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Valencia vs Cedevita Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 85-97
22-24 22-19 20-27 21-27
Position#4
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#8
Record2-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game88.9
EuropeEurocupRound 8
European cup2021
Meetings · Valencia v Cedevita Olimpija
12 Nov 2024
VAL109
COL80
21 Dec 2021
VAL85
COL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#13
L
81-84
81
84
-3
76avg 80
H31/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
87avg 80
H03/11
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
71-70
71
70
+1
64avg 80
H06/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
97-96
97
96
+1
96avg 80
A10/11
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
87avg 80
A14/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#17
W
98-95
98
95
+3
105avg 80
H17/11
Eurocup
Bilbao
#11
W
100-84
100
84
+16
94avg 80
H20/11
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
87-88
87
88
-1
78avg 80
A04/12
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
81-67
81
67
+14
80avg 80
A07/12
Eurocup
Breogan
#10
L
97-98
97
98
-1
88avg 80
H19/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
20-22
28-27
12-18
23-25
18-26
24-24
24-15
20-25
12-14
22-17
17-14
23-33
22-24
27-22
25-17
19-21
16-17
28-25
24-16
24-17
26-26
20-28
28-24
30-36
11-21
31-16
28-11
19-22
22-26
22-21
24-19
27-16
15-16
20-15
19-20
19-29
17-21
14-25
47-23
173.9Avg total
88.8Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.883.5171.3+4.367%
Season at home (3)93.089.0182.0+4.067%
Season away (3)82.778.0160.7+4.767%
Last 10 (10)88.885.1173.9+3.760%
Last 5 (5)92.686.4179.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.078.0156.0+0.040%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.081.8164.8+1.255%
vs Weaker (13)85.579.8165.4+5.769%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Split
#13
W
86-60
86
60
+26
89avg 77
H06/11
ABA League
Ulm
#15
L
96-101 OT
96
101
-5
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#11
W
79-59
79
59
+20
83avg 77
H13/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#10
L
60-91
60
91
-31
54avg 77
A17/11
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#10
L
75-104
75
104
-29
60avg 77
A21/11
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
73-74
73
74
-1
68avg 77
H05/12
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
101-104
101
104
-3
98avg 77
H08/12
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
W
96-89
96
89
+7
92avg 77
A11/12
ABA League
Venezia
#14
L
70-77
70
77
-7
64avg 77
A15/12
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#7
W
88-78
88
78
+10
85avg 77
H18/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
25-16
19-10
20-21
12-29
19-19
31-11
9-12
24-21
18-15
14-18
23-5
16-19
17-22
12-22
15-28
15-27
19-23
21-33
20-21
20-32
19-15
16-15
18-12
25-29
28-25
29-28
19-22
26-27
23-22
22-19
25-21
17-21
11-24
24-10
18-22
22-23
26-16
24-19
16-20
166.1Avg total
82.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.088.9171.9-5.929%
Season at home (3)96.094.7190.7+1.333%
Season away (4)73.284.5157.8-11.225%
Last 10 (10)82.483.7166.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)85.684.4170.0+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.084.0164.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.275.2160.5+10.062%
vs Weaker (19)85.174.0159.1+11.163%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
ValenciaCedevita Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H31/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H03/11
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H06/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A10/11
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#17
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H17/11
Eurocup
Bilbao
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H20/11
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A04/12
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/12
Eurocup
Breogan
#10
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H19/12
ACB
85.8Avg total
40.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.480.6-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.642.083.6-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)38.838.977.7-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.445.485.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.046.088.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.636.877.4+3.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.840.877.6-4.027%-
vs Weaker (13)43.841.285.0+2.777%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#13
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H06/11
ABA League
Ulm
#15
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H10/11
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H13/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A17/11
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#10
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A21/11
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H05/12
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H08/12
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A11/12
ABA League
Venezia
#14
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A15/12
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H18/12
ABA League
84.2Avg total
40.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.081.9+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.437.481.9+7.062%-
Last 30 away (14)41.340.782.0+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.884.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.890.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.044.588.5-0.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.541.285.8+3.250%-
vs Weaker (19)42.737.680.3+5.163%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.120.1
58.9%
52.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.3
37.5%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.9
78.2%
74.8%16.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.5
54.3%
52.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.5
33.6%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.014.9
71.0%
74.8%14.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWLWWWWWLL
Cedevita Olimpija
WLWLLLLWLW
#4
League position
#8
+5.2
Net rating
-2.0
116.8
Offensive rating
105.9
111.6
Defensive rating
107.9
57.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.4%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.5%
3-point %
33.6%
62.2%
Assist %
69.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 105.9Defence111.6 · 107.9Shooting57.7% · 52.5%3-point %37.5% · 33.6%Ball care20.1% · 18.4%Off. rebounds35.8% · 31.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Valencia   ■ Cedevita Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valencia wins
0
Cedevita Olimpija wins
No previous meetings.
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21HBreogan97-98
07/12/21AVenezia81-67
04/12/21AFuenlabrada87-88
20/11/21HBilbao100-84
17/11/21HJL Bourg98-95
14/11/21ABarcelona87-79
10/11/21AVirtus Bologna97-96
06/11/21HJoventut Badalona71-70
03/11/21HGran Canaria89-90
31/10/21HReal Betis81-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21HStudentski Centar88-78
15/12/21AVenezia70-77
11/12/21APartizan96-89
08/12/21HVirtus Bologna101-104
05/12/21HZadar73-74
21/11/21AMega Basket75-104
17/11/21ABuducnost60-91
13/11/21HMornar Bar79-59
10/11/21HUlm96-101 OT
06/11/21HSplit86-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game87.893.082.7
Allowed / game83.589.078.0
Point differential+4.3+4.0+4.7
Avg total171.3182.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita Olimpija
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game83.096.073.2
Allowed / game88.994.784.5
Point differential-5.9+1.3-11.2
Avg total171.9190.7157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan76186%81.073.7+7.3
2 Buducnost86275%81.573.5+8.0
3 Joventut Badalona75271%79.368.1+11.1
4 Virtus Bologna75271%93.085.6+7.4
5 Lokomotiv Kuban75271%91.386.0+5.3
6 Gran Canaria75271%82.777.7+5.0
7 Valencia64267%87.883.5+4.3
8 MoraBanc Andorra85362%82.279.9+2.4
9 Turk Telekom74357%75.378.9-3.6
10 Ulm84450%83.682.2+1.4
11 Venezia84450%74.574.8-0.2
12 Boulogne-Levallois84450%81.183.5-2.4
13 Lietkabelis73443%81.078.1+2.9
14 Bursaspor73443%76.182.3-6.1
15 Hamburg72529%85.690.7-5.1
16 Cedevita Olimpija72529%83.088.9-5.9
17 JL Bourg82625%80.081.1-1.1
18 Promitheas82625%72.484.0-11.6
19 Slask Wroclaw71614%74.381.4-7.1
20 Trento71614%73.784.4-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2222202185
Cedevita Olimpija2419272797
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