PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valur W vs Fjolnir W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game71.8
Valur W
Iceland
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Fjolnir W
Iceland
Position#10
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game102.0
IcelandPremier League WRound 16· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Women2026-27
Meetings · Valur W v Fjolnir W
20 Feb 2027
VALU v FJOL
upcoming
12 Mar 2024
VALU78
FJOL81
24 Oct 2023
VALU73
FJOL69
19 Feb 2023
VALU109
FJOL104
23 Oct 2022
VALU62
FJOL55
23 Feb 2022
VALU87
FJOL73
03 Nov 2021
VALU74
FJOL84
21 May 2021
VALU78
FJOL74
14 May 2021
VALU90
FJOL49
17 Feb 2021
VALU74
FJOL57
30 Jan 2021
VALU v FJOL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fjolnir W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
52avg 62
A25/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
55-59
55
59
-4
46avg 62
H31/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
70avg 62
A04/04
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
61avg 62
H09/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
W
77-64
77
64
+13
60avg 62
H30/09
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
53avg 62
H06/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 62
A13/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
72avg 62
H20/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
72-45
72
45
+27
74avg 62
A28/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
no box
H02/11
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
16-12
15-26
10-26
7-15
13-8
15-13
20-23
17-22
15-21
25-12
16-24
11-33
22-21
23-19
16-17
18-20
15-15
14-17
30-12
22-27
19-14
18-24
9-19
22-15
28-13
17-28
22-22
22-29
27-21
22-17
14-23
15-9
19-13
20-6
18-17
21-16
19-20
21-12
26-22
148.5Avg total
73.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.771.8151.5+7.867%
Season at home (4)79.277.0156.2+2.250%
Season away (2)80.561.5142.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.974.6148.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)80.273.4153.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)79.380.0159.3-0.735%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.873.0155.8+9.877%
This opponent (Fjolnir W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fjolnir WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Thor AK Akureyri W
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
82avg 66
A06/04
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
L
83-107
83
107
-24
73avg 66
A10/04
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 66
H14/04
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
L
89-98
89
98
-9
90avg 66
A18/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
65-96
65
96
-31
56avg 66
A30/09
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
L
67-101
67
101
-34
54avg 66
H07/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
L
61-98
61
98
-37
49avg 66
A12/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
L
55-108
55
108
-53
38avg 66
A20/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#1
L
70-99
70
99
-29
63avg 66
H28/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#2
L
69-110
69
110
-41
no box
A02/11
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
25-25
20-16
24-22
25-33
19-27
22-25
17-22
16-22
28-17
13-18
20-22
17-22
28-21
26-23
18-32
10-38
13-17
19-21
23-20
15-35
10-30
14-17
28-19
16-24
14-24
13-25
18-25
13-30
9-28
17-25
16-25
26-29
19-23
4-18
21-29
20-28
20-27
11-26
18-29
170.1Avg total
72.6Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)64.5102.0166.5-37.50%
Season at home (2)68.5100.0168.5-31.50%
Season away (4)62.5103.0165.5-40.50%
Last 10 (10)72.697.5170.1-24.910%
Last 5 (5)64.4103.2167.6-38.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)67.488.3155.7-20.910%
vs Similar (4)78.889.0167.8-10.20%
vs Weaker (6)85.076.5161.5+8.583%
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -9.8-9.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -9.8-9.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
Valur WFjolnir W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#1
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A25/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
20-23
20
23
-3
H31/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A04/04
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H09/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/09
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H06/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A13/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H20/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A28/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/11
Premier League W
73.5Avg total
36.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.579.7+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.840.880.6-1.141%-
Last 30 away (13)45.533.178.6+12.592%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.773.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.478.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)40.339.279.5+1.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.835.280.0+9.777%-
This opponent (Fjolnir W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fjolnir WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thor AK Akureyri W
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A06/04
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A10/04
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/04
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A18/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
23-55
23
55
-32
A30/09
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
L
25-65
25
65
-40
H07/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A12/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
L
22-58
22
58
-36
A20/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H28/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A02/11
Premier League W
88.0Avg total
36.4Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.444.480.8-8.034%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.845.685.4-5.842%-
Last 30 away (17)33.943.677.5-9.629%-
Last 10 (10)36.451.688.0-15.230%-
Last 5 (5)32.455.688.0-23.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)33.746.279.9-12.516%-
vs Similar (4)42.844.887.5-2.075%-
vs Weaker (6)40.738.579.2+2.267%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.4
46.9%
47.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.28.9
29.5%
30.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.011.9
74.4%
74.1%11.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fjolnir Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fjolnir W: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.619.3
45.3%
47.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.8
32.9%
30.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.213.0
64.4%
74.1%13.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur W
WWLWLWLLLL
Fjolnir W
LLLLLLLLLW
#5
League position
#10
-1.9
Net rating
-20.9
83.5
Offensive rating
76.5
85.4
Defensive rating
97.4
45.7%
Effective FG%
46.8%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
22.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.5%
3-point %
32.9%
59.3%
Assist %
64.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence83.5 · 76.5Defence85.4 · 97.4Shooting45.7% · 46.8%3-point %29.5% · 32.9%Ball care15.8% · 22.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Valur W   ■ Fjolnir W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Valur W wins
1
Fjolnir W wins
DateGameScore
12/03/24Valur W v Fjolnir W78-81
06/02/24Fjolnir W v Valur W54-87
10/01/24Fjolnir W v Valur W75-80
24/10/23Valur W v Fjolnir W73-69
22/03/23Fjolnir W v Valur W71-102
19/02/23Valur W v Fjolnir W109-104
14/12/22Fjolnir W v Valur W63-122
23/10/22Valur W v Fjolnir W62-55
30/03/22Fjolnir W v Valur W76-86
23/02/22Valur W v Fjolnir W87-73
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HKeflavik W87-70
28/10/26ATindastoll W72-45
20/10/26HHaukar W85-90
13/10/26AArmann W89-78
06/10/26HKR Reykjavik W68-84
30/09/26HNjardvik W77-64
09/04/26HGrindavik W72-90
04/04/26AGrindavik W73-79
31/03/26HGrindavik W55-59
25/03/26ANjardvik W61-87
Fjolnir Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26AStjarnan W69-110
28/10/26HGrindavik W70-99
20/10/26ANjardvik W55-108
12/10/26AKeflavik W61-98
07/10/26HTindastoll W67-101
30/09/26AHaukar W65-96
18/04/26AHamar W89-98
14/04/26HHamar W77-79
10/04/26AHamar W83-107
06/04/26AThor AK Akureyri W90-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game79.779.280.5
Allowed / game71.877.061.5
Point differential+7.8+2.2+19.0
Avg total151.5156.2142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fjolnir W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.568.562.5
Allowed / game102.0100.0103.0
Point differential-37.5-31.5-40.5
Avg total166.5168.5165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik W660100%92.372.7+19.7
2 Stjarnan W65183%89.774.5+15.2
3 Haukar W64267%86.375.3+11.0
4 Njardvik W64267%91.781.0+10.7
5 Valur W64267%79.771.8+7.8
6 KR Reykjavik W64267%87.888.8-1.0
7 Tindastoll W62433%73.276.2-3.0
8 Keflavik W61517%75.380.8-5.5
9 Armann W6060%75.592.8-17.3
10 Fjolnir W6060%64.5102.0-37.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.