.5 | 85.8 | -19.2 |
| 8 |  Bethune-Cookman | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 71.0 | 85.5 | -14.5 |
| 9 |  Miss. Valley St. | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 63.0 | 85.5 | -22.5 |
| 10 |  Alcorn State | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 66.8 | 90.0 | -23.2 |
| 11 |  Southern Univ. | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 60.4 | 88.2 | -27.8 |
| 12 |  Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 52.8 | 98.8 | -46.0 |
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