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Valur W vs Fjolnir W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 73-69
14-21 20-20 21-12 18-16
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game72.0
Valur W 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#11
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game81.2
IcelandPremier League WRound 6· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Women2023-24
Meetings · Valur W v Fjolnir W
20 Feb 2027
VALU v FJOL
upcoming
12 Mar 2024
VALU78
FJOL81
24 Oct 2023
VALU73
FJOL69
19 Feb 2023
VALU109
FJOL104
23 Oct 2022
VALU62
FJOL55
23 Feb 2022
VALU87
FJOL73
03 Nov 2021
VALU74
FJOL84
21 May 2021
VALU78
FJOL74
14 May 2021
VALU90
FJOL49
17 Feb 2021
VALU74
FJOL57
30 Jan 2021
VALU v FJOL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fjolnir W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#3
W
56-46
56
46
+10
no box
A16/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
W
69-66
69
66
+3
no box
A19/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
no box
H22/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
A25/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
H28/04
Premier League W
Breidablik W
#13
W
75-58
75
58
+17
59avg 59
A26/09
Premier League W
Haukar W
#7
L
61-67
61
67
-6
52avg 59
H04/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
58avg 59
A08/10
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
no box
H11/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 59
A17/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-7
14-10
14-12
20-17
12-13
17-23
22-18
18-12
16-12
22-15
15-15
9-20
13-28
11-19
18-12
24-19
13-17
18-17
23-20
18-14
19-17
21-15
19-3
16-23
14-16
22-16
14-18
11-17
24-24
17-16
19-28
23-23
24-18
19-19
19-11
13-25
16-18
19-23
17-16
24-14
139.8Avg total
71.0Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.072.0146.0+2.060%
Season at home (2)68.070.0138.0-2.050%
Season away (3)78.073.3151.3+4.767%
Last 10 (10)71.068.8139.8+2.270%
Last 5 (5)74.072.0146.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.091.0174.0-8.00%
vs Similar (16)69.669.7139.3-0.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.965.4157.3+26.592%
This opponent (Fjolnir W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fjolnir WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A08/03
Premier League W
Breidablik W
#7
W
90-72
90
72
+18
no box
H15/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
no box
A19/03
Premier League W
Valur W
#2
L
71-102
71
102
-31
no box
H22/03
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
64-90
64
90
-26
no box
A29/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 69
A26/09
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
70-62
70
62
+8
62avg 69
H03/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
70-88
70
88
-18
64avg 69
A07/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
77-103
77
103
-26
no box
A10/10
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
87avg 69
H17/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
18-14
22-23
13-12
25-28
24-12
26-15
15-17
17-26
17-18
18-23
22-25
13-25
18-26
15-27
25-24
18-20
23-26
10-31
13-13
12-15
23-26
18-21
18-19
21-15
13-17
15-18
21-12
18-18
25-26
17-20
10-24
22-29
23-25
14-18
18-31
20-18
20-15
20-18
23-21
158.5Avg total
74.3Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.281.2155.4-7.040%
Season at home (2)76.567.0143.5+9.5100%
Season away (3)72.790.7163.3-18.00%
Last 10 (10)74.384.2158.5-9.930%
Last 5 (5)74.281.2155.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)71.290.6161.8-19.310%
vs Similar (1)70.088.0158.0-18.00%
vs Weaker (8)78.668.0146.6+10.688%
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
Valur WFjolnir W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#3
W
22-17
22
17
+5
A16/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A19/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H22/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A25/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H28/04
Premier League W
Breidablik W
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A26/09
Premier League W
Haukar W
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/10
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A17/10
Premier League W
68.2Avg total
33.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.333.272.5+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.932.072.9+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)38.034.272.2+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)33.934.368.2-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.475.4+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.040.081.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (16)32.234.967.1-2.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.030.578.5+17.592%-
This opponent (Fjolnir W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fjolnir WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A08/03
Premier League W
Breidablik W
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H15/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/03
Premier League W
Valur W
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H22/03
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A29/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A26/09
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H03/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A10/10
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/10
Premier League W
82.0Avg total
39.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.442.378.7-5.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.541.377.8-4.953%-
Last 30 away (15)36.343.279.5-6.913%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.082.0-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.046.181.0-11.114%-
vs Similar (1)43.044.087.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker (8)39.432.071.4+7.488%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 61.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.6
48.5%
45.2%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.85.4
26.0%
29.5%16.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.4
71.3%
72.9%12.4
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fjolnir Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fjolnir W: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.6
51.6%
45.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.06.2
32.6%
29.5%18.6
🏀 Free throws12.28.6
70.5%
72.9%8.6
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur W
WWLLWWLWWW
Fjolnir W
WLLWLLLLWL
#5
League position
#11
+3.5
Net rating
-5.4
98.8
Offensive rating
99.2
95.3
Defensive rating
104.6
44.9%
Effective FG%
50.7%
44.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
22.2%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.21
26.0%
3-point %
32.6%
67.3%
Assist %
65.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 99.2Defence95.3 · 104.6Shooting44.9% · 50.7%3-point %26.0% · 32.6%Ball care18.7% · 22.2%Off. rebounds32.4% · 31.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Valur W   ■ Fjolnir W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Valur W wins
2
Fjolnir W wins
DateGameScore
22/03/23Fjolnir W v Valur W71-102
19/02/23Valur W v Fjolnir W109-104
14/12/22Fjolnir W v Valur W63-122
23/10/22Valur W v Fjolnir W62-55
30/03/22Fjolnir W v Valur W76-86
23/02/22Valur W v Fjolnir W87-73
30/12/21Fjolnir W v Valur W99-70
03/11/21Valur W v Fjolnir W74-84 OT
21/05/21Valur W v Fjolnir W78-74
17/05/21Fjolnir W v Valur W76-83
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23AStjarnan W76-71
11/10/23HThor AK Akureyri W75-73
08/10/23AGrindavik W83-91
04/10/23HHaukar W61-67
26/09/23ABreidablik W75-58
28/04/23HKeflavik W72-68
25/04/23AKeflavik W66-78
22/04/23HKeflavik W77-70 OT
19/04/23AKeflavik W69-66
16/04/23AHaukar W56-46
Fjolnir Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23HSnaefell W83-72
10/10/23AKeflavik W77-103
07/10/23AStjarnan W70-88
03/10/23HThor AK Akureyri W70-62
26/09/23AGrindavik W71-81
29/03/23AKeflavik W64-90
22/03/23HValur W71-102
19/03/23AHaukar W74-92
15/03/23HBreidablik W90-72
08/03/23ANjardvik W73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur W
Premier League W 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game74.068.078.0
Allowed / game72.070.073.3
Point differential+2.0-2.0+4.7
Avg total146.0138.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fjolnir W
Premier League W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game74.276.572.7
Allowed / game81.267.090.7
Point differential-7.0+9.5-18.0
Avg total155.4143.5163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keflavik W550100%93.073.6+19.4
2 Grindavik W54180%84.666.2+18.4
3 Njardvik W54180%74.463.6+10.8
4 Haukar W53260%80.865.2+15.6
5 Valur W53260%74.072.0+2.0
6 Thor AK Akureyri W52340%70.665.6+5.0
7 Stjarnan W52340%69.873.0-3.2
8 Fjolnir W52340%74.281.2-7.0
9 Breidablik W5050%65.691.8-26.2
10 Snaefell W5050%54.289.0-34.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur W1420211873
Fjolnir W2120121669
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