Jelgava vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 69-64

16-12 17-22 25-16 11-14

Position#8

Record3-6

FormWLWWL

Points / game70.6

Allowed / game73.4

Jelgava 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#3

Record7-1

FormWLWWL

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game68.2

LBL

Other2014-15

Meetings · Jelgava v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jelgava winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jelgava

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

96-101

101

-5

A11/04

LBL

VEF Riga

55-80

-25

H01/10

LBL

Ventspils

62-68

-6

H03/10

LBL

Jekabpils

58-73

-15

H08/10

LBL

BK Liepaja

86-90 OT

-4

A15/10

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

67-62

A19/10

LBL

Barons Kvartals

78-79

-1

H25/10

LBL

Saldus

88-69

+19

H29/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

80-70

+10

H01/11

LBL

Jurmala

61-70

-9

H08/11

LBL

25-23

16-28

25-21

30-29

11-17

7-23

19-28

18-12

12-14

22-14

11-21

17-19

14-17

18-16

16-16

10-24

22-21

25-23

15-21

13-10

12-16

19-17

19-16

17-13

17-25

24-18

18-22

19-14

16-23

30-14

23-17

19-15

13-16

21-19

16-17

30-18

19-24

12-17

12-16

18-13

149.3Avg total

73.1Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	70.6	73.4	144.0	-2.9	33%
Season at home (7)	68.9	72.7	141.6	-3.9	29%
Season away (2)	76.5	76.0	152.5	+0.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	73.1	76.2	149.3	-3.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	70.0	144.8	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	74.4	89.5	163.9	-15.1	24%
vs Similar (9)	73.7	75.2	148.9	-1.6	33%
vs Weaker (4)	81.8	66.8	148.5	+15.0	75%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Saldus

77-54

+23

A05/10

LBL

Barons Kvartals

75-67

H08/10

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

86-56

+30

H12/10

LBL

Jelgava

90-86 OT

H15/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

86-75

+11

H19/10

LBL

Nevezis

#21

93-65

+28

H22/10

Baltic League

Jekabpils

69-74

-5

A25/10

LBL

Saldus

93-73

+20

H02/11

LBL

Rapla

#17

76-72

A04/11

Baltic League

Rakvere Tarvas

#13

65-89

-24

A05/11

Baltic League

14-9

21-12

28-14

14-19

15-16

21-22

17-16

22-13

22-14

17-20

21-13

26-9

21-22

23-25

21-15

10-13

22-21

21-23

21-15

22-16

24-13

29-18

15-13

25-21

16-19

16-21

20-20

17-14

24-26

20-16

28-17

21-14

21-18

20-22

26-18

9-14

14-20

14-25

19-22

18-22

152.1Avg total

81.0Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	80.2	68.2	148.5	+12.0	88%
Season at home (5)	86.0	71.4	157.4	+14.6	100%
Season away (3)	70.7	63.0	133.7	+7.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	71.1	152.1	+9.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	74.6	153.8	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	78.0	88.7	166.7	-10.7	33%
vs Similar (6)	71.2	79.2	150.3	-8.0	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	82.8	69.7	152.5	+13.1	90%

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

JelgavaBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.5	20.2	36.7	-3.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	19.6	35.7	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	20.8	36.2	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.1	22.8	40.9	-4.7	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	19.5	38.8	-0.2	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	18.1	36.9	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	20.7	36.0	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.3	18.2	33.5	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.7	18.1	38.8	+2.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.6	16.5	35.1	+2.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	21.2	40.8	-1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	47%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.8	15.2	39.0	+8.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	18.7	41.8	+4.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.1	37.1	-3.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	20.3	44.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	38%	-

JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

41-51

-10

A11/04

LBL

VEF Riga

18-40

-22

H01/10

LBL

Ventspils

34-28

H03/10

LBL

Jekabpils

32-33

-1

H08/10

LBL

BK Liepaja

47-44

A15/10

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

31-33

-2

A19/10

LBL

Barons Kvartals

41-43

-2

H25/10

LBL

Saldus

46-37

H29/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

34-35

-1

H01/11

LBL

Jurmala

31-41

-10

H08/11

LBL

74.0Avg total

35.5Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.4	76.9	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.1	36.7	71.8	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.7	42.9	83.6	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	38.5	74.0	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	37.8	74.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.5	41.8	78.4	-5.3	47%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.9	36.9	73.8	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.0	34.8	77.8	+8.2	50%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Saldus

35-21

+14

A05/10

LBL

Barons Kvartals

36-38

-2

H08/10

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

39-34

H12/10

LBL

Jelgava

44-47

-3

H15/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

43-44

-1

H19/10

LBL

Nevezis

#21

53-31

+22

H22/10

Baltic League

Jekabpils

32-40

-8

A25/10

LBL

Saldus

44-42

H02/11

LBL

Rapla

#17

41-40

A04/11

Baltic League

Rakvere Tarvas

#13

28-45

-17

A05/11

Baltic League

77.7Avg total

39.5Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	37.7	77.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	37.2	79.8	+5.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.8	38.2	74.0	-2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	38.2	77.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	39.6	79.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.3	40.2	74.5	-5.8	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	40.9	36.5	77.4	+4.4	67%	-

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	22.6	42.7	-2.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.5	36.9	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.8	24.2	43.0	-5.5	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	16.8	35.2	+1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.3	37.8	+3.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	16.1	34.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	16.3	37.9	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	23.0	44.3	-1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	16.3	34.5	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.1	16.7	37.9	+4.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	21.5	39.9	-3.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.7	35.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	14.6	35.2	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.5	22.6	41.1	-4.1	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	21.6	39.9	-3.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.8	14.2	31.0	+2.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.1	37.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	19.1	40.4	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	17.1	34.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	15.5	33.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	24.7	42.3	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	22.7	41.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.0	15.9	36.0	+4.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	42.3	79.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.7	41.5	78.2	-4.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.1	43.3	81.4	-5.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	36.2	72.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	32.2	70.4	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.2	46.8	84.1	-9.6	18%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.8	38.3	75.1	-1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.8	32.0	70.8	+6.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	35.4	75.5	+4.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.7	37.3	81.0	+6.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.0	33.2	69.2	+2.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	31.8	71.8	+8.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	35.0	74.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.0	47.7	86.7	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.8	39.0	75.8	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	41.2	32.6	73.8	+8.6	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Jelgava wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
15/10/14	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	90-86 OT
08/03/14	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	110-71
12/01/14	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	105-96
07/12/13	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	79-81
13/11/13	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	94-61
20/03/13	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	94-112
27/02/13	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	70-84
29/11/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	85-94
07/11/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	78-81
02/11/12	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	66-60

Jelgavalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/14	H	Jurmala	61-70
01/11/14	H	Valmiera/ORDO	80-70
29/10/14	H	Saldus	88-69
25/10/14	H	Barons Kvartals	78-79
19/10/14	A	Latvijas Universitate	67-62
15/10/14	A	BK Liepaja	86-90 OT
08/10/14	H	Jekabpils	58-73
03/10/14	H	Ventspils	62-68
01/10/14	H	VEF Riga	55-80
11/04/14	A	Valmiera/ORDO	96-101

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/14	A	Rakvere Tarvas	65-89
04/11/14	A	Rapla	76-72
02/11/14	H	Saldus	93-73
25/10/14	A	Jekabpils	69-74
22/10/14	H	Nevezis	93-65
19/10/14	H	Valmiera/ORDO	86-75
15/10/14	H	Jelgava	90-86 OT
12/10/14	H	Latvijas Universitate	86-56
08/10/14	H	Barons Kvartals	75-67
05/10/14	A	Saldus	77-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jelgava

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	33%
Home	LLWWL	29%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	7	2
Win %	33%	29%	50%
Points / game	70.6	68.9	76.5
Allowed / game	73.4	72.7	76.0
Point differential	-2.9	-3.9	+0.5
Avg total	144.0	141.6	152.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	11%	0%	50%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	88%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	88%	100%	67%
Points / game	80.2	86.0	70.7
Allowed / game	68.2	71.4	63.0
Point differential	+12.0	+14.6	+7.7
Avg total	148.5	157.4	133.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	60%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	12%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	5	5	0	100%	81.4	61.6	+19.8
2	VEF Riga	2	2	0	100%	76.0	62.0	+14.0
3	BK Liepaja	8	7	1	88%	80.2	68.2	+12.0
4	Barons Kvartals	7	5	2	71%	77.1	73.4	+3.7
5	Jurmala	8	5	3	62%	68.9	65.4	+3.5
6	Jekabpils	7	4	3	57%	70.9	71.6	-0.7
7	Jelgava	9	3	6	33%	70.6	73.4	-2.9
8	Valmiera/ORDO	7	2	5	29%	71.4	75.6	-4.1
9	Latvijas Universitate	6	0	6	0%	61.3	74.0	-12.7
10	Saldus	7	0	7	0%	64.4	84.6	-20.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Jelgava	16	17	25	11	69
BK Liepaja	12	22	16	14	64

← all games of the day

Jelgava vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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