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UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 52-60
28-26 24-34
Position#365
Record5-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#164
Record14-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UTSA Roadrunners v Florida Atlantic
18 Feb 2026
UTSA52
FLOR60
21 Jan 2024
UTSA103
FLOR112
19 Jan 2023
UTSA64
FLOR83
29 Jan 2022
UTSA64
FLOR73
13 Feb 2021
UTSA86
FLOR75
12 Feb 2021
UTSA84
FLOR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTSA Roadrunners winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida Atlantic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#173
L
52-85
52
85
-33
H10/01
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H15/01
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
69-95
69
95
-26
A18/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A22/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H24/01
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H29/01
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
88-109
88
109
-21
A05/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
58-81
58
81
-23
H07/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A12/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-39
31-46
40-51
33-38
33-43
36-52
23-45
39-36
33-31
31-39
36-38
37-45
50-48
38-61
26-34
32-47
31-46
41-42
38-44
50-35
155.9Avg total
69.9Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.680.6150.2-11.120%
Season at home (11)69.573.8143.3-4.418%
Season away (14)69.686.0155.6-16.421%
Last 10 (10)69.986.0155.9-16.110%
Last 5 (5)75.888.0163.8-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)67.083.0150.0-15.912%
vs Similar (4)80.275.5155.8+4.850%
vs Weaker (2)100.050.0150.0+50.0100%
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#277
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H11/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H16/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H22/01
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A25/01
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A30/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A12/02
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
53-44
37-25
48-42
30-34
49-39
43-32
36-42
36-33
39-56
33-41
32-51
36-38
39-38
32-25
44-53
27-40
46-41
38-36
34-36
156.8Avg total
77.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.075.3156.3+5.754%
Season at home (14)85.671.7157.4+13.964%
Season away (12)75.779.5155.2-3.842%
Last 10 (10)77.779.1156.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.884.5161.2-7.80%
vs Similar (13)77.572.4149.9+5.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.974.5156.4+7.564%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.8-8.81st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -7.3-7.32nd half: -2.2-2.2
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.8-8.81st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -7.3-7.32nd half: -2.2-2.2
UTSA RoadrunnersFlorida Atlantic
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#173
L
21-39
21
39
-18
H10/01
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A18/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A22/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H24/01
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/01
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A05/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H07/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A15/02
NCAA
75.0Avg total
33.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.638.771.3-6.127%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.035.269.2-1.231%-
Last 30 away (17)31.641.473.0-9.824%-
Last 10 (10)33.141.975.0-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.078.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.540.771.2-10.212%-
vs Similar (4)34.233.267.5+1.075%-
vs Weaker (2)54.525.580.0+29.0100%-
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#277
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H16/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H22/01
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A30/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A12/02
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/02
NCAA
68.6Avg total
34.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.771.3+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.431.070.4+8.481%-
Last 30 away (14)35.436.972.2-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)34.833.868.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.069.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.033.067.0+1.075%-
vs Similar (13)36.233.769.8+2.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.532.872.3+6.673%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26ACharlotte88-79
12/02/26AEast Carolina72-88
07/02/26HNorth Texas58-81
05/02/26ASouth Florida88-109
29/01/26HUAB73-83
24/01/26HTemple64-70
22/01/26ANorth Texas62-81
18/01/26AMemphis69-95
15/01/26HRice73-89
10/01/26HTulane52-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HSouth Florida81-83 OT
12/02/26ARice73-81
05/02/26HTulsa76-78
01/02/26HEast Carolina75-76
30/01/26AMemphis65-92
25/01/26ASouth Florida75-89
22/01/26HTulane79-74
18/01/26ATemple79-73
16/01/26HWichita State85-67
11/01/26HMemphis89-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %20%18%21%
Points / game69.669.569.6
Allowed / game80.673.886.0
Point differential-11.1-4.4-16.4
Avg total150.2143.3155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida Atlantic
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL54%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %54%64%42%
Points / game81.085.675.7
Allowed / game75.371.779.5
Point differential+5.7+13.9-3.8
Avg total156.3157.4155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa2620677%85.673.0+12.6
2 South Florida2618869%88.878.5+10.3
3 Wichita State27171063%77.770.7+6.9
4 UAB27171063%79.773.8+5.9
5 Tulane25151060%72.773.6-0.9
6 North Texas26151158%70.666.2+4.5
7 Temple26151158%74.570.7+3.9
8 Florida Atlantic26141254%81.075.3+5.7
9 Charlotte25131252%73.674.1-0.5
10 Memphis25121348%74.873.8+1.0
11 Rice26111542%74.774.9-0.2
12 East Carolina2691735%71.077.0-6.0
13 UTSA Roadrunners2552020%69.680.6-11.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTSA Roadrunners282452
Florida Atlantic263460
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