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Valecnici Decin vs USK Prague B Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Postponed
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game75.6
Vs
76%
24%
■ VALE 76%■ USK 24%
Pythia win probability
Projected 82-74
Projected total 155.7
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game75.5
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 7· ARMEX Sportcentrum
Other2026-27
Meetings · Valecnici Decin v USK Prague B
01 Nov 2026
VALE v USK
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
VALE79
USK 61
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Valecnici Decin host USK Prague B in the 1. Liga. Pythia makes Valecnici Decin the favourite at 76% and projects 82-74, about 156 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Valecnici Decin are 5-0 this season (83.2 scored, 75.6 allowed a game), form WWWWW; USK Prague B are 4-2 this season (79.5 scored, 75.5 allowed a game), form WWWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valecnici Decin win
75.7%fair 1.32
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
USK Prague B win
24.3%fair 4.11
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Novy Jicin
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 70
A20/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
94-74
94
74
+20
83avg 70
A27/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
78avg 70
H29/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
62avg 70
A08/04
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 70
H11/04
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
W
84-75
84
75
+9
71avg 70
H18/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
68-64 OT
68
64
+4
56avg 70
A27/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#19
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 70
H02/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#12
W
97-90
97
90
+7
86avg 70
H16/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#18
W
88-78
88
78
+10
73avg 70
A23/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-33
27-22
22-17
19-23
19-24
23-15
28-20
24-15
20-13
19-28
26-7
20-17
16-28
26-18
20-27
16-20
17-19
17-23
29-26
17-18
20-19
29-24
23-18
12-14
17-18
15-13
7-18
17-7
14-16
21-21
26-12
18-22
26-18
24-19
20-25
27-28
17-13
25-27
23-18
23-20
163.0Avg total
83.9Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.275.6158.8+7.6100%
Season at home (3)86.778.7165.3+8.0100%
Season away (2)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.979.1163.0+4.870%
Last 5 (5)83.275.6158.8+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.080.4153.4-7.440%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.177.1160.2+6.060%
vs Weaker (15)85.775.7161.4+9.987%
This opponent (USK Prague B) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USK Prague BCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormB
Date
Competition
Vysoka
#15
W
76-59
76
59
+17
70avg 68
A22/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
W
86-81
86
81
+5
71avg 68
H29/03
1. Liga
MS Academy
#18
L
56-79
56
79
-23
40avg 68
H01/04
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
L
80-87
80
87
-7
71avg 68
H10/04
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 68
A18/09
1. Liga
Radotin
#17
W
81-63
81
63
+18
79avg 68
H27/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#12
W
95-84
95
84
+11
96avg 68
A02/10
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
W
77-73
77
73
+4
73avg 68
H11/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#18
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
59avg 68
A16/10
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 68
H25/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
23-14
14-9
25-21
17-23
17-24
33-17
19-17
19-23
13-11
10-22
14-23
19-24
18-19
26-15
17-29
20-22
17-18
14-24
23-15
20-16
23-16
18-19
20-12
25-19
24-31
18-20
28-14
18-18
20-11
18-21
21-23
16-22
23-18
14-17
17-13
22-18
15-18
16-28
16-16
153.4Avg total
77.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.575.5155.0+4.067%
Season at home (3)75.772.0147.7+3.767%
Season away (3)83.379.0162.3+4.367%
Last 10 (10)77.575.9153.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)80.674.8155.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.784.8159.4-10.122%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.279.1158.3+0.141%
vs Weaker (4)83.573.5157.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155.5
Over 155.5
49.8%
Under 155.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 160.5
Over 160.5
37.9%
Under 160.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
27.1%
Under 165.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Valecnici Decin total 78
Over 78
65.2%
Under 78
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valecnici Decin total 82
Over 82
49.1%
Under 82
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valecnici Decin total 86
Over 86
33.1%
Under 86
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USK Prague B total 75
Over 75
45.0%
Under 75
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USK Prague B total 79
Over 79
30.0%
Under 79
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USK Prague B total 83
Over 83
18.1%
Under 83
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Valecnici Decin -3
VALE -3
68.6%
USK +3
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
VALE
No market prices yet.
USK
No market prices yet.
Spread Valecnici Decin 0
VALE 0
75.7%
USK 0
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
VALE
No market prices yet.
USK
No market prices yet.
Spread Valecnici Decin +3
VALE +3
82.4%
USK -3
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
VALE
No market prices yet.
USK
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
Valecnici DecinUSK Prague B
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Novy Jicin
#2
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A20/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A27/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H29/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A08/04
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H11/04
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H18/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A27/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#19
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#12
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H16/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/10
1. Liga
82.1Avg total
41.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.778.8-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.538.777.1-0.240%-
Last 30 away (15)39.840.780.5-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.182.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.679.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.442.078.4-5.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.338.778.0+0.640%-
vs Weaker (15)39.939.579.5+0.447%-
This opponent (USK Prague B) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USK Prague BLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vysoka
#15
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A22/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H29/03
1. Liga
MS Academy
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H01/04
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/04
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/09
1. Liga
Radotin
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H27/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A02/10
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H11/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#18
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A16/10
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/10
1. Liga
76.3Avg total
38.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.079.6-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.737.676.3+1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)40.442.182.5-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.076.3+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.478.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.341.779.0-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.239.679.8+0.635%-
vs Weaker (4)42.237.880.0+4.550%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.9
55.7%
51.1%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.46.0
21.1%
27.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws26.016.1
61.9%
61.4%16.1
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
USK Prague Btheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USK Prague B: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.723.5
52.6%
51.1%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.75.1
25.9%
27.5%15.3
🏀 Free throws23.314.6
62.7%
61.4%14.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valecnici Decin
WWWWWLLWWL
USK Prague B
LWWWWLLLWW
#1
League position
#7
+5.8
Net rating
+1.2
85.0
Offensive rating
84.7
79.2
Defensive rating
83.5
46.4%
Effective FG%
48.4%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
21.1%
3-point %
25.9%
57.0%
Assist %
47.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.0 · 84.7Defence79.2 · 83.5Shooting46.4% · 48.4%3-point %21.1% · 25.9%Ball care14.2% · 16.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Valecnici Decin   ■ USK Prague B
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valecnici Decin wins
0
USK Prague B wins
DateGameScore
19/12/25USK Prague B v Valecnici Decin90-99 OT
19/10/25Valecnici Decin v USK Prague B79-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26ALitomerice88-78
16/10/26HSokol Prazsky97-90
02/10/26HSlavia Prague Tygri79-71
27/09/26AJindrichuv Hradec68-64 OT
18/09/26HPolabi84-75
11/04/26HZlin80-86
08/04/26AZlin78-93
29/03/26HPardubice 285-65
27/03/26APardubice 294-74
20/03/26ANovy Jicin86-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HJindrichuv Hradec69-80
16/10/26ALitomerice81-74 OT
11/10/26HPolabi77-73
02/10/26ASokol Prazsky95-84
27/09/26HRadotin81-63
18/09/26ACZ.ACADEMY74-79
10/04/26HBasketbal Olomouc80-87
01/04/26HMS Academy56-79
29/03/26HJindrichuv Hradec86-81
22/03/26AVysoka76-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.286.778.0
Allowed / game75.678.771.0
Point differential+7.6+8.0+7.0
Avg total158.8165.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
USK Prague B
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game79.575.783.3
Allowed / game75.572.079.0
Point differential+4.0+3.7+4.3
Avg total155.0147.7162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valecnici Decin550100%83.275.6+7.6
2 Jindrichuv Hradec76186%82.367.0+15.3
3 Novy Jicin76186%87.175.6+11.6
4 CZ.ACADEMY43175%83.571.2+12.2
5 Zlin75271%82.167.9+14.3
6 Svitavy75271%92.386.1+6.1
7 USK Prague B64267%79.575.5+4.0
8 Vysoka74357%73.473.1+0.3
9 SK Zabovresky74357%73.775.7-2.0
10 Liberecko42250%74.881.8-7.0
11 Brno U2373443%84.382.7+1.6
12 Sokol Prazsky62433%82.888.7-5.8
13 Pardubice 262433%73.379.7-6.3
14 Radotin62433%73.286.3-13.2
15 Polabi72529%81.382.1-0.9
16 Opava 272529%74.978.3-3.4
17 MS Academy72529%77.382.4-5.1
18 Litomerice51420%79.084.6-5.6
19 Slavia Prague Tygri61517%78.085.0-7.0
20 Basketbal Olomouc61517%65.586.3-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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