Vechta vs Ulm Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 14 Apr 2020

Tip-off: 18:30

Postponed

Position#9

Record12-9

FormLWLWL

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game81.8

Vechta

Form · last 5 games

5.0/10

Around normal

5.7/10

Above normal

Ulm

Position#6

Record10-10

FormWLLWL

Points / game87.4

Allowed / game85.5

BBLRound 29

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Vechta v Ulm

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vechta win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Ulm win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vechta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

s.Oliver Wurzburg

89-87

H27/12

BBL

Hamburg

#17

79-72

A29/12

BBL

Bayern

68-76

-8

H05/01

BBL

Bamberg

86-85

A19/01

BBL

Frankfurt

#14

73-65

H26/01

BBL

Ludwigsburg

78-85

-7

A01/02

BBL

Bamberg

80-66

+14

H08/02

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

87-88

-1

A12/02

BBL

Giessen

#13

73-72

H29/02

BBL

Oldenburg

76-83

-7

A08/03

BBL

15-16

32-17

23-34

19-20

12-21

30-15

16-24

21-12

16-27

17-10

9-18

26-21

13-21

22-16

18-22

33-26

11-8

23-20

20-24

19-13

14-23

14-24

21-16

29-22

22-21

14-16

28-10

16-19

22-30

19-20

23-17

23-21

21-26

21-14

18-18

13-14

19-24

9-20

21-16

27-23

156.8Avg total

78.9Scored

77.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	80.7	81.8	162.5	-1.1	57%
Season at home (11)	81.5	78.9	160.5	+2.6	73%
Season away (10)	79.8	85.0	164.8	-5.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	77.9	156.8	+1.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	78.8	157.6	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	77.3	84.2	161.6	-6.9	44%
vs Similar (11)	85.3	85.1	170.4	+0.2	64%
vs Weaker (10)	89.9	82.2	172.1	+7.7	70%

This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ulm

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oldenburg

104-91

104

+13

A08/12

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

96-80

+16

H21/12

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

79-91

-12

A29/12

BBL

Bonn

#15

85-73

+12

H05/01

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

103-93

103

+10

H17/01

BBL

Gottingen

#11

86-65

+21

A25/01

BBL

Alba Berlin

106-112 OT

106

112

-6

H11/02

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#10

98-103

103

-5

H14/02

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

85-69

+16

A29/02

BBL

Ludwigsburg

76-94

-18

H08/03

BBL

21-24

32-26

19-22

32-19

22-17

29-16

23-28

22-19

18-12

18-34

34-16

9-29

19-15

29-20

15-24

22-14

25-20

23-23

27-27

28-23

26-21

32-14

15-16

13-14

25-34

29-19

20-22

22-21

27-25

17-32

31-24

23-22

19-18

17-20

23-11

26-20

23-21

18-32

21-15

14-26

178.9Avg total

91.8Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	87.4	85.5	172.9	+2.0	50%
Season at home (10)	89.5	84.6	174.1	+4.9	50%
Season away (10)	85.3	86.3	171.6	-1.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	91.8	87.1	178.9	+4.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	88.6	178.8	+1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	80.5	98.0	178.5	-17.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	87.9	89.6	177.4	-1.7	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	88.6	79.1	167.8	+9.5	71%

This opponent (Vechta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VechtaUlm

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.2	41.9	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	24.2	42.9	-5.5	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	21.7	38.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.8	44.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.9	23.3	40.2	-6.4	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.7	23.1	43.8	-2.4	18%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	21.6	43.3	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.7	43.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.8	47.8	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.0	24.5	45.5	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.9	22.9	43.7	-2.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.6	18.4	41.1	+4.2	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.5	41.6	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	18.2	40.6	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.2	37.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.8	34.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.4	56%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.3	19.8	42.1	+2.5	73%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.9	19.2	42.1	+3.7	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	22.3	45.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	21.4	44.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.2	23.1	46.3	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	23.6	48.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	23.4	46.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.1	25.4	48.6	-2.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.5	21.1	44.6	+2.4	53%	-

VechtaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

s.Oliver Wurzburg

47-33

+14

H27/12

BBL

Hamburg

#17

42-36

A29/12

BBL

Bayern

33-37

-4

H05/01

BBL

Bamberg

35-37

-2

A19/01

BBL

Frankfurt

#14

34-28

H26/01

BBL

Ludwigsburg

28-47

-19

A01/02

BBL

Bamberg

36-37

-1

H08/02

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

41-50

-9

A12/02

BBL

Giessen

#13

42-40

H29/02

BBL

Oldenburg

28-44

-16

A08/03

BBL

75.5Avg total

36.6Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	41.7	83.4	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	38.8	81.5	+4.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.5	45.1	85.6	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	38.9	75.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	43.6	78.6	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	37.8	42.8	80.6	-5.0	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	43.0	42.9	85.9	+0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.8	39.5	83.3	+4.3	70%	-

This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oldenburg

53-50

A08/12

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

51-33

+18

H21/12

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

36-46

-10

A29/12

BBL

Bonn

#15

48-35

+13

H05/01

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

48-43

H17/01

BBL

Gottingen

#11

58-35

+23

A25/01

BBL

Alba Berlin

54-53

H11/02

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#10

44-57

-13

H14/02

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

36-38

-2

A29/02

BBL

Ludwigsburg

41-53

-12

H08/03

BBL

91.2Avg total

46.9Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	43.0	88.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	41.0	86.6	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.9	44.7	89.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	44.3	91.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	47.2	93.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	44.2	46.5	90.7	-2.3	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	44.0	48.3	92.3	-4.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	46.1	39.5	85.6	+6.6	76%	-

This opponent (Vechta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	22.2	42.3	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	22.1	43.6	-0.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	22.2	40.9	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	15.4	37.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	27%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	23.7	45.7	-1.7	30%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.8	41.3	-0.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.8	42.7	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.3	24.7	43.0	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	35%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.0	42.5	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	18.9	41.2	+3.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	21.1	44.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	56%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.5	20.2	41.6	+1.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.1	19.0	43.1	+5.1	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.8	41.1	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	21.4	40.9	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.3	24.2	40.5	-7.8	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.0	21.1	44.1	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	42.1	84.9	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	41.1	84.8	+2.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	43.4	84.9	-1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	39.0	81.3	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	35.2	79.0	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	39.6	41.4	81.0	-1.9	44%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.3	42.2	84.5	+0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	46.1	42.7	88.8	+3.4	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	41.5	82.5	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.2	41.9	84.1	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	41.2	81.1	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	41.2	85.1	+2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	38.2	79.8	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.7	48.8	83.5	-14.2	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.4	40.0	82.4	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	42.5	39.6	82.1	+2.9	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vechtatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀25%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	19.1	48.1%	54.1%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.1	7.6	36.0%	33.9%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	24.8	19.8	79.8%	73.6%	19.8

They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	15.7	45.5%	54.1%	31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.6	36.5%	33.9%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	22.3	17.5	78.5%	73.6%	17.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	19.3	47.9%	54.1%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.7	7.8	35.9%	33.9%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	24.0	19.2	80.0%	73.6%	19.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	17.5	48.9%	54.1%	35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.6	37.0%	33.9%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	21.5	16.1	74.6%	73.6%	16.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vechta wins

Ulm wins

Date	Game	Score
24/09/19	Ulm v Vechta	84-62
12/05/19	Ulm v Vechta	98-94
14/12/18	Vechta v Ulm	80-81
04/03/17	Ulm v Vechta	75-70
17/12/16	Vechta v Ulm	85-95
15/03/14	Ulm v Vechta	86-67
07/12/13	Vechta v Ulm	84-92

Vechtalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	A	Oldenburg	76-83
29/02/20	H	Giessen	73-72
12/02/20	A	Syntainics MBC	87-88
08/02/20	H	Bamberg	80-66
01/02/20	A	Ludwigsburg	78-85
26/01/20	H	Frankfurt	73-65
19/01/20	A	Bamberg	86-85
05/01/20	H	Bayern	68-76
29/12/19	A	Hamburg	79-72
27/12/19	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	89-87

Ulmlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	H	Ludwigsburg	76-94
29/02/20	A	Bayreuth	85-69
14/02/20	H	Basketball Braunschweig	98-103
11/02/20	H	Alba Berlin	106-112 OT
25/01/20	A	Gottingen	86-65
17/01/20	H	Bayreuth	103-93
05/01/20	H	Bonn	85-73
29/12/19	A	Crailsheim Merlins	79-91
21/12/19	H	Syntainics MBC	96-80
08/12/19	A	Oldenburg	104-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vechta

BBL 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	57%
Home	WLWWW	73%
Away	WWLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	57%	73%	40%
Points / game	80.7	81.5	79.8
Allowed / game	81.8	78.9	85.0
Point differential	-1.1	+2.6	-5.2
Avg total	162.5	160.5	164.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	18%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	71% (7)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ulm

BBL 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	50%
Home	WWLLL	50%
Away	WWLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	87.4	89.5	85.3
Allowed / game	85.5	84.6	86.3
Point differential	+1.9	+4.9	-1.0
Avg total	172.8	174.1	171.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	50%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	21	19	2	90%	85.1	74.0	+11.1
2	Ludwigsburg	21	17	4	81%	86.5	78.8	+7.7
3	Alba Berlin	19	14	5	74%	93.4	81.6	+11.7
4	Crailsheim Merlins	21	15	6	71%	90.0	84.4	+5.6
5	Oldenburg	20	13	7	65%	84.3	83.2	+1.2
6	Bamberg	21	12	9	57%	82.6	78.5	+4.1
7	Vechta	21	12	9	57%	80.7	81.8	-1.1
8	s.Oliver Wurzburg	21	11	10	52%	83.6	85.0	-1.4
9	Gottingen	21	11	10	52%	82.2	85.1	-2.9
10	Ulm	20	10	10	50%	87.4	85.5	+1.9
11	Basketball Braunschweig	20	9	11	45%	89.5	91.5	-2.0
12	Bayreuth	21	9	12	43%	86.2	86.2	+0.0
13	Giessen	20	6	14	30%	84.7	89.2	-4.5
14	Frankfurt	21	6	15	29%	75.2	80.6	-5.4
15	Bonn	20	4	16	20%	84.3	91.2	-6.8
16	Syntainics MBC	20	3	17	15%	89.5	97.5	-7.9
17	Hamburg	20	3	17	15%	81.2	92.8	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Vechta vs Ulm Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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