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Varese vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 81-93
22-31 24-24 13-20 22-18
Position#8
Record4-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#3
Record3-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game80.1
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2015-16
Meetings · Varese v Avellino
11 Nov 2018
VAR79
AVE83
18 Mar 2018
VAR82
AVE75
06 Nov 2016
VAR77
AVE79
07 Dec 2015
VAR81
AVE93
10 May 2015
VAR66
AVE73
03 Nov 2013
VAR85
AVE68
06 Oct 2012
VAR91
AVE83
11 Jan 2012
VAR94
AVE78
30 Jan 2011
VAR83
AVE85
08 Nov 2009
VAR74
AVE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A01/11
Lega A
Szombathely
#46
W
94-71
94
71
+23
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#15
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H08/11
Lega A
Sodertalje
#29
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#9
L
63-89
63
89
-26
A15/11
Lega A
Oostende
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A18/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H22/11
Lega A
Szombathely
#46
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A25/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A29/11
Lega A
Sodertalje
#29
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H02/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-8
24-25
12-17
12-12
16-17
25-14
29-19
24-21
25-19
16-23
27-15
24-21
13-28
25-25
23-18
25-19
17-22
15-19
19-23
12-25
31-22
21-22
15-19
18-16
23-26
29-10
13-22
17-17
23-21
11-15
18-21
21-18
19-13
14-14
20-25
21-28
23-21
18-20
20-14
15-6
155.1Avg total
79.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.077.7149.7-5.744%
Season at home (5)76.675.6152.2+1.060%
Season away (4)66.280.2146.5-14.025%
Last 10 (10)79.176.0155.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)78.074.0152.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)67.279.8147.0-12.717%
vs Similar (19)78.279.0157.2-0.853%
vs Weaker (5)79.875.4155.2+4.440%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A10/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H04/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
60-83
60
83
-23
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A25/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H01/11
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A15/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
H22/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A28/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
25-20
21-19
7-7
22-16
14-18
23-13
18-26
15-22
15-18
21-16
17-31
14-20
17-19
17-25
12-19
28-17
13-24
10-18
19-17
22-26
14-14
22-11
21-15
22-23
28-25
25-21
13-21
26-20
16-24
28-19
12-21
19-13
21-22
17-16
16-22
11-19
20-26
20-15
15-21
153.3Avg total
74.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.880.1154.9-5.333%
Season at home (5)77.478.6156.0-1.260%
Season away (4)71.582.0153.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)74.678.7153.3-4.140%
Last 5 (5)79.680.4160.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.888.2161.0-15.50%
vs Similar (20)76.879.8156.6-3.035%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)74.674.6149.2+0.060%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -5.0-5.0
VareseAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A01/11
Lega A
Szombathely
#46
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#15
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H08/11
Lega A
Sodertalje
#29
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A15/11
Lega A
Oostende
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A18/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H22/11
Lega A
Szombathely
#46
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#10
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A29/11
Lega A
Sodertalje
#29
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H02/12
FIBA Europe Cup
79.0Avg total
40.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.778.2-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.638.176.7+0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)38.441.680.0-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.479.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.879.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.344.780.0-9.317%-
vs Similar (19)39.438.177.5+1.342%-
vs Weaker (5)39.039.878.8-0.840%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A10/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H04/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A25/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/11
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A15/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A28/11
Lega A
78.8Avg total
38.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.577.8-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.738.677.3+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.278.2-2.325%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.678.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.482.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.244.281.5-7.00%-
vs Similar (20)39.839.279.0+0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)35.238.273.4-3.040%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
10/05/15Varese v Avellino66-73
11/01/15Avellino v Varese67-91
16/02/14Avellino v Varese83-63
03/11/13Varese v Avellino85-68
27/01/13Avellino v Varese82-83 OT
06/10/12Varese v Avellino91-83
02/05/12Avellino v Varese78-77
11/01/12Varese v Avellino94-78
30/01/11Varese v Avellino83-85
24/10/10Avellino v Varese85-69
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/15HSodertalje76-61
29/11/15ABrindisi74-80
25/11/15ASzombathely73-75
22/11/15HVirtus Bologna82-75
18/11/15AOostende85-79
15/11/15ATrento63-89
11/11/15ASodertalje86-90
08/11/15HTorino92-78
04/11/15HSzombathely94-71
01/11/15ACapo d'Orlando66-62
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/15AVirtus Bologna66-81
22/11/15HBrindisi83-81 OT
15/11/15ACantu82-84
09/11/15HSassari88-90
01/11/15HTrento79-66
25/10/15APistoia70-76
19/10/15HOlimpia Milano60-83
11/10/15AReggiana68-87
04/10/15HPesaro77-73
10/05/15AVarese73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game72.076.666.2
Allowed / game77.775.680.2
Point differential-5.7+1.0-14.0
Avg total149.7152.2146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game74.877.471.5
Allowed / game80.178.682.0
Point differential-5.3-1.2-10.5
Avg total154.9156.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano107370%82.271.0+11.2
2 Reggiana107370%79.273.5+5.7
3 Trento107370%78.073.7+4.3
4 Cremona107370%75.772.2+3.5
5 Pistoia107370%79.978.6+1.3
6 Sassari106460%85.080.9+4.1
7 Brindisi106460%82.278.8+3.4
8 Venezia106460%77.774.8+2.9
9 Varese94544%72.077.7-5.7
10 Caserta104640%70.571.6-1.1
11 Cantu104640%83.285.0-1.8
12 Capo d'Orlando104640%68.370.4-2.1
13 Avellino93633%74.880.1-5.3
14 Virtus Bologna103730%71.877.5-5.7
15 Pesaro102820%73.380.1-6.8
16 Torino102820%75.384.3-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2224132281
Avellino3124201893
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