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Varese vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-63
27-17 15-21 23-10 29-15
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game76.5
Varese 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record5-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2015
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#15
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H08/11
Lega A
Sodertalje
#29
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#9
L
63-89
63
89
-26
A15/11
Lega A
Oostende
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A18/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H22/11
Lega A
Szombathely
#46
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A25/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A29/11
Lega A
Sodertalje
#29
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H02/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#3
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H07/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A13/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
16-23
27-15
24-21
13-28
25-25
23-18
25-19
17-22
15-19
19-23
12-25
31-22
21-22
15-19
18-16
23-26
29-10
13-22
17-17
23-21
11-15
18-21
21-18
19-13
14-14
20-25
21-28
23-21
18-20
20-14
15-6
22-31
24-24
13-20
22-18
15-11
18-18
16-12
16-26
156.4Avg total
77.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.276.5158.7+5.750%
Season at home (3)83.071.7154.7+11.367%
Season away (3)81.381.3162.7+0.033%
Last 10 (10)77.778.7156.4-1.040%
Last 5 (5)73.875.2149.0-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.181.7150.9-12.614%
vs Similar ◀ (19)77.277.7154.9-0.553%
vs Weaker (4)82.274.2156.5+8.050%
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#8
L
84-93
84
93
-9
H08/11
VTB United League
Kataja
#27
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Astana
#15
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
A14/11
VTB United League
MBK Komarno
#49
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H18/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#38
W
95-91
95
91
+4
H24/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bisons Loimaa
#14
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A30/11
VTB United League
Kataja
#27
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A02/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Vita Tbilisi
#16
W
94-74
94
74
+20
H05/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H10/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
48-92
48
92
-44
A13/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
22-25
28-23
13-21
27-20
22-18
16-25
17-25
21-16
14-9
26-25
16-27
31-14
22-18
18-17
27-18
27-34
32-19
23-21
13-17
18-14
20-19
18-21
17-22
17-25
32-15
21-23
16-21
16-15
29-22
23-12
26-25
16-25
28-20
17-20
28-26
19-15
7-28
9-28
13-21
169.0Avg total
84.2Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.381.0172.3+10.383%
Season at home (3)91.782.0173.7+9.767%
Season away (3)91.080.0171.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.284.8169.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)78.083.4161.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.187.6165.7-9.530%
vs Similar ◀ (4)87.288.2175.5-1.050%
vs Weaker (16)97.174.9172.0+22.288%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
VareseMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#15
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H08/11
Lega A
Sodertalje
#29
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A15/11
Lega A
Oostende
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A18/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H22/11
Lega A
Szombathely
#46
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#10
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A29/11
Lega A
Sodertalje
#29
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H02/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#3
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H07/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/12
Lega A
80.6Avg total
40.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.678.1-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.939.178.1-0.231%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.278.1-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.480.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.675.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.946.183.0-9.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.037.176.1+1.947%-
vs Weaker (4)38.540.278.8-1.825%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H08/11
VTB United League
Kataja
#27
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Astana
#15
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A14/11
VTB United League
MBK Komarno
#49
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H18/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#38
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H24/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bisons Loimaa
#14
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A30/11
VTB United League
Kataja
#27
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A02/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Vita Tbilisi
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H05/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H10/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A13/12
VTB United League
83.6Avg total
44.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.437.181.5+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.339.485.6+6.971%-
Last 30 away (16)42.835.177.9+7.681%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.583.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.680.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.941.582.4-0.650%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.539.578.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (16)48.133.881.8+14.3100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
Minsk wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/15APistoia65-67
07/12/15HAvellino81-93
02/12/15HSodertalje76-61
29/11/15ABrindisi74-80
25/11/15ASzombathely73-75
22/11/15HVirtus Bologna82-75
18/11/15AOostende85-79
15/11/15ATrento63-89
11/11/15ASodertalje86-90
08/11/15HTorino92-78
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/15ACSKA Moscow48-92
10/12/15HEnisey89-91
05/12/15HVita Tbilisi94-74
02/12/15AKataja86-84
30/11/15ABisons Loimaa73-76
24/11/15HRilski Sportist95-91
18/11/15HMBK Komarno98-67
14/11/15AAstana93-92 OT
11/11/15HKataja82-88
08/11/15HNymburk84-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2015
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.283.081.3
Allowed / game76.571.781.3
Point differential+5.7+11.3+0.0
Avg total158.7154.7162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minsk
FIBA Europe Cup 2015
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game91.391.791.0
Allowed / game81.082.080.0
Point differential+10.3+9.7+11.0
Avg total172.3173.7171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom770100%93.070.3+22.7
2 Khimik770100%79.663.9+15.7
3 Antwerp Giants770100%84.771.6+13.1
4 Frankfurt770100%77.064.1+12.9
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%87.070.7+16.3
6 Chalon/Saone76186%86.672.1+14.4
7 Bakken Bears76186%76.667.6+9.0
8 Ventspils76186%83.776.3+7.4
9 Minsk65183%91.381.0+10.3
10 Nymburk75271%90.162.7+27.4
11 Gaziantep75271%76.465.3+11.1
12 Oostende75271%81.072.3+8.7
13 ASC Targu Jiu75271%83.377.3+6.0
14 KK Krka Novo mesto75271%76.971.3+5.6
15 Le Havre75271%78.773.6+5.1
16 Enisey64267%77.275.3+1.8
17 HydroTruck Radom74357%80.973.4+7.4
18 Belfius Mons74357%80.975.0+5.9
19 Maccabi Rishon74357%76.173.1+3.0
20 Kataja74357%85.483.0+2.4
21 Gussing Knights74357%76.976.9+0.0
22 Cibona74357%78.080.1-2.1
23 Academic74357%75.979.9-4.0
24 Slask Wroclaw74357%73.779.7-6.0
25 Varese63350%82.276.5+5.7
26 Siauliai63350%84.781.5+3.2
27 Cantu63350%83.780.7+3.0
28 AEK Larnaca73443%79.775.7+4.0
29 Juventus73443%77.373.4+3.9
30 Tartu Ulikool73443%69.169.7-0.6
31 Pieno Zvaigzdes73443%81.084.4-3.4
32 Sodertalje73443%71.776.3-4.6
33 Boras73443%80.085.4-5.4
34 Benfica62433%77.874.5+3.3
35 FC Porto62433%71.871.0+0.8
36 Tajfun Sentjur62433%73.375.3-2.0
37 Den Bosch62433%70.274.8-4.7
38 Kapfenberg Bulls62433%76.281.2-5.0
39 Rilski Sportist62433%83.789.5-5.8
40 Turow Zgorzelec62433%75.781.5-5.8
41 Astana62433%76.383.0-6.7
42 Z-Mobile Prishtina62433%74.281.3-7.2
43 Kormend62433%73.883.2-9.3
44 Zlatorog Lasko62433%71.781.0-9.3
45 Donar Groningen62433%69.079.5-10.5
46 Szombathely62433%69.280.5-11.3
47 Helios Domzale61517%71.576.3-4.8
48 Kumanovo61517%77.386.0-8.7
49 MBK Komarno61517%76.786.7-10.0
50 Soproni KC61517%68.280.0-11.8
51 Inter Bratislava61517%78.390.8-12.5
52 KTP Kotka Basket61517%71.394.5-23.2
53 BC Kalev/Cramo6060%76.280.8-4.7
54 Leiden6060%58.575.2-16.7
55 ETHA Engomi6060%62.885.8-23.0
56 Hibernia6060%57.598.0-40.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 56 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2715232994
Minsk1721101563
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