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Valga vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-71
27-26 18-15 19-18 15-12
Position#8
Record4-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game87.3
Valga 🏆
Estonia
vs
Position#6
Record4-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game85.2
Meetings · Valga v Parnu
27 Oct 2018
VALG70
PAR79
23 Apr 2018
VALG60
PAR64
17 Apr 2018
VALG85
PAR93
05 Feb 2018
VALG70
PAR82
04 Nov 2017
VALG93
PAR87
10 Feb 2017
VALG89
PAR99
13 Dec 2016
VALG80
PAR91
11 Dec 2015
VALG79
PAR71
03 Nov 2015
VALG101
PAR104
28 Mar 2015
VALG80
PAR71
27 Jan 2015
VALG86
PAR80
18 Mar 2014
VALG57
PAR71
03 Dec 2013
VALG54
PAR69
23 Feb 2013
VALG62
PAR72
28 Dec 2012
VALG73
PAR63
30 Mar 2012
VALG83
PAR85
06 Dec 2011
VALG87
PAR69
14 Jan 2011
VALG77
PAR74
14 Dec 2010
VALG72
PAR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#6
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
H03/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#4
L
96-104
96
104
-8
A07/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
97-65
97
65
+32
A10/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Barons Kvartals
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A15/11
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A17/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H20/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jelgava
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H25/11
LBL
Jekabpils
#5
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A28/11
LBL
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
L
82-104
82
104
-22
H05/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H09/12
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
21-22
24-22
24-22
29-21
22-27
24-25
21-31
26-16
22-5
21-18
28-26
23-27
27-32
21-20
25-12
24-20
25-20
22-19
21-14
8-22
24-20
14-17
26-27
19-20
28-21
20-17
19-22
21-19
19-20
15-23
18-21
20-30
31-21
21-23
10-30
26-21
24-16
10-25
16-10
173.3Avg total
87.1Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.287.3175.6+0.944%
Season at home (4)90.091.8181.8-1.825%
Season away (5)86.883.8170.6+3.060%
Last 10 (10)87.186.2173.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.885.0162.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.486.6159.1-14.224%
vs Similar ◀ (6)90.286.2176.3+4.067%
vs Weaker (7)90.071.0161.0+19.086%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valga
#8
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
A03/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H08/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H10/11
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A14/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Barons Kvartals
#13
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A18/11
Baltic League
Nevezis
#12
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H24/11
Baltic League
Rapla
#3
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A28/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
L
69-92
69
92
-23
H02/12
Baltic League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
63-93
63
93
-30
A05/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#7
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A08/12
Baltic League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
22-21
22-24
22-24
18-18
20-19
21-23
22-19
18-17
24-18
16-27
16-19
21-16
21-16
15-19
18-19
17-15
12-21
20-17
16-20
26-14
20-23
19-15
16-28
25-18
20-15
14-24
17-26
13-29
14-22
14-26
28-15
20-32
15-21
10-18
18-22
19-19
18-14
18-16
20-29
159.3Avg total
76.3Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.885.2165.0-5.550%
Season at home (3)78.086.0164.0-8.033%
Season away (5)80.884.8165.6-4.060%
Last 10 (10)76.383.0159.3-6.740%
Last 5 (5)72.885.2158.0-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.382.0156.3-7.726%
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.678.8153.4-4.240%
vs Weaker (6)93.375.7169.0+17.7100%
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
ValgaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H03/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A07/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
48-21
48
21
+27
A10/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Barons Kvartals
#8
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A15/11
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A17/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H20/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jelgava
#9
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/11
LBL
Jekabpils
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A28/11
LBL
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H05/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H09/12
LBL
88.8Avg total
46.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.384.0-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.941.684.6+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)40.642.883.4-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.688.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.086.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.944.081.9-6.135%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.743.789.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (7)47.636.984.4+10.771%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valga
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A03/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H08/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/11
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#7
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A14/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Barons Kvartals
#13
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A18/11
Baltic League
Nevezis
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H24/11
Baltic League
Rapla
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A28/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H02/12
Baltic League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A05/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A08/12
Baltic League
78.0Avg total
38.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.780.7-0.760%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.739.580.2+1.267%-
Last 30 away (18)39.641.581.1-1.956%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.178.0-0.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.479.4-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.541.279.6-2.758%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)33.040.473.4-7.440%-
vs Weaker (6)50.739.590.2+11.283%-
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valga wins
8
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
03/11/15Valga v Parnu101-104 OT
28/03/15Valga v Parnu80-71
13/02/15Parnu v Valga92-73
27/01/15Valga v Parnu86-80
09/11/14Parnu v Valga82-78
18/03/14Valga v Parnu57-71
19/02/14Parnu v Valga76-69
03/12/13Valga v Parnu54-69
19/10/13Parnu v Valga64-59
09/03/13Parnu v Valga66-58
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/15HLatvijas Universitate76-72
05/12/15HRakvere Tarvas82-104
28/11/15AJekabpils73-83
25/11/15HJelgava86-80
20/11/15HTartu Ulikool72-86
17/11/15ATal Tech92-73
15/11/15ABarons Kvartals96-91
10/11/15AAudentese97-65
07/11/15ATallinna Kalev96-104
03/11/15HParnu101-104 OT
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/15ARapla75-78
05/12/15ATartu Ulikool63-93
02/12/15HValmiera/ORDO69-92
28/11/15ARapla76-83
24/11/15HNevezis81-80
18/11/15ABarons Kvartals65-73
14/11/15ATal Tech75-70
10/11/15HTallinna Kalev74-81
08/11/15HRakvere Tarvas81-79
03/11/15AValga104-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%25%60%
Points / game88.290.086.8
Allowed / game87.391.883.8
Point differential+0.9-1.8+3.0
Avg total175.6181.8170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%33%60%
Points / game79.878.080.8
Allowed / game85.286.084.8
Point differential-5.5-8.0-4.0
Avg total165.0164.0165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo550100%93.665.2+28.4
2 Rapla98189%79.271.0+8.2
3 Tartu Ulikool118373%81.169.9+11.2
4 Tallinna Kalev95456%84.884.2+0.6
5 Parnu84450%79.885.2-5.5
6 Rakvere Tarvas94544%83.279.0+4.2
7 Valga94544%88.287.3+0.9
8 Tal Tech103730%73.582.4-8.9
9 Audentese120120%70.892.2-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga2718191579
Parnu2615181271
← all games of the day
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