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Valencia vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-68
23-7 19-20 20-21 24-20
Position#4
Record4-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeEurocupRound 7
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
71-70
71
70
+1
64avg 79
H06/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
97-96
97
96
+1
96avg 79
A10/11
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
87avg 79
A14/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#17
W
98-95
98
95
+3
105avg 79
H17/11
Eurocup
Bilbao
#11
W
100-84
100
84
+16
94avg 79
H20/11
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
87-88
87
88
-1
78avg 79
A04/12
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
81-67
81
67
+14
80avg 79
A07/12
Eurocup
Breogan
#10
L
97-98
97
98
-1
88avg 79
H19/12
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
85-97
85
97
-12
75avg 79
H21/12
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 79
H23/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
12-14
22-17
17-14
23-33
22-24
27-22
25-17
19-21
16-17
28-25
24-16
24-17
26-26
20-28
28-24
30-36
11-21
31-16
28-11
19-22
22-26
22-21
24-19
27-16
15-16
20-15
19-20
19-29
17-21
14-25
47-23
22-24
22-19
20-27
21-27
18-24
14-14
27-13
32-20
173.9Avg total
89.4Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.485.4172.9+2.057%
Season at home (4)91.091.0182.0+0.050%
Season away (3)82.778.0160.7+4.767%
Last 10 (10)89.484.5173.9+4.970%
Last 5 (5)88.284.2172.4+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.880.2158.0-2.525%
vs Similar (12)83.283.1166.2+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.878.5163.3+6.469%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
L
74-85
74
85
-11
71avg 73
H17/11
Eurocup
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
85avg 73
H20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
64avg 73
A30/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
84avg 73
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#17
L
65-95
65
95
-30
62avg 73
A07/12
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
80-101
80
101
-21
71avg 73
A12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
79-83
79
83
-4
65avg 73
H19/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#15
W
68-66
68
66
+2
59avg 73
H21/12
Eurocup
Afyon Belediye
#16
W
108-55
108
55
+53
124avg 73
A25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
77avg 73
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
19-19
11-24
25-16
16-14
25-24
27-17
17-28
22-16
17-26
18-24
18-13
18-20
21-14
23-15
19-26
11-28
15-26
18-24
21-17
21-25
22-24
17-23
20-29
21-25
20-16
19-24
19-18
19-12
17-20
18-18
14-16
29-12
29-16
15-15
35-12
17-10
30-20
16-15
12-22
157.9Avg total
79.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.182.3158.4-6.143%
Season at home (4)79.584.0163.5-4.550%
Season away (3)71.780.0151.7-8.333%
Last 10 (10)79.078.9157.9+0.150%
Last 5 (5)82.074.4156.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.485.2167.6-2.950%
vs Similar (14)75.679.7155.4-4.150%
vs Weaker (8)83.276.8160.0+6.550%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +7.4+7.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +7.4+7.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
ValenciaBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H06/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A10/11
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#17
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H17/11
Eurocup
Bilbao
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H20/11
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A04/12
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/12
Eurocup
Breogan
#10
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H19/12
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H21/12
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H23/12
ACB
84.3Avg total
39.8Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.580.1-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.541.281.7-0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)38.539.778.2-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.844.584.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.281.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.039.279.2+0.825%-
vs Similar (12)37.441.078.4-3.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.340.182.4+2.277%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/11
Eurocup
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#17
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A07/12
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#15
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H21/12
Eurocup
Afyon Belediye
#16
W
58-28
58
28
+30
A25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.1Avg total
40.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.882.7+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.241.383.5+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.382.0+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.380.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.036.081.0+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)44.442.987.2+1.562%-
vs Similar (14)39.441.981.3-2.436%-
vs Weaker (8)43.936.980.8+7.075%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.1
56.7%
52.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.2
39.2%
35.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.516.8
78.1%
74.8%16.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.320.1
58.6%
52.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.2
38.7%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws12.610.2
81.0%
74.8%10.2
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWLWWWWW
Bursaspor
WWWLLLWLWL
#4
League position
#11
+6.8
Net rating
-0.1
117.3
Offensive rating
115.8
110.5
Defensive rating
116.0
57.6%
Effective FG%
58.3%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.22
39.2%
3-point %
38.7%
61.1%
Assist %
60.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 115.8Defence110.5 · 116.0Shooting57.6% · 58.3%3-point %39.2% · 38.7%Ball care19.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds34.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valencia wins
0
Bursaspor wins
No previous meetings.
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/21HObradoiro CAB91-71
21/12/21HCedevita Olimpija85-97
19/12/21HBreogan97-98
07/12/21AVenezia81-67
04/12/21AFuenlabrada87-88
20/11/21HBilbao100-84
17/11/21HJL Bourg98-95
14/11/21ABarcelona87-79
10/11/21AVirtus Bologna97-96
06/11/21HJoventut Badalona71-70
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/22AGaziantep75-67
25/12/21AAfyon Belediye108-55
21/12/21HUlm68-66
19/12/21HAnadolu Efes79-83
12/12/21ABahcesehir Kol.80-101
07/12/21AJL Bourg65-95
04/12/21HPetkim Spor81-75
30/11/21ADarussafaka75-79
20/11/21HBuyukcekmece85-83
17/11/21HGran Canaria74-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game87.491.082.7
Allowed / game85.491.078.0
Point differential+2.0+0.0+4.7
Avg total172.9182.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bursaspor
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game76.179.571.7
Allowed / game82.384.080.0
Point differential-6.1-4.5-8.3
Avg total158.4163.5151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joventut Badalona86275%80.268.8+11.5
2 Buducnost86275%81.573.5+8.0
3 Gran Canaria86275%84.978.0+6.9
4 Lokomotiv Kuban86275%92.587.0+5.5
5 Partizan86275%82.677.1+5.5
6 Virtus Bologna85362%91.487.4+4.0
7 MoraBanc Andorra85362%82.279.9+2.4
8 Turk Telekom85362%74.076.5-2.5
9 Valencia74357%87.485.4+2.0
10 Ulm84450%83.682.2+1.4
11 Venezia84450%74.574.8-0.2
12 Boulogne-Levallois84450%81.183.5-2.4
13 Bursaspor73443%76.182.3-6.1
14 Lietkabelis83538%78.476.5+1.9
15 Hamburg83538%87.290.6-3.4
16 Cedevita Olimpija83538%84.888.4-3.6
17 JL Bourg82625%80.081.1-1.1
18 Promitheas82625%72.484.0-11.6
19 Slask Wroclaw81712%74.182.1-8.0
20 Trento81712%75.886.2-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2319202486
Bursaspor720212068
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