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Valencia vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 103-99
21-23 28-19 24-24 30-33
Position#11
Record7-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#1
Record17-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2017
Meetings · Valencia v CSKA Moscow
04 Feb 2021
VAL105
CMO103
08 Feb 2018
VAL103
CMO99
03 Nov 2010
VAL82
CMO57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
A07/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
93avg 107
H11/01
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
103-58
103
58
+45
139avg 107
H13/01
ACB
Barcelona
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
112avg 107
H16/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
106avg 107
A18/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
88-72
88
72
+16
115avg 107
H21/01
ACB
Khimki M.
#8
W
85-83
85
83
+2
115avg 107
H26/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
77-96
77
96
-19
95avg 107
A28/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
L
66-82
66
82
-16
93avg 107
A01/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#18
W
103-67
103
67
+36
138avg 107
H04/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
19-10
18-20
17-22
7-18
20-15
23-18
17-29
29-28
31-7
24-6
19-17
22-14
21-22
19-23
19-17
19-26
12-21
26-16
25-23
27-16
22-27
23-12
16-17
23-24
23-20
17-20
22-19
21-21
18-27
17-26
21-22
19-23
12-20
22-20
13-19
24-14
33-14
28-22
18-17
160.4Avg total
82.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.679.9156.4-3.333%
Season at home (10)77.675.8153.4+1.850%
Season away (11)75.683.5159.2-7.918%
Last 10 (10)82.677.8160.4+4.850%
Last 5 (5)83.880.0163.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.781.0151.7-10.322%
vs Similar (12)79.883.7163.4-3.925%
vs Weaker (9)88.774.0162.7+14.778%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#12
L
72-85
72
85
-13
100avg 116
A04/01
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H07/01
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
107-81
107
81
+26
137avg 116
A11/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
no box
A14/01
VTB United League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
110-79
110
79
+31
140avg 116
H17/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
75-70
75
70
+5
98avg 116
A19/01
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
97-80
97
80
+17
no box
H22/01
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
109avg 116
H26/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
93-87
93
87
+6
118avg 116
H01/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#5
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H05/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
25-22
13-19
17-19
18-19
19-22
20-21
22-28
23-15
27-21
27-25
30-20
22-22
23-18
22-23
16-24
35-21
23-25
23-15
29-18
15-20
16-9
20-22
24-19
25-19
22-20
22-15
28-26
18-19
21-11
16-16
26-26
33-11
21-20
24-29
15-27
16-15
24-12
21-26
29-18
168.9Avg total
88.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.278.7167.9+10.681%
Season at home (11)91.979.1171.0+12.891%
Season away (10)86.378.2164.5+8.170%
Last 10 (10)88.780.2168.9+8.570%
Last 5 (5)87.276.0163.2+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)93.091.0184.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.577.9168.4+12.686%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
ValenciaCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H11/01
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H13/01
ACB
Barcelona
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H16/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A18/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H21/01
ACB
Khimki M.
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H26/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A28/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A01/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#18
W
57-28
57
28
+29
H04/02
ACB
81.5Avg total
42.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.978.9+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.935.578.4+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)37.142.379.3-5.220%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.381.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.285.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.439.674.0-5.122%-
vs Similar (12)39.940.280.2-0.342%-
vs Weaker (9)45.736.382.0+9.378%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A04/01
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/01
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A11/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A14/01
VTB United League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H17/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A19/01
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H22/01
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H26/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H01/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/02
VTB United League
80.9Avg total
44.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.738.984.5+6.883%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.738.383.9+7.478%-
Last 30 away (12)45.739.885.4+5.992%-
Last 10 (10)44.336.680.9+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)42.231.273.4+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)47.538.586.0+9.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.538.984.4+6.686%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.6
50.0%
51.7%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.6
38.8%
37.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.917.0
85.4%
76.3%17.0
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.4
52.0%
51.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.89.6
46.2%
37.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.618.8
83.2%
76.3%18.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWWLWWLL
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWWLWLL
#11
League position
#1
+7.8
Net rating
+13.0
118.6
Offensive rating
121.2
110.7
Defensive rating
108.1
53.7%
Effective FG%
58.0%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.8%
3-point %
46.2%
64.3%
Assist %
58.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 121.2Defence110.7 · 108.1Shooting53.7% · 58.0%3-point %38.8% · 46.2%Ball care14.9% · 14.5%Off. rebounds32.2% · 27.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
2
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
09/11/17CSKA Moscow v Valencia94-67
08/12/10CSKA Moscow v Valencia73-63
03/11/10Valencia v CSKA Moscow82-57
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/18HReal Betis103-67
01/02/18AAnadolu Efes66-82
28/01/18AObradoiro CAB77-96
26/01/18HKhimki M.85-83
21/01/18HFuenlabrada88-72
18/01/18AZalgiris Kaunas82-86
16/01/18HBarcelona81-76
13/01/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza103-58
11/01/18HFenerbahce67-80
07/01/18ABaskonia74-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/18HKhimki M.90-71
01/02/18HReal Madrid93-87
26/01/18HBamberg81-72
22/01/18HNizhny Novgorod97-80
19/01/18APanathinaikos75-70
17/01/18HAnadolu Efes110-79
14/01/18AZenit Petersburg83-87
11/01/18AOlimpia Milano107-81
07/01/18HLokomotiv Kuban79-90
04/01/18ABarcelona72-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%50%18%
Points / game76.677.675.6
Allowed / game79.975.883.5
Point differential-3.3+1.8-7.9
Avg total156.4153.4159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %81%91%70%
Points / game89.291.986.3
Allowed / game78.779.178.2
Point differential+10.6+12.8+8.1
Avg total167.9171.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2117481%89.278.7+10.6
2 Fenerbahce2114767%79.775.0+4.7
3 Olympiacos2114767%76.174.0+2.0
4 Panathinaikos2214864%78.176.9+1.2
5 Real Madrid2113862%84.879.1+5.7
6 Zalgiris Kaunas2113862%82.181.3+0.8
7 Khimki M.2112957%77.377.7-0.3
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv22121055%82.283.9-1.7
9 Baskonia22101245%81.780.1+1.6
10 Unicaja2181338%77.480.9-3.5
11 Bamberg2181338%75.379.8-4.5
12 Crvena zvezda2181338%78.082.9-5.0
13 Valencia2171433%76.679.9-3.3
14 Olimpia Milano2171433%81.986.3-4.5
15 Barcelona2271532%80.679.5+1.0
16 Anadolu Efes2161529%78.183.1-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia21282430103
CSKA Moscow2319243399
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