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Vardar vs Gostivar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-90
15-25 12-20 27-20 21-25
Position#10
Record3-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#9
Record3-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game78.9
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 8· SRC Kale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vardar v Gostivar
18 Nov 2023
VARD75
GOST90
24 Mar 2021
VARD105
GOST106
02 Nov 2019
VARD55
GOST86
24 Nov 2018
VARD80
GOST82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gostivar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Kumanovo
#5
L
78-112
78
112
-34
no box
A07/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
A11/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H13/05
Superleague
Ohrid
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 66
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
68avg 66
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
64-88
64
88
-24
51avg 66
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
76-100
76
100
-24
54avg 66
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
68-119
68
119
-51
52avg 66
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
102-91
102
91
+11
102avg 66
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
57-78
57
78
-21
46avg 66
A11/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
25-23
17-30
9-37
20-27
23-19
17-21
18-18
–
–
–
–
13-21
21-21
22-20
34-21
12-18
20-14
23-18
25-21
8-27
19-23
22-22
15-16
19-20
18-31
20-31
19-18
24-30
10-30
21-30
13-29
23-27
24-23
24-23
31-18
9-20
19-25
18-20
11-13
154.0Avg total
69.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.790.0166.7-13.343%
Season at home (4)81.095.2176.2-14.250%
Season away (3)71.083.0154.0-12.033%
Last 10 (10)69.384.7154.0-15.430%
Last 5 (5)73.495.2168.6-21.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.290.1162.3-17.912%
vs Similar (4)87.278.5165.8+8.8100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gostivar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GostivarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGostivar
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#5
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H29/04
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#5
L
53-80
53
80
-27
no box
A04/05
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
no box
H07/05
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
W
75-68
75
68
+7
34avg 59
H01/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
59-85
59
85
-26
47avg 59
A04/10
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
67-106
67
106
-39
55avg 59
H15/10
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
84avg 59
A22/10
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
63-66
63
66
-3
54avg 59
H28/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
70-79
70
79
-9
58avg 59
A04/11
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 59
H11/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
17-12
20-14
15-18
11-21
10-22
16-20
16-17
13-25
21-17
17-11
12-24
16-18
25-17
20-19
14-14
16-17
12-19
9-23
22-26
22-24
15-29
17-21
13-32
24-13
19-21
27-21
17-9
18-19
14-13
17-19
14-15
15-13
18-27
17-27
20-12
16-24
20-20
31-21
22-19
148.0Avg total
70.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.978.9151.7-6.043%
Season at home (4)73.581.0154.5-7.550%
Season away (3)72.076.0148.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)70.277.8148.0-7.640%
Last 5 (5)75.279.8155.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.382.6154.9-10.338%
vs Similar (7)85.683.3168.9+2.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.476.1163.6+11.389%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
VardarGostivar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumanovo
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A07/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A11/05
Superleague
Ohrid
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A11/11
Prva Liga
83.9Avg total
37.1Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.144.482.5-6.328%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.845.585.3-5.736%-
Last 30 away (15)36.543.479.9-6.920%-
Last 10 (9)37.146.883.9-9.711%-
Last 5 (5)34.651.285.8-16.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.644.982.4-7.328%-
vs Similar (4)41.241.582.8-0.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gostivar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GostivarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H29/04
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#5
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A04/05
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H07/05
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H01/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A04/10
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H15/10
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/10
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H28/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/11
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H11/11
Prva Liga
74.2Avg total
34.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.680.6-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.438.879.1+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)37.544.982.4-7.429%-
Last 10 (10)34.639.674.2-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.676.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.843.578.2-8.715%-
vs Similar (7)39.943.183.0-3.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.438.483.9+7.078%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.0
47.9%
53.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.1
31.5%
32.2%24.4
🏀 Free throws22.715.7
69.2%
70.3%15.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gostivartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gostivar: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.7
52.4%
53.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.6
26.9%
32.2%16.7
🏀 Free throws18.312.1
66.4%
70.3%12.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vardar
LWLLLWWLLL
Gostivar
WLLWLLWLLW
#10
League position
#9
-15.6
Net rating
-8.4
93.5
Offensive rating
96.1
109.1
Defensive rating
104.4
47.6%
Effective FG%
48.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
20.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.5%
3-point %
26.9%
58.5%
Assist %
55.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 96.1Defence109.1 · 104.4Shooting47.6% · 48.4%3-point %31.5% · 26.9%Ball care20.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds22.3% · 22.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Vardar   ■ Gostivar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vardar wins
6
Gostivar wins
DateGameScore
24/03/21Vardar v Gostivar105-106
19/12/20Gostivar v Vardar91-53
25/01/20Gostivar v Vardar77-68
02/11/19Vardar v Gostivar55-86
19/03/19Gostivar v Vardar99-66
24/11/18Vardar v Gostivar80-82
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23AKozuv57-78
05/11/23HFMP Akademija102-91
28/10/23HRabotnicki68-119
21/10/23ACair 203076-100
14/10/23HTFT Skopje64-88
09/10/23AFeniks 201080-71
30/09/23HOhrid90-83
13/05/21HMZT Skopje 20-20
11/05/21AMZT Skopje 278-85
07/05/21AKumanovo78-112
Gostivarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HCair 203089-84
04/11/23ATFT Skopje70-79
28/10/23HFeniks 201063-66
22/10/23AOhrid87-64
15/10/23HTikvesh67-106
04/10/23AMZT Skopje59-85
01/10/23HPelister75-68
07/05/23HRabotnicki63-77
04/05/23ARabotnicki53-80
29/04/23HRabotnicki76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game76.781.071.0
Allowed / game90.095.283.0
Point differential-13.3-14.2-12.0
Avg total166.7176.2154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gostivar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game72.973.572.0
Allowed / game78.981.076.0
Point differential-6.0-7.5-4.0
Avg total151.7154.5148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje76186%79.665.9+13.7
2 Tikvesh75271%85.066.3+18.7
3 Pelister75271%81.171.1+10.0
4 Cair 203075271%88.779.1+9.6
5 TFT Skopje75271%72.468.4+4.0
6 Rabotnicki85362%84.970.9+14.0
7 Feniks 201073443%78.679.3-0.7
8 Gostivar73443%72.978.9-6.0
9 Vardar73443%76.790.0-13.3
10 Kozuv82625%76.679.1-2.5
11 FMP Akademija81712%75.095.9-20.9
12 Ohrid81712%67.990.0-22.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vardar1512272175
Gostivar2520202590
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