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Ferrol W vs Valencia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 54-74
9-22 16-19 11-13 18-20
Position#8
Record11-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game70.8
Ferrol W
Spain
vs
Valencia W 🏆
Spain
Position#2
Record19-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game64.8
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 23· Pavillón da Malata
Women2024-25
Meetings · Ferrol W v Valencia W
30 Jan 2027
FERR v VALE
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
FERR71
VALE65
01 Mar 2025
FERR54
VALE74
25 Nov 2023
FERR55
VALE66
29 Mar 2022
FERR63
VALE76
30 Dec 2018
FERR46
VALE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferrol W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferrol WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona W
#7
L
90-97
90
97
-7
81avg 66
A12/01
Liga Femenina W
DVTK W
#25
L
60-60
60
60
+0
54avg 66
A16/01
EuroCup Women
Uni Girona W
#1
W
72-70
72
70
+2
67avg 66
H19/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
79-70
79
70
+9
81avg 66
A25/01
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#14
W
62-51
62
51
+11
52avg 66
H31/01
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#10
L
49-73
49
73
-24
41avg 66
A13/02
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
W
82-72 OT
82
72
+10
74avg 66
H16/02
Liga Femenina W
Sassari W
#14
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 66
A20/02
EuroCup Women
Ensino W
#12
L
86-92
86
92
-6
82avg 66
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Sassari W
#14
W
89-70
89
70
+19
90avg 66
H27/02
EuroCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
25-17
16-25
27-27
10-11
6-16
13-20
31-13
22-15
16-18
21-15
13-22
10-24
23-18
27-14
19-14
21-9
10-22
10-12
21-8
6-25
13-18
17-10
13-20
9-11
24-24
16-21
19-12
14-16
20-22
23-19
38-19
23-23
26-30
22-15
15-24
22-23
14-24
28-12
25-11
149.5Avg total
76.4Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)69.570.8140.3-1.450%
Season at home (11)66.163.5129.6+2.573%
Season away (11)72.878.1150.9-5.327%
Last 10 (10)76.473.1149.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)80.276.6156.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.076.3149.3-3.357%
vs Similar (12)67.769.6137.2-1.950%
vs Weaker (11)80.561.4141.8+19.182%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria W
#11
W
103-69
103
69
+34
104avg 72
A18/01
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
W
79-64
79
64
+15
73avg 72
A22/01
Euroleague Women
Zaragoza W
#4
W
82-63
82
63
+19
75avg 72
H26/01
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
64avg 72
H28/01
Euroleague Women
Araski W
#13
W
69-55
69
55
+14
62avg 72
H31/01
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 72
A13/02
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
W
88-80
88
80
+8
83avg 72
A16/02
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#2
W
89-57
89
57
+32
88avg 72
H19/02
Euroleague Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
102-49
102
49
+53
114avg 72
H22/02
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
71avg 72
A26/02
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-7
26-19
32-25
22-18
21-23
16-21
25-11
17-9
25-28
22-11
19-11
16-13
14-29
17-30
17-14
23-15
14-20
23-2
18-15
14-18
18-22
21-18
11-19
20-14
26-25
29-12
12-20
21-23
25-15
13-20
27-7
24-15
22-15
22-17
27-13
31-4
15-21
19-20
26-25
17-26
152.0Avg total
83.0Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.564.8144.3+14.786%
Season at home (11)81.963.9145.8+18.091%
Season away (11)77.165.6142.7+11.582%
Last 10 (10)83.069.0152.0+14.070%
Last 5 (5)85.270.2155.4+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.078.6150.6-6.640%
vs Similar (4)81.572.2153.8+9.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.164.7143.8+14.486%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +5.0+5.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +5.0+5.0
Ferrol WValencia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona W
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A12/01
Liga Femenina W
DVTK W
#25
L
16-27
16
27
-11
A16/01
EuroCup Women
Uni Girona W
#1
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/01
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A25/01
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#14
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H31/01
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#10
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A13/02
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H16/02
Liga Femenina W
Sassari W
#14
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A20/02
EuroCup Women
Ensino W
#12
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Sassari W
#14
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H27/02
EuroCup Women
73.0Avg total
33.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.435.069.4-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.933.567.4+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)34.936.571.4-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)33.639.473.0-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)34.243.277.4-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.439.172.6-5.714%-
vs Similar (12)33.535.869.3-2.333%-
vs Weaker (11)36.131.467.5+4.755%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria W
#11
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A18/01
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A22/01
Euroleague Women
Zaragoza W
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H26/01
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
31-59
31
59
-28
H28/01
Euroleague Women
Araski W
#13
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H31/01
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A13/02
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A16/02
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H19/02
Euroleague Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H22/02
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/02
Euroleague Women
78.6Avg total
41.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.573.7+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.135.075.1+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)38.334.172.4+4.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.578.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.079.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.243.475.6-11.220%-
vs Similar (4)38.235.073.2+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.032.373.3+8.776%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.3
51.2%
46.8%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.1
38.7%
31.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.211.1
78.2%
74.3%11.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.6
46.9%
46.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
31.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.611.4
78.1%
74.3%11.4
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferrol W
WLWWLWWWLL
Valencia W
LWWWLWLWWW
#8
League position
#2
+26.0
Net rating
+2.4
109.1
Offensive rating
98.5
83.1
Defensive rating
96.2
53.7%
Effective FG%
47.6%
42.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
19.7%
Turnover %
19.3%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.7%
3-point %
32.5%
67.4%
Assist %
70.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 98.5Defence83.1 · 96.2Shooting53.7% · 47.6%3-point %38.7% · 32.5%Ball care19.7% · 19.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Ferrol W   ■ Valencia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ferrol W wins
7
Valencia W wins
DateGameScore
23/11/24Valencia W v Ferrol W86-65
13/04/24Valencia W v Ferrol W79-66
25/11/23Ferrol W v Valencia W55-66
29/03/22Ferrol W v Valencia W63-76
04/12/21Valencia W v Ferrol W67-52
07/04/19Valencia W v Ferrol W78-63
30/12/18Ferrol W v Valencia W46-75
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HSassari W89-70
22/02/25AEnsino W86-92
20/02/25ASassari W95-76
16/02/25HJairis W82-72 OT
13/02/25ACadi La Seu W49-73
31/01/25HIDK Gipuzkoa W62-51
25/01/25APerfumerias Avenida W79-70
19/01/25HUni Girona W72-70
16/01/25ADVTK W60-60
12/01/25AJoventut Badalona W90-97
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25ACBK Mersin W77-92
22/02/25HGernika Bizkaia W102-49
19/02/25HCBK Mersin W89-57
16/02/25AUni Girona W88-80
13/02/25AJairis W70-73
31/01/25HAraski W69-55
28/01/25HFenerbahce W71-88
26/01/25HZaragoza W82-63
22/01/25AZaragoza W79-64
18/01/25AGran Canaria W103-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferrol W
Liga Femenina W 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%73%27%
Points / game69.566.172.8
Allowed / game70.863.578.1
Point differential-1.4+2.5-5.3
Avg total140.3129.6150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%45%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Valencia W
Liga Femenina W 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %86%91%82%
Points / game79.581.977.1
Allowed / game64.863.965.6
Point differential+14.7+18.0+11.5
Avg total144.3145.8142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%82%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia W2219386%79.564.8+14.7
2 Uni Girona W2218482%80.467.3+13.1
3 Perfumerias Avenida W2318578%75.764.9+10.8
4 Zaragoza W2214864%74.168.4+5.7
5 Jairis W2314961%72.667.0+5.6
6 Joventut Badalona W2213959%74.170.6+3.5
7 Estudiantes W22111150%70.270.0+0.2
8 Ferrol W22111150%69.570.8-1.4
9 Gernika Bizkaia W23111248%66.168.6-2.5
10 Gran Canaria W23101343%66.972.1-5.3
11 Ensino W2281436%68.570.3-1.9
12 Cadi La Seu W2281436%67.470.0-2.6
13 Araski W2271532%66.872.8-6.0
14 IDK Gipuzkoa W2371630%62.569.4-6.9
15 Celta W2261627%65.575.7-10.1
16 Ardoi W2341917%62.378.7-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferrol W916111854
Valencia W2219132074
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