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Valcea vs CSM Oradea Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-78
22-22 15-15 19-23 23-18
Position#4
Record17-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game80.2
Valcea 🏆
Romania
vs
CSM Oradea
Romania
Position#1
Record21-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game69.4
RomaniaDivizia ARound 15· Traian Sports Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valcea v CSM Oradea
20 Mar 2027
VALC v COR
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
VALC82
COR102
19 Mar 2025
VALC79
COR78
18 Nov 2023
VALC74
COR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Oradea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#13
W
104-89
104
89
+15
107avg 83
H21/12
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
100-97
100
97
+3
94avg 83
A28/12
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
W
92-85
92
85
+7
98avg 83
H11/01
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
70-75
70
75
-5
59avg 83
A18/01
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
101-70
101
70
+31
101avg 83
H26/01
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#8
W
122-114 OT
122
114
+8
99avg 83
A01/02
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
W
81-67
81
67
+14
85avg 83
H08/02
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
86avg 83
A01/03
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#3
W
74-68
74
68
+6
72avg 83
H09/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
99-77
99
77
+22
103avg 83
A15/03
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
21-23
32-27
28-21
28-24
21-22
17-26
34-25
32-19
19-21
18-17
23-28
16-15
18-24
17-17
19-19
24-14
26-21
22-22
29-13
22-13
20-17
9-21
20-20
23-17
21-17
16-16
21-17
28-27
27-13
20-27
14-20
22-19
15-16
16-15
21-18
20-15
33-22
21-22
25-18
176.1Avg total
93.2Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.780.2168.9+8.577%
Season at home (10)89.175.9165.0+13.290%
Season away (12)88.483.8172.2+4.767%
Last 10 (10)93.282.9176.1+10.390%
Last 5 (5)93.082.6175.6+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)100.097.0197.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (13)81.979.2161.2+2.762%
vs Weaker (15)90.181.9172.0+8.167%
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOradea
Date
Competition
PAOK
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 80
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Voluntari
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 80
A01/02
Divizia A
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
94-66
94
66
+28
94avg 80
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
85-59
85
59
+26
82avg 80
H09/02
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#5
W
87-56
87
56
+31
86avg 80
H13/02
Romanian Cup
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
70avg 80
H14/02
Romanian Cup
Voluntari
#1
L
83-93
83
93
-10
74avg 80
A16/02
Romanian Cup
CSM Constanta
#16
W
102-87
102
87
+15
107avg 80
A28/02
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#8
W
86-73
86
73
+13
88avg 80
H07/03
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
W
71-55
71
55
+16
69avg 80
A14/03
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
20-20
19-18
22-16
20-20
28-22
13-12
17-22
23-22
32-13
22-13
17-18
19-14
19-15
21-15
26-15
21-10
25-14
21-17
20-15
17-9
19-20
25-17
13-11
20-27
17-18
21-22
25-26
30-28
24-19
24-23
24-17
17-29
19-15
20-10
30-19
24-18
14-14
14-12
19-11
153.9Avg total
84.3Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.169.4154.5+15.795%
Season at home (11)82.966.4149.3+16.591%
Season away (11)87.372.5159.7+14.8100%
Last 10 (10)84.369.6153.9+14.790%
Last 5 (5)83.273.0156.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)85.087.2172.2-2.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)83.969.3153.3+14.688%
This opponent (Valcea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +4.3+4.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +4.3+4.3
ValceaCSM Oradea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/12
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/12
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H11/01
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A18/01
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/01
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#8
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A01/02
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H08/02
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A01/03
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A15/03
Divizia A
83.6Avg total
45.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.784.6+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.842.186.9+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)43.039.482.4+3.653%-
Last 10 (10)45.937.783.6+8.290%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.281.4+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)49.046.095.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (13)42.639.281.8+3.462%-
vs Weaker (15)43.342.585.8+0.747%-
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Voluntari
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A01/02
Divizia A
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H09/02
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#5
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H13/02
Romanian Cup
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H14/02
Romanian Cup
Voluntari
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A16/02
Romanian Cup
CSM Constanta
#16
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A28/02
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H07/03
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A14/03
Divizia A
79.7Avg total
43.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.436.279.6+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.235.176.3+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)45.537.382.8+8.373%-
Last 10 (10)43.036.779.7+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.242.286.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.235.378.5+8.077%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.5
55.3%
54.8%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.4
37.3%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.915.8
75.6%
73.0%15.8
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Oradeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Oradea: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.0
56.6%
54.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.1
38.7%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.014.9
71.0%
73.0%14.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
WWWWWWLWWW
CSM Oradea
WWWLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+13.6
Net rating
+19.2
118.6
Offensive rating
118.9
105.0
Defensive rating
99.7
55.5%
Effective FG%
57.2%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.3%
3-point %
38.7%
64.0%
Assist %
69.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 118.9Defence105.0 · 99.7Shooting55.5% · 57.2%3-point %37.3% · 38.7%Ball care16.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds36.1% · 36.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Valcea   ■ CSM Oradea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valcea wins
2
CSM Oradea wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24CSM Oradea v Valcea91-77
18/11/23Valcea v CSM Oradea74-90
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25ACSM Targu Mures99-77
09/03/25HCorona Brasov74-68
01/03/25ACSU Sibiu89-87
08/02/25HDinamo Bucharest81-67
01/02/25ARapid Bucuresti122-114 OT
26/01/25HCSM Constanta101-70
18/01/25AArges Pitesti70-75
11/01/25HVoluntari92-85
28/12/24ACluj-Napoca100-97
21/12/24HBC Steaua Bucuresti104-89
CSM Oradealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25ADinamo Bucharest71-55
07/03/25HRapid Bucuresti86-73
28/02/25ACSM Constanta102-87
16/02/25AVoluntari83-93
14/02/25HArges Pitesti74-57
13/02/25HSCM Timisoara87-56
09/02/25HArges Pitesti85-59
05/02/25ABC Kalev/Cramo94-66
01/02/25AVoluntari78-76
29/01/25HPAOK83-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %77%90%67%
Points / game88.789.188.4
Allowed / game80.275.983.8
Point differential+8.5+13.2+4.7
Avg total168.9165.0172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%8%
CSM Oradea
Divizia A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %95%91%100%
Points / game85.182.987.3
Allowed / game69.466.472.5
Point differential+15.7+16.5+14.8
Avg total154.5149.3159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%82%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea2221195%85.169.4+15.7
2 Cluj-Napoca2217577%94.277.0+17.3
3 Valcea2217577%88.780.2+8.5
4 Voluntari2317674%91.381.4+9.9
5 Corona Brasov2316770%83.678.2+5.4
6 Arges Pitesti2315865%78.573.0+5.5
7 SCM Craiova23131057%78.876.1+2.7
8 Rapid Bucuresti23131057%81.480.0+1.4
9 CSM Targu Mures23111248%87.088.1-1.2
10 SCM Timisoara23101343%78.079.6-1.6
11 Dinamo Bucharest2381535%77.781.6-3.9
12 CSU Sibiu2381535%78.386.7-8.4
13 BC Steaua Bucuresti2371630%77.785.4-7.7
14 Municipal Galati2341917%85.497.1-11.7
15 CSM Constanta2332013%80.795.2-14.5
16 Petrolul Ploiesti222209%71.788.1-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea2215192379
CSM Oradea2215231878
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