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UTSA Roadrunners vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 61-56
31-27 30-29
Position#331
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game60.3
vs
Position#236
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UTSA Roadrunners v Texas State
15 Nov 2026
UTSA v TEXA
upcoming
17 Nov 2022
UTSA61
TEXA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTSA Roadrunners winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#129
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H12/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
W
98-79 OT
98
79
+19
A18/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
L
71-95
71
95
-24
A20/02
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H25/02
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H04/03
NCAA
Rice
#197
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H05/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Trinity of Texas
#432
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H08/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A12/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#526
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
30-34
38-38
38-38
27-42
44-53
30-37
26-31
17-28
31-31
40-34
42-37
30-25
34-42
29-17
45-30
28-25
27-50
32-33
34-26
137.0Avg total
67.9Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.060.3125.3+4.767%
Season at home (2)70.053.0123.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)55.075.0130.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)67.969.1137.0-1.240%
Last 5 (5)68.263.8132.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)63.775.2138.9-11.515%
vs Similar (2)51.565.0116.5-13.50%
vs Weaker (8)78.864.0142.8+14.875%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A12/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H19/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A24/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#12
L
63-67 OT
63
67
-4
A16/03
NIT
Washington State
#193
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A12/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-29
0-0
33-25
0-0
48-29
0-0
36-38
0-0
31-26
0-0
37-24
0-0
25-25
0-0
30-27
0-0
29-25
0-0
37-36
0-0
25-31
0-0
47-48
0-0
28-32
0-0
29-25
0-0
31-38
0-0
30-45
0-0
43-21
0-0
28-32
0-0
35-26
0-0
35-40
130.5Avg total
67.3Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.367.3134.7+0.067%
Season at home (1)71.053.0124.0+18.0100%
Season away (2)65.574.5140.0-9.050%
Last 10 (10)67.363.2130.5+4.170%
Last 5 (5)67.469.6137.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar (7)64.667.1131.7-2.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)73.961.2135.2+12.780%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +0.2+0.2
UTSA RoadrunnersTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#129
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A18/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A20/02
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H25/02
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
17-28
17
28
-11
H04/03
NCAA
Rice
#197
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H09/03
NCAA
Trinity of Texas
#432
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A12/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#526
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H15/11
NCAA
62.2Avg total
30.6Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.132.163.2-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.829.561.4+2.347%-
Last 30 away (13)30.235.565.7-5.223%-
Last 10 (10)30.631.662.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.826.858.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.934.664.5-4.730%-
vs Similar (2)24.030.554.5-6.50%-
vs Weaker (8)36.026.262.2+9.862%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H19/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#12
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A16/03
NIT
Washington State
#193
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/11
NCAA
60.7Avg total
32.5Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.929.663.5+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.127.164.2+9.967%-
Last 30 away (15)30.832.062.8-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)32.528.260.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)32.429.662.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar (7)30.629.359.9+1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)35.529.264.8+6.360%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UTSA Roadrunners wins
0
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
07/12/19Texas State v UTSA Roadrunners71-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/22HSt. Mary's (TX)66-59
12/11/22ATexas A&M-CC55-75
08/11/22HTrinity of Texas74-47
09/03/22HSouthern Miss64-67
05/03/22HRice82-71
04/03/22HNorth Texas48-59
25/02/22HUAB56-68
20/02/22ALouisiana Tech71-95
18/02/22ASouthern Miss98-79 OT
12/02/22HWestern Kentucky65-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/22ARhode Island70-66
11/11/22HMid-America Christian71-53
08/11/22AWashington State61-83
16/03/22ANorth Texas63-67 OT
05/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-79
26/02/22ATroy66-61
24/02/22ASouth Alabama55-52
19/02/22HUALR68-50
18/02/22HArkansas State84-67
12/02/22ALouisiana Monroe63-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game65.070.055.0
Allowed / game60.353.075.0
Point differential+4.7+17.0-20.0
Avg total125.3123.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game67.371.065.5
Allowed / game67.353.074.5
Point differential+0.0+18.0-9.0
Avg total134.7124.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charlotte330100%72.049.3+22.7
2 Tulane330100%87.768.0+19.7
3 East Carolina330100%78.768.3+10.3
4 Florida Atlantic43175%77.268.5+8.8
5 UAB32167%96.074.7+21.3
6 Wichita State32167%64.058.0+6.0
7 UTSA Roadrunners32167%65.060.3+4.7
8 Memphis21150%80.078.5+1.5
9 Tulsa21150%77.576.0+1.5
10 North Texas21150%43.055.0-12.0
11 Temple31233%76.076.3-0.3
12 Rice31233%66.078.3-12.3
13 South Florida4040%61.865.2-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Coastal Carolina220100%103.545.0+58.5
2 James Madison440100%105.256.8+48.5
3 Troy440100%83.858.8+25.0
4 Appalachian State330100%94.069.3+24.7
5 Louisiana Lafayette330100%87.364.3+23.0
6 Southern Miss330100%73.750.7+23.0
7 Louisiana Monroe32167%90.067.3+22.7
8 Marshall32167%89.372.3+17.0
9 Arkansas State32167%73.358.0+15.3
10 Georgia State32167%72.767.0+5.7
11 Texas State32167%67.367.3+0.0
12 Old Dominion42250%71.567.2+4.2
13 South Alabama31233%75.368.0+7.3
14 Georgia Southern31233%54.357.7-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTSA Roadrunners313061
Texas State272956
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