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Valcea vs Petrolul Ploiesti Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game78.2
Valcea
Romania
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
6.4/10
Above normal
Petrolul Ploiesti
Romania
Position#13
Record2-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game91.4
RomaniaDivizia ARound 15· Traian Sports Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Valcea v Petrolul Ploiesti
16 Jan 2027
VALC v PETR
upcoming
10 May 2026
VALC97
PETR75
18 Oct 2025
VALC96
PETR84
12 Apr 2025
VALC93
PETR83
28 Oct 2023
VALC78
PETR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Petrolul Ploiesti win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
106avg 82
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
71avg 82
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 82
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 82
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
87avg 82
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
95avg 82
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
L
83-91
83
91
-8
68avg 82
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
66avg 82
A22/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
97-67
97
67
+30
101avg 82
H31/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
H06/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
25-29
22-22
26-27
21-22
32-20
9-23
22-25
22-26
26-19
20-17
24-23
32-24
20-27
18-21
24-18
22-28
24-13
19-24
21-21
13-21
27-20
28-8
25-18
22-14
15-23
17-20
29-34
20-23
22-26
27-12
12-19
20-14
25-8
22-24
30-21
22-14
16-21
14-21
23-18
172.9Avg total
90.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.778.2165.8+9.583%
Season at home (4)88.080.5168.5+7.575%
Season away (2)87.073.5160.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.082.9172.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)85.875.8161.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
vs Similar (14)84.989.7174.6-4.843%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)91.177.4168.4+13.7100%
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul PloiestiRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPloiesti
Date
Competition
Valcea
#6
L
95-104
95
104
-9
89avg 77
H13/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
100-83
100
83
+17
106avg 77
A20/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
103-71
103
71
+32
97avg 77
H22/05
Divizia A
Voluntari
#2
L
84-103
84
103
-19
77avg 77
A03/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
L
67-93
67
93
-26
56avg 77
H10/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 77
A17/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#10
L
72-88
72
88
-16
64avg 77
H24/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
L
81-110
81
110
-29
72avg 77
H31/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
L
80-97
80
97
-17
no box
A07/11
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H14/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
29-25
22-22
27-26
28-16
24-26
25-19
23-22
24-18
25-17
26-16
28-20
22-26
15-26
20-27
27-24
21-13
20-27
8-28
18-25
27-24
21-10
13-19
15-15
21-18
22-17
12-27
17-26
18-27
18-21
18-35
27-27
23-26
23-20
16-34
18-17
24-13
22-26
16-23
24-19
174.2Avg total
84.4Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.091.4169.4-13.429%
Season at home (4)76.593.0169.5-16.525%
Season away (3)80.089.3169.3-9.333%
Last 10 (10)84.489.8174.2-5.440%
Last 5 (5)79.088.8167.8-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)85.391.9177.2-6.529%
vs Similar (3)77.093.3170.3-16.333%
vs Weaker (3)87.077.7164.7+9.3100%
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
ValceaPetrolul Ploiesti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H31/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/11
Divizia A
86.6Avg total
45.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.588.5+1.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.743.087.7+1.738%-
Last 30 away (14)45.544.089.5+1.543%-
Last 10 (10)45.740.986.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.877.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (14)44.146.490.6-2.321%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.640.086.6+6.664%-
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul PloiestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valcea
#6
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H13/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A20/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H22/05
Divizia A
Voluntari
#2
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A03/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H10/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A17/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H24/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H31/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A07/11
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H14/11
Divizia A
87.1Avg total
44.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.546.188.6-3.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.443.585.9-1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.748.791.3-6.033%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.787.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.484.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)42.846.689.4-3.942%-
vs Similar (3)42.044.786.7-2.767%-
vs Weaker (3)41.343.384.7-2.067%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.7
59.6%
56.7%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
32.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
75.1%15.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrolul Ploiestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrolul Ploiesti: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.125.4
55.1%
56.7%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.05.5
30.6%
32.6%16.5
🏀 Free throws22.116.6
75.1%
75.1%16.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
WWWLWWWWLW
Petrolul Ploiesti
WLLLWLLWWL
#3
League position
#13
+10.6
Net rating
-4.4
106.4
Offensive rating
96.8
95.8
Defensive rating
101.2
56.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
11.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.3%
3-point %
30.6%
52.0%
Assist %
57.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 96.8Defence95.8 · 101.2Shooting56.3% · 52.5%3-point %33.3% · 30.6%Ball care11.1% · 15.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Valcea   ■ Petrolul Ploiesti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Valcea wins
1
Petrolul Ploiesti wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Petrolul Ploiesti v Valcea67-93
13/05/26Petrolul Ploiesti v Valcea95-104
10/05/26Valcea v Petrolul Ploiesti97-75
01/02/26Petrolul Ploiesti v Valcea69-94
18/10/25Valcea v Petrolul Ploiesti96-84
12/04/25Valcea v Petrolul Ploiesti93-83
14/12/24Petrolul Ploiesti v Valcea77-86
30/12/23Petrolul Ploiesti v Valcea92-96 OT
28/10/23Valcea v Petrolul Ploiesti78-84
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HArges Pitesti75-74
31/10/26HMunicipal Galati97-67
22/10/26ACorona Brasov81-80
17/10/26HCSM Targu Mures83-91
10/10/26APetrolul Ploiesti93-67
06/10/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti97-90 OT
27/05/26ASCM Timisoara94-90
23/05/26HSCM Timisoara92-85
20/05/26ASCM Timisoara84-90
13/05/26APetrolul Ploiesti104-95
Petrolul Ploiestilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMunicipal Galati86-81
07/11/26ACorona Brasov80-97
31/10/26HCSM Targu Mures81-110
24/10/26HRapid Bucuresti72-88
17/10/26ABC Steaua Bucuresti76-68
10/10/26HValcea67-93
03/10/26AVoluntari84-103
22/05/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti103-71
20/05/26ABC Steaua Bucuresti100-83
13/05/26HValcea95-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game87.788.087.0
Allowed / game78.280.573.5
Point differential+9.5+7.5+13.5
Avg total165.8168.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
Petrolul Ploiesti
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game78.076.580.0
Allowed / game91.493.089.3
Point differential-13.4-16.5-9.3
Avg total169.4169.5169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Targu Mures76186%94.083.7+10.3
2 Voluntari76186%88.982.7+6.1
3 Valcea65183%87.778.2+9.5
4 Dinamo Bucharest54180%87.277.6+9.6
5 SCM Craiova43175%103.099.2+3.8
6 CSM Oradea64267%88.082.0+6.0
7 CSU Sibiu73443%94.693.6+1.0
8 Arges Pitesti62433%85.386.7-1.3
9 BC Steaua Bucuresti62433%88.791.0-2.3
10 Rapid Bucuresti62433%89.594.7-5.2
11 Corona Brasov72529%87.689.1-1.6
12 SCM Timisoara72529%80.087.1-7.1
13 Petrolul Ploiesti72529%78.091.4-13.4
14 Municipal Galati71614%88.798.7-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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