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Valur W vs Tindastoll W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 78-75
24-23 14-14 16-17 24-21
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game80.7
Valur W 🏆
Iceland
vs
Tindastoll W
Iceland
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game94.3
IcelandPremier League WRound 4· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Women2025-26
Meetings · Valur W v Tindastoll W
18 Jan 2027
VALU v TIND
upcoming
22 Oct 2025
VALU78
TIND75
07 Jan 2025
VALU73
TIND64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tindastoll W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
92-86
92
86
+6
80avg 66
A01/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
102-75
102
75
+27
99avg 66
H05/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
60-72
60
72
-12
47avg 66
A09/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
75-70
75
70
+5
72avg 66
H13/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
66-101
66
101
-35
57avg 66
A19/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
77avg 66
H22/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
51avg 66
A26/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 66
A01/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 66
H07/10
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 66
A14/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
20-21
25-17
23-20
25-12
26-21
24-19
27-23
13-21
12-18
20-14
15-19
22-16
12-22
22-23
19-9
13-27
20-24
19-24
14-26
22-14
21-26
21-19
16-23
20-21
20-16
8-15
16-27
20-22
12-19
26-21
30-17
26-22
18-18
14-22
19-18
21-15
26-22
16-21
25-25
159.9Avg total
79.2Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.380.7165.0+3.767%
Season at home (1)77.080.0157.0-3.00%
Season away (2)88.081.0169.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.280.7159.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)79.480.6160.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.681.9156.6-7.322%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.672.3146.9+2.267%
vs Weaker (3)86.375.0161.3+11.3100%
This opponent (Tindastoll W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tindastoll WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hamar W
#10
L
72-77
72
77
-5
65avg 70
A01/03
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
L
70-95
70
95
-25
48avg 70
A05/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
84avg 70
H11/03
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
78-67
78
67
+11
64avg 70
H26/03
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
63-92
63
92
-29
44avg 70
A31/03
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
78-90
78
90
-12
68avg 70
H04/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
39avg 70
A08/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
85-99
85
99
-14
80avg 70
A30/09
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
95-92
95
92
+3
88avg 70
H08/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
55avg 70
A15/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
14-20
26-26
11-10
19-15
18-21
11-24
22-35
20-14
23-21
20-18
15-25
12-17
29-17
19-21
18-12
19-29
14-17
13-18
17-28
22-26
8-26
28-20
20-18
17-28
21-16
11-20
9-24
29-23
21-22
12-36
23-18
17-28
31-22
22-23
25-19
15-22
18-23
22-24
15-23
163.4Avg total
75.7Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.394.3177.7-11.033%
Season at home (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)77.595.5173.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)75.787.7163.4-12.030%
Last 5 (5)77.292.2169.4-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.787.4165.1-9.720%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.378.9158.3+0.453%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
Valur WTindastoll W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A01/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H05/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A09/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H13/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A19/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A26/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A01/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H07/10
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/10
Premier League W
79.8Avg total
39.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.279.0-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.880.7+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)37.140.577.6-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.579.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.080.2+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.341.879.1-4.422%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.838.077.8+1.867%-
vs Weaker (3)45.337.082.3+8.3100%-
This opponent (Tindastoll W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tindastoll WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamar W
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A01/03
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A05/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H11/03
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H26/03
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A31/03
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H04/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A08/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A30/09
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H08/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A15/10
Premier League W
81.6Avg total
38.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.280.4-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.240.680.9-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)38.441.680.0-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.881.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.287.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.442.481.8-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.139.979.0-0.940%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.5
48.3%
49.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.5
31.0%
31.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
76.4%13.7
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tindastoll Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tindastoll W: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.115.5
41.8%
49.5%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.110.3
30.2%
31.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.8
76.6%
76.4%12.8
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur W
WLWLLLWLWW
Tindastoll W
LWLLLLWWLL
#5
League position
#8
-2.2
Net rating
-15.6
101.7
Offensive rating
91.7
103.9
Defensive rating
107.3
47.6%
Effective FG%
43.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
20.3%
Turnover %
20.7%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.0%
3-point %
30.2%
62.9%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 91.7Defence103.9 · 107.3Shooting47.6% · 43.5%3-point %31.0% · 30.2%Ball care20.3% · 20.7%Off. rebounds37.4% · 31.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Valur W   ■ Tindastoll W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valur W wins
0
Tindastoll W wins
DateGameScore
07/01/25Valur W v Tindastoll W73-64
22/10/24Tindastoll W v Valur W65-86
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25AHamar W88-83
07/10/25HNjardvik W77-80
01/10/25AKeflavik W88-79
26/04/25AHaukar W64-79
22/04/25HHaukar W80-82
19/04/25AHaukar W66-101
13/04/25HThor AK Akureyri W75-70
09/04/25AThor AK Akureyri W60-72
05/04/25HThor AK Akureyri W102-75
01/04/25AThor AK Akureyri W92-86
Tindastoll Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25ANjardvik W70-92
08/10/25HStjarnan W95-92
30/09/25AHaukar W85-99
08/04/25AKeflavik W58-88
04/04/25HKeflavik W78-90
31/03/25AKeflavik W63-92
26/03/25HStjarnan W78-67
11/03/25HGrindavik W88-85 OT
05/03/25AAthena W70-95
01/03/25AHamar W72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game84.377.088.0
Allowed / game80.780.081.0
Point differential+3.7-3.0+7.0
Avg total165.0157.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tindastoll W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game83.395.077.5
Allowed / game94.392.095.5
Point differential-11.0+3.0-18.0
Avg total177.7187.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik W440100%84.866.8+18.0
2 Njardvik W43175%83.875.0+8.8
3 KR Reykjavik W43175%77.873.5+4.2
4 Keflavik W32167%94.085.3+8.7
5 Haukar W32167%86.380.0+6.3
6 Valur W32167%84.380.7+3.7
7 Tindastoll W31233%83.394.3-11.0
8 Armann W41325%69.083.8-14.8
9 Hamar W4040%79.889.2-9.5
10 Stjarnan W4040%70.583.0-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur W2414162478
Tindastoll W2314172175
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