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Valecnici Decin vs Liberecko Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-69
20-17 12-22 21-17 22-13
Position#6
Record11-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#8
Record8-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game82.1
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 17· ARMEX Sportcentrum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valecnici Decin v Liberecko
06 Nov 2026
VALE89
LIBE51
23 Jan 2026
VALE75
LIBE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valecnici Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberecko winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Plzen
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
55avg 70
A24/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
100-67
100
67
+33
86avg 70
H02/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
77avg 70
A13/11
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
W
83-68
83
68
+15
70avg 70
H16/11
1. Liga
Chomutov
#22
W
89-77
89
77
+12
74avg 70
A21/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
76-67
76
67
+9
61avg 70
H27/11
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 70
A05/12
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
73avg 70
H14/12
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
99-90 OT
99
90
+9
73avg 70
A19/12
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
82avg 70
H11/01
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
25-18
18-22
18-21
31-13
15-10
22-18
32-26
22-24
17-26
27-9
23-10
21-15
14-15
22-16
26-22
18-14
27-14
19-22
25-27
23-18
17-16
20-13
16-20
24-21
24-13
25-22
19-15
18-30
25-20
22-26
26-17
20-17
17-29
16-17
29-19
22-25
15-19
24-16
30-17
164.9Avg total
88.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.773.2156.9+10.573%
Season at home (8)81.971.8153.6+10.162%
Season away (7)85.774.9160.6+10.986%
Last 10 (10)88.476.5164.9+11.980%
Last 5 (5)89.879.6169.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)88.376.7165.0+11.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.572.3154.8+10.275%
This opponent (Liberecko) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibereckoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiberecko
Date
Competition
Polabi
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
82avg 70
H31/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
69-89
69
89
-20
41avg 70
H13/11
1. Liga
Chomutov
#22
L
82-92
82
92
-10
63avg 70
A16/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
105-82
105
82
+23
97avg 70
A21/11
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
105-78
105
78
+27
98avg 70
H27/11
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
87-86
87
86
+1
65avg 70
A05/12
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
86avg 70
H12/12
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
57-86
57
86
-29
42avg 70
A19/12
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
73-84
73
84
-11
60avg 70
H11/01
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
A18/01
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
16-21
24-11
19-28
24-22
26-17
9-27
10-23
14-26
20-20
23-20
25-26
31-15
19-25
30-23
25-19
29-24
26-19
24-13
26-22
22-18
19-15
17-29
29-24
29-27
22-12
23-25
15-17
11-21
17-27
16-19
13-19
21-21
14-21
24-21
14-21
20-21
20-19
20-13
20-16
164.6Avg total
82.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.782.1161.8-2.450%
Season at home (8)81.081.5162.5-0.550%
Season away (8)78.482.8161.1-4.450%
Last 10 (10)82.582.1164.6+0.460%
Last 5 (5)77.281.2158.4-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)65.386.7152.0-21.30%
vs Similar (13)77.881.5159.3-3.654%
vs Weaker (14)85.276.4161.6+8.864%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
Valecnici DecinLiberecko
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plzen
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A24/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H02/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A13/11
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H16/11
1. Liga
Chomutov
#22
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A21/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H27/11
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A05/12
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H14/12
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/12
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H11/01
1. Liga
79.0Avg total
40.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)38.737.175.8+1.540%-
Last 30 at home (8)38.235.273.5+3.050%-
Last 30 away (7)39.139.378.4-0.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.279.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.682.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)40.336.777.0+3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.237.275.5+1.042%-
This opponent (Liberecko) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibereckoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polabi
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H31/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H13/11
1. Liga
Chomutov
#22
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A21/11
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H27/11
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A05/12
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H12/12
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A19/12
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/01
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A18/01
1. Liga
82.4Avg total
41.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.180.9+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.137.681.7+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.580.1-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.582.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.479.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)40.743.784.3-3.033%-
vs Similar (13)40.740.381.0+0.446%-
vs Weaker (14)42.937.180.0+5.979%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.523.4
53.8%
51.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.68.2
25.9%
29.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws26.616.6
62.4%
65.8%16.6
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Libereckotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liberecko: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.8
56.2%
51.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
29.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.714.1
62.1%
65.8%14.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valecnici Decin
WWLWWWWWWL
Liberecko
WLLWWWWLLW
#6
League position
#8
+14.8
Net rating
-1.5
107.3
Offensive rating
108.9
92.6
Defensive rating
110.3
47.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
41.1%
Off. rebound %
38.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
25.9%
3-point %
30.4%
47.5%
Assist %
50.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 108.9Defence92.6 · 110.3Shooting47.5% · 51.8%3-point %25.9% · 30.4%Ball care17.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds41.1% · 38.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Valecnici Decin   ■ Liberecko
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valecnici Decin wins
0
Liberecko wins
DateGameScore
13/11/25Liberecko v Valecnici Decin69-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HPlzen91-77
19/12/25AUSK Prague B99-90 OT
14/12/25HLitomerice91-93
05/12/25ACZ.ACADEMY92-71
27/11/25HSokol Prazsky76-67
21/11/25AChomutov89-77
16/11/25HPolabi83-68
13/11/25ALiberecko89-69
02/11/25HRadotin100-67
24/10/25APlzen74-86
Libereckolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26APolabi80-69
11/01/26HRadotin73-84
19/12/25APlzen57-86
12/12/25HUSK Prague B89-81
05/12/25ALitomerice87-86
27/11/25HCZ.ACADEMY105-78
21/11/25ASokol Prazsky105-82
16/11/25AChomutov82-92
13/11/25HValecnici Decin69-89
31/10/25HPolabi78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%62%86%
Points / game83.781.985.7
Allowed / game73.271.874.9
Point differential+10.5+10.1+10.9
Avg total156.9153.6160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %7%0%14%
Liberecko
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.781.078.4
Allowed / game82.181.582.8
Point differential-2.4-0.5-4.4
Avg total161.8162.5161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin1612475%88.676.5+12.1
2 Plzen1612475%81.871.6+10.2
3 Zlin1511473%83.971.2+12.7
4 Valecnici Decin1511473%83.773.2+10.5
5 Pardubice 21611569%80.874.9+5.9
6 Svitavy169756%88.283.4+4.9
7 Polabi169756%79.378.6+0.8
8 Opava 2169756%82.282.4-0.2
9 Litomerice169756%83.484.1-0.7
10 Liberecko168850%79.782.1-2.4
11 Brno U23167944%78.181.6-3.4
12 Vysoka167944%76.382.3-6.0
13 USK Prague B1771041%77.979.8-1.9
14 CZ.ACADEMY1771041%81.286.0-4.8
15 Radotin156940%81.683.0-1.4
16 Sokol Prazsky1661038%82.288.8-6.5
17 Jindrichuv Hradec1551033%81.384.0-2.7
18 Chomutov1651131%83.886.6-2.8
19 Basketbal Olomouc1641225%72.980.3-7.4
20 MS Academy1641225%78.193.3-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valecnici Decin2012212275
Liberecko1722171369
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