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Western Michigan vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 60-71
30-32 30-39
Position#335
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#242
Record3-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Western Michigan v Valparaiso
20 Dec 2024
WEST73
VALP76
05 Dec 2021
WEST60
VALP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#40
L
44-91
44
91
-47
A27/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#346
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A03/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Hope
#403
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
46-90
46
90
-44
A12/11
NCAA
Saginaw Valley
#193
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
61-109
61
109
-48
A23/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#88
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A27/11
NCAA
IPFW
#87
W
93-85 OT
93
85
+8
H27/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
16-54
28-37
36-31
37-32
21-30
42-34
39-20
37-38
25-46
21-44
30-36
33-44
20-49
41-60
31-33
36-44
40-36
37-41
33-37
37-33
146.1Avg total
66.7Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.682.3151.9-12.743%
Season at home (3)77.374.3151.7+3.067%
Season away (4)63.888.2152.0-24.525%
Last 10 (10)66.779.4146.1-12.740%
Last 5 (5)73.085.6158.6-12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)64.577.9142.5-13.421%
vs Similar (3)64.371.7136.0-7.30%
vs Weaker (2)67.552.5120.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#122
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#225
L
70-74 OT
70
74
-4
H13/11
NCAA
Stanford
#202
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A18/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A22/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H24/11
NCAA
Tulane
#213
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#533
W
106-69
106
69
+37
H28/11
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-18
31-40
13-31
42-35
33-35
28-34
29-34
30-25
23-39
37-35
28-32
50-38
30-26
31-38
30-33
38-31
47-26
59-43
32-40
34-33
137.6Avg total
69.5Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.269.6140.9+1.638%
Season at home (4)74.569.0143.5+5.525%
Season away (4)68.070.2138.2-2.250%
Last 10 (10)69.568.1137.6+1.440%
Last 5 (5)75.868.0143.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.271.4135.6-7.121%
vs Similar (14)62.265.9128.1-3.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)97.570.0167.5+27.5100%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +2.8+2.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +2.8+2.8
Western MichiganValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#40
L
16-54
16
54
-38
A27/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#346
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A03/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Hope
#403
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A12/11
NCAA
Saginaw Valley
#193
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
20-49
20
49
-29
A23/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#88
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A27/11
NCAA
IPFW
#87
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H27/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/11
NCAA
66.3Avg total
29.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.134.665.7-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.132.166.2+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)28.636.865.3-8.219%-
Last 10 (10)29.137.266.3-8.130%-
Last 5 (5)30.838.269.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.436.567.9-5.133%-
vs Similar (3)25.331.757.0-6.30%-
vs Weaker (2)33.023.556.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#122
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
13-31
13
31
-18
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#225
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Stanford
#202
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A18/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Tulane
#213
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A24/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#533
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H28/11
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A03/12
NCAA
61.8Avg total
30.4Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.032.263.2-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.332.264.5+0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)29.732.261.9-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)30.431.461.8-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.464.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.332.962.1-3.629%-
vs Similar (14)30.632.062.6-1.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)46.029.075.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Michigan wins
0
Valparaiso wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/21ASE Louisiana81-77 OT
27/11/21HIPFW93-85 OT
27/11/21AFlorida Gulf Coast67-77
23/11/21AIowa61-109
19/11/21HSaginaw Valley63-80
12/11/21AMichigan State46-90
11/11/21HHope76-58
06/03/21HEastern Michigan63-64
03/03/21ANorthern Illinois73-63
27/02/21AToledo44-91
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/21ADrake66-73
28/11/21HTrinity (IL)106-69
24/11/21ATulane68-64
24/11/21HCoastal Carolina61-64
22/11/21AJacksonville State78-70
18/11/21AStanford60-74
13/11/21HIllinois (Chi.)70-74 OT
10/11/21HToledo61-69
06/03/21AMissouri State55-66
27/02/21HIndiana State70-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game69.677.363.8
Allowed / game82.374.388.2
Point differential-12.7+3.0-24.5
Avg total151.9151.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %29%33%25%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL38%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game71.274.568.0
Allowed / game69.669.070.2
Point differential+1.6+5.5-2.2
Avg total140.9143.5138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo86275%78.569.2+9.2
2 Ohio86275%74.169.0+5.1
3 Kent State64267%75.357.8+17.5
4 UMass96367%82.879.4+3.3
5 Miami (Ohio)85362%79.863.5+16.2
6 Akron85362%73.959.9+14.0
7 Buffalo74357%82.172.1+10.0
8 Bowling Green84450%77.875.0+2.8
9 Ball State73443%77.780.4-2.7
10 Western Michigan73443%69.682.3-12.7
11 Eastern Michigan72529%72.382.1-9.9
12 Northern Illinois82625%54.668.8-14.1
13 Central Michigan71614%60.183.4-23.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State87188%83.465.0+18.4
2 Belmont96367%78.671.9+6.7
3 Southern Illinois85362%62.458.0+4.4
4 Drake74357%75.165.4+9.7
5 Bradley94544%70.466.1+4.3
6 Indiana State94544%73.874.9-1.1
7 Illinois State94544%79.781.9-2.2
8 Valparaiso83538%71.269.6+1.6
9 Evansville114736%60.764.9-4.2
10 Northern Iowa62433%74.872.5+2.3
11 Illinois (Chi.)72529%70.171.0-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Michigan303060
Valparaiso323971
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