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Valur vs KR Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 92-90 (OT)
19-18 26-23 25-25 14-18 8-6
Position#4
Record12-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game88.9
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
KR Basket
Iceland
Position#6
Record11-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.9
Allowed / game94.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 19· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valur v KR Basket
30 Mar 2027
VALU v KR B
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
VALU92
KR B90
14 Nov 2024
VALU101
KR B94
16 Feb 2023
VALU90
KR B71
07 Feb 2022
VALU81
KR B78
28 May 2021
VALU86
KR B89
23 May 2021
VALU103
KR B115
16 May 2021
VALU98
KR B99
18 Jan 2021
VALU71
KR B80
12 Mar 2020
VALU81
KR B90
26 Oct 2018
VALU79
KR B95
26 Oct 2017
VALU73
KR B80
12 Dec 2013
VALU74
KR B102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KR Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
73avg 84
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 84
A18/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
108-99 OT
108
99
+9
101avg 84
A03/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
106avg 84
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
93-94
93
94
-1
82avg 84
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
77-94
77
94
-17
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
80-71 OT
80
71
+9
70avg 84
H22/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 84
A29/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
102-85
102
85
+17
98avg 84
H12/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
108-87
108
87
+21
108avg 84
A20/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
22-18
20-16
18-9
19-19
22-27
27-16
17-20
31-14
17-30
13-22
28-23
21-35
19-26
26-18
36-26
27-23
21-25
25-23
20-23
16-31
18-19
16-18
27-26
18-19
12-16
23-13
12-17
16-23
15-19
18-19
18-17
21-17
24-28
26-17
31-23
26-23
23-18
34-24
25-22
177.1Avg total
90.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)91.888.9180.7+2.867%
Season at home (9)90.686.4177.0+4.167%
Season away (9)93.091.4184.4+1.667%
Last 10 (10)90.786.4177.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)86.883.0169.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.191.6174.7-8.414%
vs Similar ◀ (12)91.785.7177.3+6.067%
vs Weaker (10)91.784.4176.1+7.390%
This opponent (KR Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KR BasketIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#3
L
96-98
96
98
-2
84avg 94
A03/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
102-93
102
93
+9
108avg 94
H08/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#8
W
102-72
102
72
+30
111avg 94
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#11
W
126-123 OT
126
123
+3
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 94
H23/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
120-98
120
98
+22
116avg 94
A29/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
87-85
87
85
+2
87avg 94
A03/02
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#2
W
100-84
100
84
+16
94avg 94
A07/02
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#8
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 94
H12/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
105-92
105
92
+13
105avg 94
A19/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
22-21
30-20
23-27
24-37
28-21
29-19
21-16
34-24
19-13
23-14
26-21
31-30
27-35
20-29
33-17
26-17
27-13
28-21
12-20
29-20
28-27
26-23
37-28
21-15
29-31
22-25
15-14
29-22
27-21
18-22
26-19
27-24
17-18
21-20
22-18
34-18
20-26
29-20
22-28
191.4Avg total
101.8Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)99.994.7194.6+5.361%
Season at home (9)96.687.1183.7+9.478%
Season away (9)103.3102.2205.6+1.144%
Last 10 (10)101.889.6191.4+12.290%
Last 5 (5)99.887.8187.6+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)93.2101.7194.8-8.533%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.891.6181.3-1.833%
vs Weaker (11)106.587.9194.4+18.5100%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
ValurKR Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A18/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A03/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H22/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A29/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A20/02
Premier league
86.9Avg total
41.3Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.044.088.0+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.544.589.1+0.040%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.486.9+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.686.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.680.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.649.688.1-11.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)47.342.689.9+4.858%-
vs Weaker (10)43.541.785.2+1.840%-
This opponent (KR Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KR BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H08/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#11
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A15/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H23/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A29/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A03/02
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#2
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A07/02
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H12/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A19/02
Premier league
98.3Avg total
52.0Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.546.294.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.343.891.1+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)49.949.198.9+0.864%-
Last 10 (10)52.046.398.3+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)52.244.496.6+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.751.293.8-8.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.744.891.4+1.958%-
vs Weaker (11)52.345.697.9+6.673%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.424.4
52.6%
54.6%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.9
35.2%
34.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.912.2
72.2%
74.2%12.2
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KR Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KR Basket: 100.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.9
52.1%
54.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.014.5
43.9%
34.0%43.5
🏀 Free throws22.517.4
77.3%
74.2%17.4
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WWLWLLLWWW
KR Basket
WWWWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#6
+8.7
Net rating
+11.1
103.5
Offensive rating
107.0
94.8
Defensive rating
96.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
58.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
12.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.2%
3-point %
43.9%
63.2%
Assist %
68.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 107.0Defence94.8 · 96.0Shooting52.6% · 58.5%3-point %35.2% · 43.9%Ball care12.2% · 15.5%Off. rebounds27.5% · 27.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Valur   ■ KR Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Valur wins
1
KR Basket wins
DateGameScore
20/11/25KR Basket v Valur91-99
22/03/25KR Basket v Valur78-96
14/02/25KR Basket v Valur89-96 OT
14/11/24Valur v KR Basket101-94
16/02/23Valur v KR Basket90-71
20/11/22KR Basket v Valur77-110
31/03/22KR Basket v Valur54-72
07/02/22Valur v KR Basket81-78
28/05/21Valur v KR Basket86-89
26/05/21KR Basket v Valur82-88
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26AAlftanes108-87
12/02/26HAkranes IA102-85
29/01/26AGrindavik67-78
22/01/26HThorl80-71 OT
15/01/26AArmann77-94
12/01/26HKeflavik93-94
08/01/26HStjarnan102-105
03/01/26ATindastoll108-99 OT
18/12/25AIR Reykjavik85-82
15/12/25HIR Reykjavik85-69
KR Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26ANjardvik105-92
12/02/26HAlftanes87-80
07/02/26AStjarnan100-84
03/02/26ATindastoll87-85
29/01/26AAkranes IA120-98
23/01/26HGrindavik93-71
15/01/26AThorl126-123 OT
12/01/26HBreidablik102-72
08/01/26HArmann102-93
03/01/26AStjarnan96-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game91.890.693.0
Allowed / game88.986.491.4
Point differential+2.8+4.1+1.6
Avg total180.7177.0184.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %17%11%22%
KR Basket
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW61%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayLLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%78%44%
Points / game99.996.6103.3
Allowed / game94.787.1102.2
Point differential+5.3+9.4+1.1
Avg total194.6183.7205.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1916384%93.488.3+5.1
2 Stjarnan1914574%105.293.1+12.1
3 Tindastoll1914574%101.191.0+10.1
4 Valur1812667%91.888.9+2.8
5 KR Basket1811761%99.994.7+5.3
6 Keflavik1911858%95.291.6+3.6
7 IR Reykjavik1981142%90.491.3-0.8
8 Alftanes1971237%90.890.9-0.1
9 Njardvik1971237%96.497.6-1.2
10 Thorl1951426%88.598.2-9.7
11 Akranes IA1941521%87.399.2-11.9
12 Armann1941521%86.5101.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Valur19262514892
KR Basket18232518690
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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