PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valga vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 15:10
Final 93-87
25-16 21-21 18-27 29-23
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game73.4
Valga 🏆
Estonia
vs
Position#5
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game75.0
Meetings · Valga v Parnu
27 Oct 2018
VALG70
PAR79
23 Apr 2018
VALG60
PAR64
17 Apr 2018
VALG85
PAR93
05 Feb 2018
VALG70
PAR82
04 Nov 2017
VALG93
PAR87
10 Feb 2017
VALG89
PAR99
13 Dec 2016
VALG80
PAR91
11 Dec 2015
VALG79
PAR71
03 Nov 2015
VALG101
PAR104
28 Mar 2015
VALG80
PAR71
27 Jan 2015
VALG86
PAR80
18 Mar 2014
VALG57
PAR71
03 Dec 2013
VALG54
PAR69
23 Feb 2013
VALG62
PAR72
28 Dec 2012
VALG73
PAR63
30 Mar 2012
VALG83
PAR85
06 Dec 2011
VALG87
PAR69
14 Jan 2011
VALG77
PAR74
14 Dec 2010
VALG72
PAR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#3
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Ventspils
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
H30/09
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
97-74
97
74
+23
H06/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#6
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A11/10
LBL
Valmiera/ORDO
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H14/10
LBL
Audentese
#9
W
110-40
110
40
+70
H17/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
W
99-77
99
77
+22
H20/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#2
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A25/10
LBL
Rapla
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
A28/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A31/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
31-16
20-26
16-24
13-24
15-29
14-16
12-19
24-20
19-21
31-18
23-15
16-15
22-13
16-17
16-15
21-11
13-21
17-21
20-22
23-9
26-11
29-6
32-14
25-17
24-29
22-21
28-10
14-20
14-27
13-19
13-28
29-18
21-21
17-20
23-20
16-29
15-20
15-22
27-26
158.1Avg total
80.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.873.4167.2+20.480%
Season at home (3)102.063.7165.7+38.3100%
Season away (2)81.588.0169.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)80.377.8158.1+2.550%
Last 5 (5)85.277.4162.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.293.4168.6-18.311%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.480.4163.9+3.057%
vs Weaker (5)97.262.8160.0+34.480%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A15/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H06/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A10/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H18/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
80-53
80
53
+27
A21/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A27/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
12-21
20-22
17-18
17-15
18-16
15-26
10-26
15-24
16-16
13-21
10-11
14-19
19-20
8-12
17-15
18-16
17-20
12-19
10-11
19-18
16-24
14-16
23-20
20-19
14-21
22-27
16-21
20-20
27-9
14-24
12-25
23-12
20-18
17-15
20-8
10-22
18-23
18-16
16-17
139.4Avg total
65.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.875.0146.8-3.220%
Season at home (2)72.578.0150.5-5.50%
Season away (3)71.373.0144.3-1.733%
Last 10 (10)65.573.9139.4-8.410%
Last 5 (5)71.875.0146.8-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)62.578.5141.0-16.10%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.868.3147.1+10.580%
vs Weaker (7)83.378.9162.1+4.457%
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
ValgaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Ventspils
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
H30/09
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H06/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#6
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A11/10
LBL
Valmiera/ORDO
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H14/10
LBL
Audentese
#9
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H17/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H20/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A25/10
LBL
Rapla
#3
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A28/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A31/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
79.8Avg total
39.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.684.1-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.039.881.8+2.258%-
Last 30 away (18)39.646.185.6-6.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.979.8+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.281.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.647.985.4-10.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.942.783.6-1.957%-
vs Weaker (5)50.829.280.0+21.6100%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A15/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H06/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A10/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A27/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
72.0Avg total
35.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.674.5-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.935.871.7+0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.839.577.3-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)35.136.972.0-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.274.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.039.271.2-7.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.233.874.0+6.490%-
vs Weaker (7)41.140.181.3+1.043%-
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valga wins
6
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
01/04/17Parnu v Valga74-90
10/02/17Valga v Parnu89-99
07/01/17Parnu v Valga86-93
13/12/16Valga v Parnu80-91
08/03/16Parnu v Valga89-78
03/02/16Parnu v Valga86-62
11/12/15Valga v Parnu79-71
03/11/15Valga v Parnu101-104 OT
28/03/15Valga v Parnu80-71
13/02/15Parnu v Valga92-73
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/17ABC Kalev/Cramo73-97
28/10/17ARapla90-79
25/10/17AVEF Riga54-94
20/10/17HTallinna Kalev99-77
17/10/17HAudentese110-40
14/10/17HValmiera/ORDO71-75
11/10/17AJekabpils70-60
06/10/17HTal Tech97-74
30/09/17HVentspils54-88
17/04/17ARapla85-94
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/17ATartu Ulikool62-78
21/10/17ATal Tech80-53
18/10/17HRapla73-78
10/10/17ABC Kalev/Cramo72-88
06/10/17HTallinna Kalev72-78
15/05/17ATartu Ulikool57-66
13/05/17HTartu Ulikool58-66
11/05/17ATartu Ulikool54-72
05/05/17ABC Kalev/Cramo60-83
02/05/17HBC Kalev/Cramo67-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game93.8102.081.5
Allowed / game73.463.788.0
Point differential+20.4+38.3-6.5
Avg total167.2165.7169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2017-18
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game71.872.571.3
Allowed / game75.078.073.0
Point differential-3.2-5.5-1.7
Avg total146.8150.5144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo550100%84.069.6+14.4
2 Valga54180%93.873.4+20.4
3 Rapla64267%81.272.5+8.7
4 Tallinna Kalev63350%72.880.8-8.0
5 Tal Tech41325%75.876.2-0.5
6 Tartu Ulikool41325%75.276.0-0.8
7 Parnu51420%71.875.0-3.2
8 Audentese3030%48.7101.0-52.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga2521182993
Parnu1621272387
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.