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Valur W vs Fjolnir W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 78-81
14-22 25-16 19-18 20-25
Position#5
Record11-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#11
Record5-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game78.6
IcelandPremier League WRound 4· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Women2023-24
Meetings · Valur W v Fjolnir W
20 Feb 2027
VALU v FJOL
upcoming
12 Mar 2024
VALU78
FJOL81
24 Oct 2023
VALU73
FJOL69
19 Feb 2023
VALU109
FJOL104
23 Oct 2022
VALU62
FJOL55
23 Feb 2022
VALU87
FJOL73
03 Nov 2021
VALU74
FJOL84
21 May 2021
VALU78
FJOL74
14 May 2021
VALU90
FJOL49
17 Feb 2021
VALU74
FJOL57
30 Jan 2021
VALU v FJOL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fjolnir W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Grindavik W
#2
L
72-93
72
93
-21
65avg 58
H05/12
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
L
71-77
71
77
-6
56avg 58
A12/12
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
63-74
63
74
-11
47avg 58
H03/01
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
68avg 58
A10/01
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
L
58-62
58
62
-4
35avg 58
H16/01
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
W
79-77
79
77
+2
72avg 58
H24/01
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
67-79
67
79
-12
55avg 58
A31/01
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#11
W
87-54
87
54
+33
74avg 58
A06/02
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
69-57
69
57
+12
39avg 58
H13/02
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
90-84
90
84
+6
72avg 58
H27/02
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
14-23
17-23
22-23
18-12
20-14
12-22
21-29
13-15
18-20
13-15
19-24
21-22
14-22
20-20
25-11
10-13
16-21
14-17
18-11
20-18
21-17
15-26
23-16
22-24
18-15
15-20
12-20
17-21
21-12
25-11
24-10
19-16
12-11
17-21
21-9
23-22
15-16
25-18
27-28
146.8Avg total
73.6Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.970.2141.1+0.752%
Season at home (11)68.870.4139.2-1.555%
Season away (10)73.270.1143.3+3.150%
Last 10 (10)73.673.2146.8+0.450%
Last 5 (5)78.470.2148.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.380.8148.2-13.517%
vs Similar (16)71.071.2142.2-0.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)72.659.1131.8+13.588%
This opponent (Fjolnir W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fjolnir WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 65
A02/12
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
66-72
66
72
-6
71avg 65
H05/12
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
54-89
54
89
-35
37avg 65
H12/12
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 65
A02/01
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 65
H10/01
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
46avg 65
A16/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#7
L
52-58
52
58
-6
49avg 65
A30/01
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
54-87
54
87
-33
44avg 65
H06/02
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
79-70
79
70
+9
74avg 65
A13/02
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
78-57
78
57
+21
71avg 65
A27/02
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
13-21
24-17
19-23
19-19
19-18
13-25
15-10
16-25
14-16
13-26
11-22
19-17
20-24
25-28
18-16
22-21
22-14
20-20
11-25
17-23
17-22
20-20
20-20
22-10
9-20
10-17
11-11
21-17
12-21
11-25
10-24
14-20
17-14
26-23
22-13
18-13
13-16
22-13
25-15
145.7Avg total
68.9Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.078.6150.6-6.525%
Season at home (9)68.477.9146.3-9.422%
Season away (11)75.079.2154.2-4.227%
Last 10 (10)68.976.8145.7-7.920%
Last 5 (5)67.471.4138.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.884.0154.7-13.214%
vs Similar (2)68.080.0148.0-12.00%
vs Weaker (6)85.773.5159.2+12.283%
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
Valur WFjolnir W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik W
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H05/12
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A12/12
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H03/01
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#11
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/01
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H16/01
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H24/01
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A31/01
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#11
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A06/02
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H13/02
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H27/02
Premier League W
70.9Avg total
35.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.235.768.9-2.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.634.968.5-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)32.936.569.3-3.647%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.870.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.472.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.039.374.3-4.350%-
vs Similar (16)32.435.668.1-3.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)33.533.166.6+0.462%-
This opponent (Fjolnir W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fjolnir WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A02/12
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H05/12
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H12/12
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/01
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/01
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#7
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A30/01
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H06/02
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A13/02
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A27/02
Premier League W
71.8Avg total
34.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.679.2-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.638.777.3-0.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.542.581.0-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.571.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.035.267.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.441.679.0-4.236%-
vs Similar (2)40.540.581.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (6)42.237.279.3+5.083%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.819.6
42.8%
45.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.6
29.3%
29.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.8
72.6%
72.9%13.8
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fjolnir Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fjolnir W: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.1
44.0%
45.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.4
27.8%
29.5%19.2
🏀 Free throws16.113.3
82.6%
72.9%13.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur W
WWWLWLWLLL
Fjolnir W
WWLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#11
-0.5
Net rating
-9.6
96.3
Offensive rating
88.2
96.9
Defensive rating
97.8
43.2%
Effective FG%
43.2%
42.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
24.2%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.3%
3-point %
27.8%
48.9%
Assist %
64.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 88.2Defence96.9 · 97.8Shooting43.2% · 43.2%3-point %29.3% · 27.8%Ball care18.7% · 24.2%Off. rebounds35.0% · 30.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Valur W   ■ Fjolnir W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Valur W wins
1
Fjolnir W wins
DateGameScore
06/02/24Fjolnir W v Valur W54-87
10/01/24Fjolnir W v Valur W75-80
24/10/23Valur W v Fjolnir W73-69
22/03/23Fjolnir W v Valur W71-102
19/02/23Valur W v Fjolnir W109-104
14/12/22Fjolnir W v Valur W63-122
23/10/22Valur W v Fjolnir W62-55
30/03/22Fjolnir W v Valur W76-86
23/02/22Valur W v Fjolnir W87-73
30/12/21Fjolnir W v Valur W99-70
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/24HThor AK Akureyri W90-84
13/02/24HSnaefell W69-57
06/02/24AFjolnir W87-54
31/01/24ANjardvik W67-79
24/01/24HKeflavik W79-77
16/01/24HSnaefell W58-62
10/01/24AFjolnir W80-75
03/01/24HStjarnan W63-74
12/12/23AThor AK Akureyri W71-77
05/12/23HGrindavik W72-93
Fjolnir Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/24ASnaefell W78-57
13/02/24AThor AK Akureyri W79-70
06/02/24HValur W54-87
30/01/24AHaukar W52-58
16/01/24ANjardvik W74-85
10/01/24HValur W75-80
02/01/24ASnaefell W82-85
12/12/23HKeflavik W54-89
05/12/23HStjarnan W66-72
02/12/23AThor AK Akureyri W75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur W
Premier League W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeLLWWW55%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game70.968.873.2
Allowed / game70.270.470.1
Point differential+0.7-1.5+3.1
Avg total141.1139.2143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%18%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fjolnir W
Premier League W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLLLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %25%22%27%
Points / game72.068.475.0
Allowed / game78.677.979.2
Point differential-6.5-9.4-4.2
Avg total150.7146.3154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%11%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keflavik W2321291%84.765.7+18.9
2 Njardvik W2316770%77.166.3+10.9
3 Grindavik W2316770%81.773.6+8.1
4 Haukar W24131154%76.171.0+5.1
5 Valur W21111052%70.970.2+0.7
6 Stjarnan W23111248%73.077.1-4.1
7 Thor AK Akureyri W2091145%75.876.0-0.2
8 Fjolnir W2051525%72.078.6-6.5
9 Snaefell W2021810%61.484.7-23.3
10 Breidablik W131128%63.387.3-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur W1425192078
Fjolnir W2216182581
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