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Valparaiso vs William & Mary Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-66
50-36 38-30
Position#242
Record6-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Position#357
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
William & Mary winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#202
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A18/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A22/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H24/11
NCAA
Tulane
#213
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#533
W
106-69
106
69
+37
H28/11
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A05/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#565
W
101-58
101
58
+43
H08/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H11/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-39
37-35
28-32
50-38
30-26
31-38
30-33
38-31
47-26
59-43
32-40
34-33
32-30
39-30
43-21
58-37
27-30
40-38
26-28
41-27
140.0Avg total
74.5Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.066.5139.5+6.550%
Season at home (7)76.165.3141.4+10.943%
Season away (5)68.668.2136.8+0.460%
Last 10 (10)74.565.5140.0+9.060%
Last 5 (5)74.462.8137.2+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.269.9134.1-5.727%
vs Similar (15)62.566.0128.5-3.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)81.361.3142.7+20.0100%
This opponent (William & Mary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
William & MaryUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#26
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A17/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
59-77
59
77
-18
H20/11
NCAA
Howard
#161
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Radford
#273
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A24/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#505
W
87-50
87
50
+37
H27/11
NCAA
Navy
#86
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A02/12
NCAA
Davidson
#17
L
46-70
46
70
-24
A04/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#255
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H08/12
NCAA
Hampton
#310
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H10/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#230
L
47-70
47
70
-23
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-47
44-44
26-46
33-31
45-44
31-38
24-31
30-36
44-32
43-18
30-36
26-39
20-35
26-35
32-29
27-45
26-30
27-24
20-35
27-35
132.1Avg total
61.1Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)61.071.8132.8-10.88%
Season at home (7)63.368.7132.0-5.414%
Season away (5)57.876.0133.8-18.20%
Last 10 (10)61.171.0132.1-9.910%
Last 5 (5)52.268.6120.8-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)59.372.7132.0-13.313%
vs Similar (5)76.272.8149.0+3.480%
vs Weaker (2)86.564.5151.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +7.7+7.72nd half: -3.1-3.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +7.7+7.72nd half: -3.1-3.1
ValparaisoWilliam & Mary
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#202
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A18/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Tulane
#213
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A24/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#533
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H28/11
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A03/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A05/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#565
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H08/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H11/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H21/12
NCAA
62.3Avg total
31.8Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.831.362.0-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.330.161.4+1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)30.232.562.7-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)31.830.562.3+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.861.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.032.361.3-3.336%-
vs Similar (15)30.431.962.3-1.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)35.028.063.0+7.067%-
This opponent (William & Mary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
William & MaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#26
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A17/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H20/11
NCAA
Howard
#161
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Radford
#273
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#505
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/11
NCAA
Navy
#86
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A02/12
NCAA
Davidson
#17
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A04/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#255
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Hampton
#310
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H10/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#230
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H12/12
NCAA
66.2Avg total
29.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.435.364.7-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.234.564.7-4.238%-
Last 30 away (17)28.735.964.6-7.218%-
Last 10 (10)29.736.566.2-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)25.633.058.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)26.635.862.4-9.217%-
vs Similar (5)36.834.471.2+2.440%-
vs Weaker (2)42.532.074.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
William & Mary wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/21HEastern Michigan67-55
11/12/21HCharlotte67-68
08/12/21HEWU Phantoms101-58
05/12/21AWestern Michigan71-60
03/12/21ADrake66-73
28/11/21HTrinity (IL)106-69
24/11/21ATulane68-64
24/11/21HCoastal Carolina61-64
22/11/21AJacksonville State78-70
18/11/21AStanford60-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21HFairfield47-70
10/12/21HHampton53-54
08/12/21HOld Dominion59-74
04/12/21ADavidson46-70
02/12/21ANavy56-75
27/11/21HMary Baldwin87-50
24/11/21ARadford54-67
21/11/21HHoward76-82
20/11/21HGeorgia State59-77
17/11/21ANorfolk State74-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWWLW43%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%43%60%
Points / game73.076.168.6
Allowed / game66.565.368.2
Point differential+6.5+10.9+0.4
Avg total139.5141.4136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
William & Mary
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game61.063.357.8
Allowed / game71.868.776.0
Point differential-10.8-5.4-18.2
Avg total132.8132.0133.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1110191%86.065.1+20.9
2 Belmont1310377%80.571.8+8.8
3 Drake128467%75.766.8+8.9
4 Southern Illinois117464%65.458.5+6.9
5 Illinois State138562%80.476.8+3.5
6 Valparaiso126650%73.066.5+6.5
7 Bradley126650%71.966.3+5.6
8 Indiana State126650%73.271.9+1.3
9 Northern Iowa94544%71.367.9+3.4
10 Illinois (Chi.)114736%67.769.1-1.4
11 Evansville124833%61.865.8-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monmouth1210283%72.966.0+6.9
2 Towson128467%73.165.6+7.5
3 Campbell117464%67.659.6+8.0
4 Charleston117464%80.078.4+1.6
5 Stony Brook117464%72.273.0-0.8
6 Hofstra127558%80.372.3+8.0
7 NC Wilmington116555%66.165.8+0.3
8 Northeastern116555%64.566.0-1.5
9 Drexel105550%75.672.9+2.7
10 Hampton114736%61.564.8-3.3
11 N. Carolina A&T145936%68.970.3-1.4
12 Elon1331023%68.877.2-8.3
13 William & Mary121118%61.071.8-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso503888
William & Mary363066
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