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Valur vs KR Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 30 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game85.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 22· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2026-27
Meetings · Valur v KR Basket
30 Mar 2027
VALU v KR B
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
VALU92
KR B90
14 Nov 2024
VALU101
KR B94
16 Feb 2023
VALU90
KR B71
07 Feb 2022
VALU81
KR B78
28 May 2021
VALU86
KR B89
23 May 2021
VALU103
KR B115
16 May 2021
VALU98
KR B99
18 Jan 2021
VALU71
KR B80
12 Mar 2020
VALU81
KR B90
26 Oct 2018
VALU79
KR B95
26 Oct 2017
VALU73
KR B80
12 Dec 2013
VALU74
KR B102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
KR Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
W
79-72
79
72
+7
72avg 76
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
65avg 76
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 76
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
82-109
82
109
-27
78avg 76
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
90-77
90
77
+13
81avg 76
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
71avg 76
H16/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-85
93
85
+8
85avg 76
A22/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
82avg 76
H30/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-22
19-16
19-15
20-26
20-22
12-18
15-27
23-18
24-21
22-24
16-16
28-20
12-30
23-31
19-28
22-22
24-19
23-18
21-18
29-26
16-28
17-14
19-6
25-18
21-20
26-24
21-23
23-21
29-18
18-26
17-19
25-19
23-25
13-12
25-17
9-21
32-20
15-18
12-21
164.4Avg total
81.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.278.8163.0+5.383%
Season at home (4)81.578.8160.2+2.875%
Season away (2)89.579.0168.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.882.6164.4-0.870%
Last 5 (5)83.079.2162.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)82.188.6170.7-6.433%
vs Similar (14)86.485.3171.6+1.164%
vs Weaker (6)87.582.0169.5+5.583%
This opponent (KR Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KR BasketIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 91
A01/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
91-82
91
82
+9
87avg 91
H06/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
80-104
80
104
-24
69avg 91
A10/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
115-118 OT
115
118
-3
110avg 91
H14/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
W
91-80
91
80
+11
80avg 91
A09/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
88avg 91
H15/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-74
108
74
+34
107avg 91
H22/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
107-102
107
102
+5
106avg 91
H29/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
W
102-94
102
94
+8
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
112-92
112
92
+20
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-28
24-23
9-24
22-22
20-14
32-29
23-27
16-12
29-32
22-21
13-25
16-26
29-20
26-25
25-27
12-20
18-18
15-20
23-15
35-27
18-24
17-17
27-26
22-6
18-26
35-11
27-23
28-14
19-22
30-20
33-28
25-32
28-20
23-21
22-33
29-20
21-23
29-22
32-33
30-14
189.2Avg total
97.6Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)100.785.8186.5+14.8100%
Season at home (4)102.885.2188.0+17.5100%
Season away (2)96.587.0183.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)97.691.6189.2+6.070%
Last 5 (5)102.687.0189.6+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)96.4101.9198.2-5.525%
vs Similar (9)94.292.7186.9+1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)104.490.8195.2+13.792%
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
ValurKR Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A22/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H30/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/11
Premier league
88.1Avg total
44.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.385.7-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.042.985.9+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)41.743.985.6-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.588.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.289.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.843.984.7-3.133%-
vs Similar (14)43.143.686.6-0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)42.541.884.3+0.750%-
This opponent (KR Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KR BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#3
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A01/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H06/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A10/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H14/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A09/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H22/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H29/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A05/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H12/11
Premier league
92.0Avg total
48.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.346.196.4+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.543.493.9+7.169%-
Last 30 away (14)50.149.199.1+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)48.443.692.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.641.288.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)51.949.6101.5+2.262%-
vs Similar (9)47.844.191.9+3.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.045.695.6+4.458%-
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.6
52.2%
56.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
33.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
73.9%13.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KR Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KR Basket: 96.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.1
54.4%
56.2%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.8
31.5%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.918.4
73.9%
73.9%18.4
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
LWWWWWLWLW
KR Basket
WWWWWWLLWL
#4
League position
#1
+0.3
Net rating
+2.7
91.9
Offensive rating
96.3
91.5
Defensive rating
93.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.5%
3-point %
31.5%
62.1%
Assist %
69.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 96.3Defence91.5 · 93.6Shooting50.8% · 51.5%3-point %32.5% · 31.5%Ball care13.3% · 12.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Valur   ■ KR Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Valur wins
1
KR Basket wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Valur v KR Basket92-90 OT
20/11/25KR Basket v Valur91-99
22/03/25KR Basket v Valur78-96
14/02/25KR Basket v Valur89-96 OT
14/11/24Valur v KR Basket101-94
16/02/23Valur v KR Basket90-71
20/11/22KR Basket v Valur77-110
31/03/22KR Basket v Valur54-72
07/02/22Valur v KR Basket81-78
28/05/21Valur v KR Basket86-89
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HAlftanes68-80
06/11/26ASindri86-73
30/10/26HArmann87-84
22/10/26ANjardvik93-85
16/10/26HGrindavik81-74
08/10/26HStjarnan90-77
06/05/26AGrindavik82-109
04/05/26HGrindavik85-79
30/04/26AGrindavik67-93
26/04/26HGrindavik79-72
KR Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HHottur112-92
05/11/26AAlftanes102-94
29/10/26HSindri107-102
22/10/26HArmann108-74
15/10/26HNjardvik84-73
09/10/26AGrindavik91-80
14/04/26HStjarnan115-118 OT
10/04/26AStjarnan80-104
06/04/26HStjarnan91-82
01/04/26AStjarnan86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game84.281.589.5
Allowed / game78.878.879.0
Point differential+5.3+2.8+10.5
Avg total163.0160.2168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
KR Basket
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.7102.896.5
Allowed / game85.885.287.0
Point differential+14.8+17.5+9.5
Avg total186.5188.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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