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Valcea vs Petrolul Ploiesti Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 96-84
21-15 20-14 26-27 29-28
Position#6
Record2-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game75.3
Valcea 🏆
Romania
vs
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game91.7
RomaniaDivizia ARound 5· Traian Sports Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valcea v Petrolul Ploiesti
16 Jan 2027
VALC v PETR
upcoming
10 May 2026
VALC97
PETR75
18 Oct 2025
VALC96
PETR84
12 Apr 2025
VALC93
PETR83
28 Oct 2023
VALC78
PETR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrolul Ploiesti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
74avg 81
H22/05
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 81
H02/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
W
72-61
72
61
+11
77avg 81
H04/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
L
98-114
98
114
-16
88avg 81
A08/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 81
A10/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
78avg 81
H13/06
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
104-67
104
67
+37
89avg 81
H01/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
95-74
95
74
+21
89avg 81
A04/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
73avg 81
A11/10
Divizia A
Vechta
#8
L
72-91
72
91
-19
61avg 81
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
18-17
17-25
18-16
29-22
19-28
25-21
18-18
24-15
16-18
15-13
17-15
20-36
25-25
25-23
28-30
13-16
22-20
12-22
25-22
19-20
13-16
20-20
27-19
20-24
28-12
35-13
21-18
24-17
19-15
20-15
32-27
18-22
20-22
27-14
18-27
16-27
19-20
21-15
16-29
166.0Avg total
84.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.075.3169.3+18.767%
Season at home (1)104.067.0171.0+37.0100%
Season away (2)89.079.5168.5+9.550%
Last 10 (10)84.381.7166.0+2.650%
Last 5 (5)86.678.4165.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.489.4166.8-12.012%
vs Similar (13)80.576.8157.2+3.777%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)95.780.3176.0+15.389%
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul PloiestiRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPloiesti
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
60avg 67
A19/05
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 67
H23/05
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
97-58
97
58
+39
106avg 67
A02/06
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
85-57
85
57
+28
89avg 67
A04/06
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
92-64
92
64
+28
97avg 67
H08/06
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
60-68
60
68
-8
45avg 67
A24/09
Romanian Cup
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
108-102 OT
108
102
+6
97avg 67
H28/09
Romanian Cup
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
96-82
96
82
+14
87avg 67
H04/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
72avg 67
A08/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
86-97
86
97
-11
79avg 67
H11/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
21-23
17-19
10-15
24-16
15-33
19-24
18-20
24-15
26-17
23-9
24-17
19-19
31-10
21-11
14-17
25-20
21-16
25-17
21-11
14-14
16-19
16-21
14-14
36-23
24-22
21-17
17-28
25-26
23-20
28-21
20-15
23-22
19-28
23-25
16-21
17-29
28-23
23-16
18-29
164.1Avg total
84.9Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.791.7179.3-4.033%
Season at home (2)91.089.5180.5+1.550%
Season away (1)81.096.0177.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)84.979.2164.1+5.750%
Last 5 (5)86.289.0175.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)77.792.3170.0-14.54%
vs Similar (3)81.083.0164.0-2.033%
vs Weaker (4)88.065.2153.2+22.875%
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
ValceaPetrolul Ploiesti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/05
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H02/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A08/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/06
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H13/06
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H01/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A04/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A11/10
Divizia A
Vechta
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
82.1Avg total
40.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.580.5+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.438.880.2+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)40.640.380.9+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.582.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.078.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.043.179.1-7.112%-
vs Similar (13)40.538.879.4+1.746%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.237.283.4+9.089%-
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul PloiestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/05
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H23/05
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A02/06
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A04/06
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H08/06
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A24/09
Romanian Cup
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H28/09
Romanian Cup
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H04/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A08/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H11/10
Divizia A
86.4Avg total
45.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.045.086.0-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.944.787.6-1.843%-
Last 30 away (16)39.345.284.6-5.919%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.386.4+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.290.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)40.047.787.7-7.717%-
vs Similar (3)40.738.779.3+2.033%-
vs Weaker (4)47.034.581.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.0
55.0%
55.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.7
35.1%
33.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.015.6
70.9%
73.0%15.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrolul Ploiestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrolul Ploiesti: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.123.1
56.2%
55.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.2
31.5%
33.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.613.4
76.1%
73.0%13.4
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
LLWWWLLWWL
Petrolul Ploiesti
LLWWLWWWLL
#6
League position
#14
+3.8
Net rating
+8.0
114.1
Offensive rating
111.7
110.3
Defensive rating
103.7
54.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.1%
3-point %
31.5%
55.9%
Assist %
61.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 111.7Defence110.3 · 103.7Shooting54.0% · 52.8%3-point %35.1% · 31.5%Ball care15.3% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.4% · 31.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Valcea   ■ Petrolul Ploiesti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valcea wins
1
Petrolul Ploiesti wins
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25HVechta72-91
11/10/25ACSM Oradea83-85
04/10/25ACSM Targu Jiu95-74
01/10/25HMunicipal Galati104-67
13/06/25HVoluntari79-75
10/06/25AVoluntari72-80
08/06/25AVoluntari98-114
04/06/25HVoluntari72-61
02/06/25HVoluntari91-89
22/05/25HCluj-Napoca77-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HCSM Targu Mures86-97
08/10/25ACSM Oradea81-96
04/10/25HSCM Timisoara96-82
28/09/25HBC Steaua Bucuresti108-102 OT
24/09/25ABC Steaua Bucuresti60-68
08/06/25HCSM Constanta92-64
04/06/25ACSM Constanta85-57
02/06/25ACSM Constanta97-58
23/05/25HDinamo Bucharest76-93
19/05/25ADinamo Bucharest68-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game94.0104.089.0
Allowed / game75.367.079.5
Point differential+18.7+37.0+9.5
Avg total169.3171.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Petrolul Ploiesti
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game87.791.081.0
Allowed / game91.789.596.0
Point differential-4.0+1.5-15.0
Avg total179.3180.5177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea330100%93.372.3+21.0
2 Arges Pitesti440100%80.263.2+17.0
3 Rapid Bucuresti440100%82.273.8+8.5
4 SCM Craiova43175%89.082.5+6.5
5 Corona Brasov43175%80.079.0+1.0
6 Valcea32167%94.075.3+18.7
7 Voluntari32167%87.376.7+10.7
8 CSM Targu Mures32167%87.087.3-0.3
9 Dinamo Bucharest52340%84.884.4+0.4
10 Petrolul Ploiesti31233%87.791.7-4.0
11 SCM Timisoara41325%87.587.0+0.5
12 BC Steaua Bucuresti41325%75.081.0-6.0
13 CSU Sibiu4040%73.290.8-17.5
14 CSM Targu Jiu4040%68.090.2-22.2
15 Municipal Galati4040%62.084.8-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea2120262996
Petrolul Ploiesti1514272884
← all games of the day
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