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Valcea vs CSM Oradea Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game78.2
Valcea
Romania
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
CSM Oradea
Romania
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game82.0
RomaniaDivizia ARound 22· Traian Sports Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Valcea v CSM Oradea
20 Mar 2027
VALC v COR
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
VALC82
COR102
19 Mar 2025
VALC79
COR78
18 Nov 2023
VALC74
COR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Oradea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
106avg 83
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
71avg 83
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 83
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 83
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
87avg 83
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
95avg 83
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
L
83-91
83
91
-8
68avg 83
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
66avg 83
A22/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
97-67
97
67
+30
101avg 83
H31/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
H06/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
25-29
22-22
26-27
21-22
32-20
9-23
22-25
22-26
26-19
20-17
24-23
32-24
20-27
18-21
24-18
22-28
24-13
19-24
21-21
13-21
27-20
28-8
25-18
22-14
15-23
17-20
29-34
20-23
22-26
27-12
12-19
20-14
25-8
22-24
30-21
22-14
16-21
14-21
23-18
172.9Avg total
90.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.778.2165.8+9.583%
Season at home (4)88.080.5168.5+7.575%
Season away (2)87.073.5160.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.082.9172.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)85.875.8161.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.989.7174.6-4.843%
vs Weaker (14)91.177.4168.4+13.7100%
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOradea
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 80
H10/10
Divizia A
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
69-79
69
79
-10
61avg 80
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
56avg 80
A17/10
Divizia A
VEF Riga
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
84avg 80
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 80
H24/10
Divizia A
Neftchi IK
#38
W
99-83
99
83
+16
97avg 80
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#10
L
79-96
79
96
-17
69avg 80
A31/10
Divizia A
Mykonos
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Timisoara
#12
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
H14/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
31-19
22-30
20-19
20-17
18-26
15-20
16-16
18-21
21-26
19-20
15-20
20-23
20-17
25-22
27-22
25-19
30-21
20-16
17-17
23-16
29-24
26-25
21-18
22-21
23-20
13-30
21-25
24-15
13-21
17-20
25-33
26-26
21-21
24-20
15-13
26-18
18-23
16-8
25-21
168.5Avg total
85.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.082.0170.0+6.067%
Season at home (3)91.778.3170.0+13.3100%
Season away (3)84.385.7170.0-1.333%
Last 10 (10)85.283.3168.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)85.683.6169.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.084.0176.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.787.5166.2-8.817%
vs Weaker (22)86.779.0165.7+7.773%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
ValceaCSM Oradea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H31/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/11
Divizia A
86.6Avg total
45.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.588.5+1.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.743.087.7+1.738%-
Last 30 away (14)45.544.089.5+1.543%-
Last 10 (10)45.740.986.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.877.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.146.490.6-2.321%-
vs Weaker (14)46.640.086.6+6.664%-
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H10/10
Divizia A
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/10
Divizia A
VEF Riga
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H24/10
Divizia A
Neftchi IK
#38
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A31/10
Divizia A
Mykonos
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Fribourg Olympic
#46
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Timisoara
#12
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H14/11
Divizia A
87.1Avg total
45.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.684.6+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.940.687.5+6.257%-
Last 30 away (16)41.540.582.0+1.056%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.887.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.086.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.040.080.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.243.083.2-2.850%-
vs Weaker (22)45.240.185.3+5.159%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.7
59.6%
56.7%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
32.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
75.1%15.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Oradeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Oradea: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
56.7%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.7
31.9%
32.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.615.8
80.6%
75.1%15.8
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
WWWLWWWWLW
CSM Oradea
WWLLWWWLLW
#3
League position
#6
+10.6
Net rating
+5.4
106.4
Offensive rating
100.2
95.8
Defensive rating
94.8
56.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
11.1%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
31.9%
52.0%
Assist %
55.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 100.2Defence95.8 · 94.8Shooting56.3% · 52.3%3-point %33.3% · 31.9%Ball care11.1% · 14.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Valcea   ■ CSM Oradea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valcea wins
5
CSM Oradea wins
DateGameScore
28/01/26Valcea v CSM Oradea82-102
11/10/25CSM Oradea v Valcea85-83
26/04/25CSM Oradea v Valcea90-62
19/03/25Valcea v CSM Oradea79-78
20/01/24CSM Oradea v Valcea91-77
18/11/23Valcea v CSM Oradea74-90
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HArges Pitesti75-74
31/10/26HMunicipal Galati97-67
22/10/26ACorona Brasov81-80
17/10/26HCSM Targu Mures83-91
10/10/26APetrolul Ploiesti93-67
06/10/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti97-90 OT
27/05/26ASCM Timisoara94-90
23/05/26HSCM Timisoara92-85
20/05/26ASCM Timisoara84-90
13/05/26APetrolul Ploiesti104-95
CSM Oradealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSCM Timisoara85-70
11/11/26AFribourg Olympic86-80
03/11/26AMykonos79-89
31/10/26ARapid Bucuresti79-96
28/10/26ANeftchi IK99-83
24/10/26HCSU Sibiu92-73
21/10/26HVEF Riga92-84
17/10/26ADinamo Bucharest73-87
14/10/26ALok. Plovdiv69-79
10/10/26HArges Pitesti98-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game87.788.087.0
Allowed / game78.280.573.5
Point differential+9.5+7.5+13.5
Avg total165.8168.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
CSM Oradea
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game88.091.784.3
Allowed / game82.078.385.7
Point differential+6.0+13.3-1.3
Avg total170.0170.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Targu Mures76186%94.083.7+10.3
2 Voluntari76186%88.982.7+6.1
3 Valcea65183%87.778.2+9.5
4 Dinamo Bucharest54180%87.277.6+9.6
5 SCM Craiova43175%103.099.2+3.8
6 CSM Oradea64267%88.082.0+6.0
7 CSU Sibiu73443%94.693.6+1.0
8 Arges Pitesti62433%85.386.7-1.3
9 BC Steaua Bucuresti62433%88.791.0-2.3
10 Rapid Bucuresti62433%89.594.7-5.2
11 Corona Brasov72529%87.689.1-1.6
12 SCM Timisoara72529%80.087.1-7.1
13 Petrolul Ploiesti72529%78.091.4-13.4
14 Municipal Galati71614%88.798.7-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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