Valmiera/ORDO vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 71-63

23-21 11-19 21-10 16-13

Position#6

Record3-11

FormLWLWL

Points / game71.7

Allowed / game75.2

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

Jelgava

Position#8

Record6-8

FormWLLWW

Points / game73.1

Allowed / game73.3

LBL

Other2014-15

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Jelgava winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valga

#15

71-68

H19/11

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

62-65

-3

A23/11

LBL

Jekabpils

83-87

-4

A26/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

68-70

-2

A30/11

LBL

Jekabpils

67-78

-11

A03/12

Baltic League

Jurmala

65-73

-8

H06/12

LBL

Skycop

#14

88-71

+17

H10/12

Baltic League

Saldus

80-84

-4

A13/12

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#20

90-73

+17

A16/12

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

66-71

-5

H20/12

LBL

15-16

18-20

20-17

18-15

20-18

17-16

8-14

17-17

21-22

16-17

18-17

28-31

13-16

23-12

17-19

15-23

19-21

19-12

14-20

15-25

17-17

13-23

19-16

16-17

21-17

22-19

23-18

22-17

13-16

23-15

28-35

16-18

17-15

19-18

21-18

33-22

20-16

21-20

13-15

12-20

148.0Avg total

74.0Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	71.7	75.2	146.9	-3.5	21%
Season at home (7)	71.9	72.9	144.7	-1.0	43%
Season away (7)	71.6	77.6	149.1	-6.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	74.0	74.0	148.0	+0.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	74.4	152.2	+3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	70.4	80.6	151.0	-10.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	74.4	74.4	148.8	+0.0	38%
vs Weaker (17)	76.2	71.2	147.5	+5.0	59%

This opponent (Jelgava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Jelgava

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

67-62

A19/10

LBL

Barons Kvartals

78-79

-1

H25/10

LBL

Saldus

88-69

+19

H29/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

80-70

+10

H01/11

LBL

Jurmala

61-70

-9

H08/11

LBL

BK Liepaja

69-64

H12/11

LBL

Jekabpils

69-70

-1

A15/11

LBL

Jurmala

87-91

-4

A29/11

LBL

Barons Kvartals

95-77

+18

A13/12

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

68-63

H17/12

LBL

12-16

19-17

19-16

17-13

17-25

24-18

18-22

19-14

16-23

30-14

23-17

19-15

13-16

21-19

16-17

30-18

19-24

12-17

12-16

18-13

16-12

17-22

25-16

11-14

13-18

24-17

16-21

16-14

21-21

8-25

33-24

25-21

15-23

22-12

29-10

29-32

15-22

15-8

26-21

12-12

147.7Avg total

76.2Scored

71.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	73.1	73.3	146.4	-0.2	43%
Season at home (9)	68.8	70.7	139.4	-1.9	44%
Season away (5)	80.8	78.0	158.8	+2.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	71.5	147.7	+4.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	73.0	150.6	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	72.5	89.8	162.3	-17.4	15%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	74.5	76.2	150.6	-1.7	27%
vs Weaker (6)	81.7	67.8	149.5	+13.8	83%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOJelgava

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.8	36.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.2	33.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.1	16.5	35.6	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+0.9	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.8	19.2	35.9	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	21.4	41.1	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	20.0	35.7	-4.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.2	35.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.2	21.8	39.9	-3.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.4	18.2	36.5	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	17%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.7	36.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	19.7	36.9	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	17.6	36.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	23.4	39.6	-7.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.6	17.5	36.1	+1.2	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	16.8	35.3	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.9	36.1	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.8	34.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.0	13.5	35.5	+8.5	100%	-

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valga

#15

33-36

-3

H19/11

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

37-34

A23/11

LBL

Jekabpils

37-39

-2

A26/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

36-28

A30/11

LBL

Jekabpils

38-33

A03/12

Baltic League

Jurmala

30-40

-10

H06/12

LBL

Skycop

#14

43-36

H10/12

Baltic League

Saldus

36-31

A13/12

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#20

36-33

A16/12

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

41-36

H20/12

LBL

71.3Avg total

36.7Scored

34.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	36.5	72.9	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.1	36.8	72.9	-0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	36.2	72.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	34.6	71.3	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	35.2	72.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.6	44.4	78.0	-10.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	36.5	34.8	71.2	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	37.1	35.0	72.1	+2.1	65%	-

This opponent (Jelgava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

31-33

-2

A19/10

LBL

Barons Kvartals

41-43

-2

H25/10

LBL

Saldus

46-37

H29/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

34-35

-1

H01/11

LBL

Jurmala

31-41

-10

H08/11

LBL

BK Liepaja

33-34

-1

H12/11

LBL

Jekabpils

37-35

A15/11

LBL

Jurmala

29-46

-17

A29/11

LBL

Barons Kvartals

37-35

A13/12

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

30-30

H17/12

LBL

71.8Avg total

34.9Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	38.9	75.9	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.2	36.0	71.2	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	42.3	81.1	-3.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	36.9	71.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	36.0	69.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.2	42.4	78.6	-6.2	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	36.2	37.5	73.7	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.8	34.0	73.8	+5.8	50%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.5	36.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	17.4	35.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	15.6	17.5	33.1	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.0	39.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	18.4	44.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.5	24.6	43.2	-6.1	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.5	17.8	37.4	+1.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.8	17.0	40.8	+6.8	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.3	38.5	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	16.7	37.4	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	15.8	33.8	+2.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.7	17.8	38.5	+2.9	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.1	19.6	35.7	-3.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.8	21.7	38.5	-4.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.0	16.8	34.8	+1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	36.8	74.8	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	34.1	72.5	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	39.5	77.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	39.4	76.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	39.2	79.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.8	36.2	73.0	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	36.4	38.2	74.6	-1.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (17)	39.1	36.2	75.4	+2.9	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	41.0	78.7	-3.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.4	39.2	74.6	-3.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	43.0	83.4	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	34.6	75.9	+6.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	37.0	81.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	35.4	46.3	81.7	-10.9	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.3	38.6	76.9	-0.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.8	33.8	75.7	+8.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

Jelgava wins

Date	Game	Score
01/11/14	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	80-70
11/04/14	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	101-96
15/01/14	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	73-71
27/11/13	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	85-75
09/11/13	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	86-70
06/04/13	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	74-76
23/03/13	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	99-71
02/12/12	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	73-75
24/10/12	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	85-65
14/03/12	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	84-86

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/14	H	BK Liepaja	66-71
16/12/14	A	Tallinna Kalev	90-73
13/12/14	A	Saldus	80-84
10/12/14	H	Skycop	88-71
06/12/14	H	Jurmala	65-73
03/12/14	A	Jekabpils	67-78
30/11/14	A	Latvijas Universitate	68-70
26/11/14	A	Jekabpils	83-87
23/11/14	A	Barons Kvartals	62-65
19/11/14	H	Valga	71-68

Jelgavalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/14	H	Latvijas Universitate	68-63
13/12/14	A	Barons Kvartals	95-77
29/11/14	A	Jurmala	87-91
15/11/14	A	Jekabpils	69-70
12/11/14	H	BK Liepaja	69-64
08/11/14	H	Jurmala	61-70
01/11/14	H	Valmiera/ORDO	80-70
29/10/14	H	Saldus	88-69
25/10/14	H	Barons Kvartals	78-79
19/10/14	A	Latvijas Universitate	67-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	21%
Home	WLWLL	43%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	21%	43%	0%
Points / game	71.7	71.9	71.6
Allowed / game	75.2	72.9	77.6
Point differential	-3.5	-1.0	-6.0
Avg total	146.9	144.7	149.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	33% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Jelgava

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	43%
Home	WWLWW	44%
Away	LWLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	9	5
Win %	43%	44%	40%
Points / game	73.1	68.8	80.8
Allowed / game	73.3	70.7	78.0
Point differential	-0.2	-1.9	+2.8
Avg total	146.4	139.4	158.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	22%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	67% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	7%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	VEF Riga	2	2	0	100%	76.0	62.0	+14.0
2	Ventspils	8	7	1	88%	83.8	63.2	+20.5
3	BK Liepaja	14	12	2	86%	79.1	66.5	+12.6
4	Jurmala	14	11	3	79%	72.6	64.8	+7.9
5	Jekabpils	14	8	6	57%	71.9	71.4	+0.6
6	Barons Kvartals	14	8	6	57%	73.0	77.0	-4.0
7	Jelgava	14	6	8	43%	73.1	73.3	-0.2
8	Valmiera/ORDO	14	3	11	21%	71.7	75.2	-3.5
9	Saldus	14	2	12	14%	67.6	80.8	-13.1
10	Latvijas Universitate	14	2	12	14%	62.5	76.4	-13.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	23	11	21	16	71
Jelgava	21	19	10	13	63

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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