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Valencia vs Bamberg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-70
28-11 9-23 23-20 26-16
Position#11
Record8-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game80.7
Valencia 🏆
vs
Bamberg
Position#13
Record9-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bamberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
106avg 107
A18/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
88-72
88
72
+16
115avg 107
H21/01
ACB
Khimki M.
#8
W
85-83
85
83
+2
115avg 107
H26/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
77-96
77
96
-19
95avg 107
A28/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
L
66-82
66
82
-16
93avg 107
A01/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#18
W
103-67
103
67
+36
138avg 107
H04/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
103-99
103
99
+4
130avg 107
H08/02
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
119avg 107
A11/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
89avg 107
A22/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
12-21
26-16
25-23
27-16
22-27
23-12
16-17
23-24
23-20
17-20
22-19
21-21
18-27
17-26
21-22
19-23
12-20
22-20
13-19
24-14
33-14
28-22
18-17
21-23
28-19
24-24
30-33
16-19
28-20
27-18
19-19
21-20
15-16
19-23
17-20
11-22
28-18
16-22
15-18
165.6Avg total
83.6Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.480.7158.1-3.335%
Season at home (11)79.977.9157.8+2.055%
Season away (12)75.283.2158.4-8.117%
Last 10 (10)83.682.0165.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)87.680.2167.8+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.881.9157.6-6.138%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.083.4162.4-4.423%
vs Weaker (8)90.073.4163.4+16.675%
This opponent (Bamberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BambergLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBamberg
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
93-86
93
86
+7
121avg 97
H16/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
66-81
66
81
-15
93avg 97
A18/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
100avg 97
A26/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#6
L
69-106
69
106
-37
no box
A28/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#5
W
95-74
95
74
+21
122avg 97
H02/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A04/02
BBL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
91avg 97
A09/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
L
63-71
63
71
-8
no box
H11/02
BBL
Jena
#12
L
68-85
68
85
-17
no box
A16/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
86-62
86
62
+24
119avg 97
H23/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
16-21
27-17
29-25
15-18
19-26
18-15
14-22
19-18
11-21
16-16
26-26
14-26
17-27
22-32
16-21
23-17
19-15
15-23
38-19
19-20
12-16
20-29
24-16
13-16
19-26
16-19
21-16
25-11
10-18
19-26
9-16
20-20
18-29
16-19
14-17
21-23
25-13
23-9
17-17
156.0Avg total
75.6Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.578.9154.3-3.439%
Season at home (12)77.278.1155.2-0.958%
Season away (11)73.679.7153.4-6.118%
Last 10 (10)75.680.4156.0-4.830%
Last 5 (5)72.275.2147.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.779.4154.1-4.727%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.379.0154.3-3.733%
vs Weaker (6)80.873.3154.2+7.583%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
ValenciaBamberg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A18/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H21/01
ACB
Khimki M.
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H26/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A28/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A01/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#18
W
57-28
57
28
+29
H04/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H08/02
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/02
Euroleague
83.1Avg total
42.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.179.8+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.836.078.8+6.869%-
Last 30 away (14)38.442.680.9-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.083.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.082.0+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.439.676.0-3.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.840.280.1-0.438%-
vs Weaker (8)47.037.084.0+10.088%-
This opponent (Bamberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BambergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H16/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A18/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A28/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H02/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A04/02
BBL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A09/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H11/02
BBL
Jena
#12
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A16/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H23/02
Euroleague
76.0Avg total
35.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.677.7-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.638.277.9+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)36.541.177.6-4.621%-
Last 10 (10)35.640.476.0-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.474.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.541.578.0-4.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.337.776.0+0.756%-
vs Weaker (6)42.037.779.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.8
50.8%
51.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.5
39.1%
37.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.217.6
87.1%
76.3%17.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bambergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bamberg: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.015.9
45.4%
51.7%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.7
40.1%
37.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.117.4
78.7%
76.3%17.4
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLWWWLLWWL
Bamberg
WLLLLWLLLW
#11
League position
#13
+4.5
Net rating
-2.0
117.0
Offensive rating
107.0
112.5
Defensive rating
109.0
53.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
13.6%
Turnover %
19.6%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
39.1%
3-point %
40.1%
59.7%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 107.0Defence112.5 · 109.0Shooting53.9% · 51.1%3-point %39.1% · 40.1%Ball care13.6% · 19.6%Off. rebounds26.8% · 29.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Valencia   ■ Bamberg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valencia wins
1
Bamberg wins
DateGameScore
23/11/17Bamberg v Valencia83-82
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/18AOlympiacos70-80
15/02/18HTenerife72-79
11/02/18ASan Pablo Burgos90-76
08/02/18HCSKA Moscow103-99
04/02/18HReal Betis103-67
01/02/18AAnadolu Efes66-82
28/01/18AObradoiro CAB77-96
26/01/18HKhimki M.85-83
21/01/18HFuenlabrada88-72
18/01/18AZalgiris Kaunas82-86
Bamberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/18HCrvena zvezda86-62
16/02/18AJena68-85
11/02/18HBayern63-71
09/02/18AFenerbahce69-77
04/02/18AAlba Berlin75-81
02/02/18HPanathinaikos95-74
28/01/18ABonn69-106
26/01/18ACSKA Moscow72-81
18/01/18ABarcelona66-81
16/01/18HZalgiris Kaunas93-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL35%
HomeWLWWW55%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%55%17%
Points / game77.479.975.2
Allowed / game80.777.983.2
Point differential-3.3+2.0-8.1
Avg total158.1157.8158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)67% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Bamberg
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW39%
HomeLLWWW58%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%58%18%
Points / game75.577.273.6
Allowed / game78.978.179.7
Point differential-3.4-0.9-6.1
Avg total154.3155.2153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2419579%90.079.8+10.2
2 Fenerbahce2316770%80.074.5+5.5
3 Olympiacos2316770%76.474.1+2.3
4 Zalgiris Kaunas2415962%82.380.7+1.6
5 Real Madrid2314961%85.278.9+6.3
6 Khimki M.2314961%77.776.8+0.9
7 Panathinaikos2314961%77.477.0+0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv24121250%81.384.2-3.0
9 Baskonia23101343%81.980.7+1.2
10 Unicaja23101343%77.779.8-2.1
11 Bamberg2391439%75.578.9-3.4
12 Crvena zvezda2391439%78.283.3-5.1
13 Valencia2381535%77.480.7-3.3
14 Olimpia Milano2371630%81.787.0-5.4
15 Barcelona2471729%80.080.9-0.8
16 Anadolu Efes2361726%77.383.1-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia289232686
Bamberg1123201670
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