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Valcea vs BC Steaua Bucuresti Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-76
20-20 14-19 23-16 26-21
Position#6
Record5-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game85.2
Valcea 🏆
Romania
vs
BC Steaua Bucuresti
Romania
Position#12
Record6-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game80.8
RomaniaDivizia ARound 14· Traian Sports Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valcea v BC Steaua Bucuresti
06 Oct 2026
VALC97
SBU90
29 Dec 2025
VALC83
SBU76
21 Dec 2024
VALC104
SBU89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Steaua Bucuresti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#24
L
61-102
61
102
-41
48avg 78
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
93-65
93
65
+28
98avg 78
A01/11
Divizia A
Vechta
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
87avg 78
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
82-75
82
75
+7
84avg 78
H09/11
Divizia A
Sassari
#23
L
65-97
65
97
-32
48avg 78
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 78
A16/11
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#24
L
67-121
67
121
-54
49avg 78
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
86avg 78
A07/12
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
96avg 78
H13/12
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
85-96
85
96
-11
78avg 78
A20/12
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
19-26
21-24
9-25
27-12
24-25
22-22
20-6
23-29
20-21
25-22
22-16
16-18
20-21
23-21
23-15
17-24
18-19
13-25
17-29
22-14
16-26
24-24
14-18
20-37
21-31
17-24
9-29
19-24
21-25
21-20
23-15
27-31
25-18
21-29
22-17
20-23
19-30
20-29
26-14
174.7Avg total
81.5Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.585.2175.6+5.345%
Season at home (5)94.487.8182.2+6.660%
Season away (6)87.283.0170.2+4.233%
Last 10 (10)81.593.2174.7-11.730%
Last 5 (5)84.8101.0185.8-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.794.9169.6-20.28%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.486.0169.4-2.650%
vs Weaker (4)97.072.5169.5+24.5100%
This opponent (BC Steaua Bucuresti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Steaua BucurestiRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucuresti
Date
Competition
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
91-94
91
94
-3
82avg 74
A18/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
92avg 74
H25/10
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
57avg 74
A03/11
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 74
A10/11
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 74
H17/11
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
109-78
109
78
+31
108avg 74
A20/11
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
94-78
94
78
+16
89avg 74
H06/12
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
84avg 74
A17/12
Romanian Cup
CSM Oradea
#2
W
72-68
72
68
+4
66avg 74
H20/12
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#7
L
59-66
59
66
-7
48avg 74
H23/12
Romanian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
20-31
22-23
22-17
21-24
16-24
19-17
26-17
16-10
21-20
9-18
23-26
20-21
28-27
23-19
17-23
20-9
21-18
21-20
24-25
38-19
21-25
28-14
22-20
29-27
19-25
21-18
25-8
17-19
24-11
22-25
29-28
15-19
19-18
23-13
15-18
12-15
15-21
14-13
18-17
164.9Avg total
85.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.680.8164.4+2.850%
Season at home (6)82.077.2159.2+4.883%
Season away (6)85.284.5169.7+0.717%
Last 10 (10)85.479.5164.9+5.960%
Last 5 (5)85.274.6159.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.786.0168.7-3.346%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.482.0160.4-3.633%
vs Weaker (5)98.274.0172.2+24.280%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
ValceaBC Steaua Bucuresti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#24
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A01/11
Divizia A
Vechta
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/11
Divizia A
Sassari
#23
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/11
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#24
L
41-68
41
68
-27
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A07/12
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H13/12
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A20/12
Divizia A
88.7Avg total
40.6Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.083.7-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.942.582.3-2.633%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.685.1-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)40.648.188.7-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)42.051.893.8-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.347.484.8-10.18%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.944.184.1-4.221%-
vs Weaker (4)45.833.579.2+12.2100%-
This opponent (BC Steaua Bucuresti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Steaua BucurestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A18/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H25/10
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A03/11
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A10/11
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H17/11
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A20/11
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H06/12
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#7
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A17/12
Romanian Cup
CSM Oradea
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H20/12
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#7
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H23/12
Romanian Cup
82.5Avg total
41.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.583.8-1.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.339.280.5+2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)41.145.987.0-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.682.5+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.881.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.346.386.6-6.015%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.639.876.3-3.233%-
vs Weaker (5)54.839.494.2+15.460%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.8
52.8%
55.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.8
33.6%
33.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.016.5
71.7%
73.0%16.5
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Steaua Bucurestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Steaua Bucuresti: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.3
57.1%
55.9%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.58.0
37.2%
33.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.9
72.0%
73.0%14.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
LLLLLLWWWL
BC Steaua Bucuresti
LWWWWWLLWL
#6
League position
#12
-15.6
Net rating
+9.3
105.4
Offensive rating
116.5
121.0
Defensive rating
107.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
56.7%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.6%
3-point %
37.2%
63.8%
Assist %
48.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 116.5Defence121.0 · 107.3Shooting51.8% · 56.7%3-point %33.6% · 37.2%Ball care16.9% · 18.6%Off. rebounds24.6% · 35.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Valcea   ■ BC Steaua Bucuresti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valcea wins
1
BC Steaua Bucuresti wins
DateGameScore
18/04/25BC Steaua Bucuresti v Valcea86-83
21/12/24Valcea v BC Steaua Bucuresti104-89
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ACSU Sibiu85-96
13/12/25HCSM Targu Mures105-110 OT
07/12/25ASCM Timisoara91-96 OT
19/11/25ASporting CP67-121
16/11/25ARapid Bucuresti76-82
12/11/25HSassari65-97
09/11/25HArges Pitesti82-75
05/11/25AVechta90-88
01/11/25ACorona Brasov93-65
29/10/25HSporting CP61-102
BC Steaua Bucurestilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HCorona Brasov59-66
20/12/25HCSM Oradea72-68
17/12/25ACorona Brasov92-83
06/12/25HCSM Targu Jiu94-78
20/11/25AMunicipal Galati109-78
17/11/25HDinamo Bucharest86-72
10/11/25APetrolul Ploiesti88-90
03/11/25ACSU Sibiu69-74
25/10/25HCSM Targu Mures94-92 OT
18/10/25ASCM Timisoara91-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL45%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game90.594.487.2
Allowed / game85.287.883.0
Point differential+5.3+6.6+4.2
Avg total175.6182.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %18%20%17%
BC Steaua Bucuresti
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%83%17%
Points / game83.682.085.2
Allowed / game80.877.284.5
Point differential+2.8+4.8+0.7
Avg total164.4159.2169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea1312192%86.872.5+14.3
2 Voluntari129375%88.679.5+9.1
3 SCM Craiova118373%87.981.0+6.9
4 Arges Pitesti128467%78.271.8+6.5
5 Rapid Bucuresti128467%82.578.3+4.2
6 Dinamo Bucharest127558%86.682.7+3.9
7 BC Steaua Bucuresti126650%83.680.8+2.8
8 SCM Timisoara126650%89.987.2+2.7
9 CSM Targu Mures126650%89.891.6-1.8
10 Corona Brasov126650%80.483.8-3.4
11 Valcea115645%90.585.2+5.3
12 CSU Sibiu125742%81.883.9-2.1
13 Petrolul Ploiesti124833%85.790.9-5.2
14 CSM Targu Jiu131128%74.790.1-15.4
15 Municipal Galati140140%73.996.7-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea2014232683
BC Steaua Bucuresti2019162176
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