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Valur W vs Breidablik W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 64-43
12-12 13-11 25-2 14-18
Position#5
Record5-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game69.9
Valur W 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#13
Record1-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game89.9
IcelandPremier League WRound 10· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Women2023-24
Meetings · Valur W v Breidablik W
28 Nov 2023
VALU64
BREI43
04 Jan 2023
VALU102
BREI59
20 Sep 2022
VALU84
BREI46
30 Jan 2022
VALU66
BREI78
13 Oct 2021
VALU73
BREI70
27 Jan 2021
VALU88
BREI78
03 Jan 2021
VALU v BREI
upcoming
18 Mar 2020
VALU v BREI
upcoming
11 Dec 2019
VALU90
BREI69
30 Jan 2019
VALU111
BREI64
21 Oct 2018
VALU71
BREI67
06 Jan 2018
VALU85
BREI52
04 Oct 2017
VALU87
BREI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breidablik W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Keflavik W
#1
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
H28/04
Premier League W
Breidablik W
#13
W
75-58
75
58
+17
59avg 56
A26/09
Premier League W
Haukar W
#7
L
61-67
61
67
-6
52avg 56
H04/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
58avg 56
A08/10
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
no box
H11/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 56
A17/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
58avg 56
H24/10
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
75-55
75
55
+20
76avg 56
A31/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
50-70
50
70
-20
31avg 56
A19/11
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
53-75
53
75
-22
44avg 56
H22/11
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
18-17
23-20
18-14
19-17
21-15
19-3
16-23
14-16
22-16
14-18
11-17
24-24
17-16
19-28
23-23
24-18
19-19
19-11
13-25
16-18
19-23
17-16
24-14
14-21
20-20
21-12
18-16
26-17
13-14
25-14
11-10
7-19
19-14
15-24
9-13
14-23
15-19
6-9
18-24
139.0Avg total
69.3Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)69.069.9138.9-0.956%
Season at home (4)65.571.0136.5-5.550%
Season away (5)71.869.0140.8+2.860%
Last 10 (10)69.369.7139.0-0.460%
Last 5 (5)65.468.0133.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.078.7140.7-16.70%
vs Similar (15)69.570.3139.8-0.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.365.9152.2+20.492%
This opponent (Breidablik W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Breidablik WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#3
L
45-88
45
88
-43
no box
A29/03
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
38avg 53
H26/09
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
65-82
65
82
-17
56avg 53
A03/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
72-102
72
102
-30
54avg 53
H08/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#7
L
63-98
63
98
-35
no box
H10/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#2
L
70-102
70
102
-32
55avg 53
A17/10
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
L
71-92
71
92
-21
45avg 53
H24/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
56-85
56
85
-29
40avg 53
A31/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#11
L
86-98
86
98
-12
64avg 53
H19/11
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
83-75
83
75
+8
71avg 53
A22/11
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
11-21
10-32
12-21
17-19
15-21
3-19
23-16
16-26
20-26
12-18
17-12
15-25
18-24
20-32
19-21
19-22
16-26
12-29
16-21
17-36
24-32
13-18
16-16
15-28
25-21
22-18
9-25
17-29
16-20
18-21
5-15
30-34
20-24
16-16
20-24
23-9
15-26
21-22
24-18
156.6Avg total
66.9Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)69.389.9159.2-20.611%
Season at home (5)70.093.0163.0-23.00%
Season away (4)68.586.0154.5-17.525%
Last 10 (10)66.989.7156.6-22.810%
Last 5 (5)73.290.4163.6-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)62.589.7152.1-27.20%
vs Similar (4)82.573.8156.2+8.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
Valur WBreidablik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik W
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H28/04
Premier League W
Breidablik W
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A26/09
Premier League W
Haukar W
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/10
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A17/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H24/10
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A31/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A19/11
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H22/11
Premier League W
71.7Avg total
35.4Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.271.1+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.033.971.9+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)35.934.570.4+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.371.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.637.670.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.038.370.3-6.333%-
vs Similar (15)32.135.567.5-3.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.131.675.7+12.583%-
This opponent (Breidablik W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Breidablik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#3
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A29/03
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H26/09
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A03/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H08/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#7
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H10/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#2
L
41-68
41
68
-27
A17/10
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H24/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A31/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#11
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H19/11
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A22/11
Premier League W
84.4Avg total
36.1Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.844.778.5-10.913%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.045.481.4-9.412%-
Last 30 away (14)31.343.875.1-12.514%-
Last 10 (10)36.148.384.4-12.210%-
Last 5 (5)40.451.892.2-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.546.378.8-13.80%-
vs Similar (4)42.234.276.5+8.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 61.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.615.7
41.7%
45.2%31.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.05.8
25.1%
29.5%17.3
🏀 Free throws18.313.1
71.5%
72.9%13.1
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breidablik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik W: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.012.7
38.4%
45.2%25.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.4
32.7%
29.5%28.3
🏀 Free throws16.812.1
72.2%
72.9%12.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur W
LLWWWWLLWW
Breidablik W
WLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#13
-1.1
Net rating
-24.0
89.5
Offensive rating
90.7
90.7
Defensive rating
114.7
40.2%
Effective FG%
43.4%
42.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.8%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
25.1%
3-point %
32.7%
65.3%
Assist %
49.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 90.7Defence90.7 · 114.7Shooting40.2% · 43.4%3-point %25.1% · 32.7%Ball care19.0% · 19.8%Off. rebounds31.1% · 28.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Valur W   ■ Breidablik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valur W wins
3
Breidablik W wins
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HNjardvik W53-75
19/11/23AKeflavik W50-70
31/10/23ASnaefell W75-55
24/10/23HFjolnir W73-69
17/10/23AStjarnan W76-71
11/10/23HThor AK Akureyri W75-73
08/10/23AGrindavik W83-91
04/10/23HHaukar W61-67
26/09/23ABreidablik W75-58
28/04/23HKeflavik W72-68
Breidablik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23ASnaefell W83-75
19/11/23HFjolnir W86-98
31/10/23AStjarnan W56-85
24/10/23HThor AK Akureyri W71-92
17/10/23AGrindavik W70-102
10/10/23HHaukar W63-98
08/10/23HKeflavik W72-102
03/10/23ANjardvik W65-82
26/09/23HValur W58-75
29/03/23AHaukar W45-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur W
Premier League W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game69.065.571.8
Allowed / game69.971.069.0
Point differential-0.9-5.5+2.8
Avg total138.9136.5140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breidablik W
Premier League W 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW11%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%0%25%
Points / game69.370.068.5
Allowed / game89.993.086.0
Point differential-20.6-23.0-17.5
Avg total159.2163.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keflavik W98189%86.072.0+14.0
2 Njardvik W97278%79.162.8+16.3
3 Stjarnan W107370%78.174.5+3.6
4 Grindavik W96367%84.270.4+13.8
5 Valur W95456%69.069.9-0.9
6 Thor AK Akureyri W105550%75.773.8+1.9
7 Haukar W94544%77.970.9+7.0
8 Fjolnir W93633%75.180.3-5.2
9 Breidablik W91811%69.389.9-20.6
10 Snaefell W9090%56.987.4-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur W1213251464
Breidablik W121121843
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