VEF Riga vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 87-61

26-17 22-18 18-14 21-12

Position#1

Record2-2

FormLWLLW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game69.5

VEF Riga 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#2

Record5-3

FormWLWWL

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game73.6

LBLLBL - Semi-finals· Arena Riga

Other2022-23

Meetings · VEF Riga v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF Riga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Viimsi

102-78

102

+24

A15/03

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

75-67

H18/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Rapla

77-54

+23

H24/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Rapla

94-89

A28/03

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

83-65

+18

A07/04

Latvia-Estonian League

Prometey

62-77

-15

A08/04

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Liepaja

79-64

+15

H20/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

71-76

-5

A23/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

75-78

-3

H26/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

92-60

+32

A28/04

LBL

28-17

28-22

24-22

22-17

14-19

22-14

16-17

23-17

26-9

13-13

23-18

15-14

30-14

17-23

19-26

28-26

14-11

20-22

25-13

24-19

21-20

16-24

14-22

11-11

21-20

24-13

19-15

15-16

14-14

19-28

18-14

20-20

16-22

17-17

18-22

24-17

24-11

23-11

25-20

20-18

151.8Avg total

81.0Scored

70.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	79.2	69.5	148.8	+9.8	50%
Season at home (2)	77.0	71.0	148.0	+6.0	50%
Season away (2)	81.5	68.0	149.5	+13.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	70.8	151.8	+10.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	71.0	146.8	+4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	71.5	83.8	155.2	-12.2	0%
vs Similar (2)	87.0	66.0	153.0	+21.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	84.2	67.2	151.4	+17.0	83%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Parnu

102-98 OT

102

H11/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

#13

78-86

-8

A19/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

93-65

+28

H06/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

67-82

-15

A10/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

84-71

+13

H13/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

71-54

+17

A15/04

LBL

VEF Riga

64-79

-15

A20/04

LBL

VEF Riga

76-71

H23/04

LBL

VEF Riga

78-75

A26/04

LBL

VEF Riga

60-92

-32

H28/04

LBL

20-18

26-29

20-18

21-22

24-28

20-17

18-21

16-20

27-12

26-20

21-18

19-15

20-21

13-22

19-17

15-22

20-16

24-15

21-19

19-21

24-17

20-12

14-17

13-8

20-21

13-24

15-19

16-15

14-14

28-19

14-18

20-20

22-16

17-17

22-18

17-24

11-24

11-23

20-25

18-20

154.6Avg total

77.3Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	74.1	73.6	147.8	+0.5	62%
Season at home (4)	78.2	74.8	153.0	+3.5	75%
Season away (4)	70.0	72.5	142.5	-2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	77.3	154.6	+0.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	74.2	144.0	-4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	71.4	84.3	155.7	-12.8	28%
vs Similar (5)	84.6	85.4	170.0	-0.8	40%
vs Weaker (7)	79.6	70.9	150.4	+8.7	86%

This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VEF RigaBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	17.4	38.7	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	18.3	39.9	+3.4	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	15.7	36.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	23.2	42.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.5	15.0	37.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.5	16.6	38.1	+5.0	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.4	40.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.7	41.4	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.1	21.6	39.6	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.8	21.8	46.6	+3.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.0	16.6	39.6	+6.4	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	15.5	36.5	+5.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	20.5	40.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.1	16.5	37.6	+4.6	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.2	40.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	21.1	38.9	-3.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	57%	-

VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Viimsi

56-39

+17

A15/03

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

36-33

H18/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Rapla

39-22

+17

H24/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Rapla

47-37

+10

A28/03

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

34-33

A07/04

Latvia-Estonian League

Prometey

37-44

-7

A08/04

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Liepaja

45-33

+12

H20/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

33-42

-9

A23/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

33-39

-6

H26/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

47-22

+25

A28/04

LBL

75.1Avg total

40.7Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	34.4	76.7	+7.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	31.9	74.0	+10.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.6	36.9	79.5	+5.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	34.4	75.1	+6.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.8	43.8	83.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	43.5	31.5	75.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	42.7	33.1	75.8	+9.6	75%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Parnu

46-47

-1

H11/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

#13

44-45

-1

A19/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

53-32

+21

H06/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

33-43

-10

A10/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

44-31

+13

H13/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

44-29

+15

A15/04

LBL

VEF Riga

33-45

-12

A20/04

LBL

VEF Riga

42-33

H23/04

LBL

VEF Riga

39-33

A26/04

LBL

VEF Riga

22-47

-25

H28/04

LBL

78.5Avg total

40.0Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	41.1	80.5	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	39.6	80.7	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	42.8	80.2	-5.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	38.5	78.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	37.4	73.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	36.4	43.6	80.0	-7.1	22%	-
vs Similar (5)	45.4	41.6	87.0	+3.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.7	34.3	77.0	+8.4	86%	-

This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.5	37.7	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.2	37.9	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	19.5	38.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.6	37.5	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	19.7	37.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.4	20.1	36.4	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	16.7	35.9	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.5	37.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.4	34.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	12.5	20.5	33.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.3	16.8	38.1	+4.6	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.3	19.6	34.9	-4.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.7	36.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.4	34.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.3	19.5	36.8	-2.2	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.2	25.2	42.4	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.7	17.6	35.3	+0.1	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	34.9	75.3	+5.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	33.9	73.8	+6.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	36.0	76.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	36.4	76.7	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	35.0	71.8	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.8	40.0	71.8	-8.2	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	43.5	34.5	78.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	41.5	34.1	75.7	+7.4	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	39.6	74.9	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.1	40.0	77.1	-2.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.4	39.1	72.4	-5.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	37.7	73.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	36.8	70.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	33.7	39.6	73.2	-5.9	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.2	43.8	83.0	-4.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	36.9	36.6	73.4	+0.3	43%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 68.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀39%

🏀🏀🏀45%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	27.0	13.5	50.0%	-	27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.3	34.0%	-	30.9
🏀 Free throws	15.5	11.0	71.0%	-	11.0

They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	19.6	51.7%	-	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.0	36.6%	-	27.0
🏀 Free throws	15.2	10.8	71.1%	-	10.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.2	15.4	49.3%	-	30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	9.9	34.5%	-	29.6
🏀 Free throws	15.1	10.6	70.2%	-	10.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	19.1	49.6%	-	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	8.8	36.8%	-	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.4	72.5%	-	11.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

VEF Riga wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
28/04/23	BK Liepaja v VEF Riga	60-92
26/04/23	VEF Riga v BK Liepaja	75-78
23/04/23	BK Liepaja v VEF Riga	76-71
20/04/23	VEF Riga v BK Liepaja	79-64
27/12/22	VEF Riga v BK Liepaja	81-76
30/09/22	BK Liepaja v VEF Riga	98-93
05/02/22	VEF Riga v BK Liepaja	102-71
30/10/21	BK Liepaja v VEF Riga	77-83
01/05/21	VEF Riga v BK Liepaja	101-82
28/04/21	BK Liepaja v VEF Riga	81-100

VEF Rigalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/23	A	BK Liepaja	92-60
26/04/23	H	BK Liepaja	75-78
23/04/23	A	BK Liepaja	71-76
20/04/23	H	BK Liepaja	79-64
08/04/23	A	Prometey	62-77
07/04/23	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	83-65
28/03/23	A	Rapla	94-89
24/03/23	H	Rapla	77-54
18/03/23	H	BK Ogre	75-67
15/03/23	A	Viimsi	102-78

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/23	H	VEF Riga	60-92
26/04/23	A	VEF Riga	78-75
23/04/23	H	VEF Riga	76-71
20/04/23	A	VEF Riga	64-79
15/04/23	A	Latvijas Universitate	71-54
13/04/23	H	Latvijas Universitate	84-71
10/04/23	A	Latvijas Universitate	67-82
06/04/23	H	Latvijas Universitate	93-65
19/03/23	A	Latvijas Universitate	78-86
11/03/23	H	Parnu	102-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga

LBL 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLW	50%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	79.2	77.0	81.5
Allowed / game	69.5	71.0	68.0
Point differential	+9.8	+6.0	+13.5
Avg total	148.8	148.0	149.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	62%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	LWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	75%	50%
Points / game	74.1	78.2	70.0
Allowed / game	73.6	74.8	72.5
Point differential	+0.5	+3.5	-2.5
Avg total	147.8	153.0	142.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	4	3	1	75%	88.5	78.8	+9.8
2	BK Liepaja	8	5	3	62%	74.1	73.6	+0.5
3	BK Ogre	7	4	3	57%	87.6	82.9	+4.7
4	VEF Riga	4	2	2	50%	79.2	69.5	+9.8
5	Latvijas Universitate	4	1	3	25%	68.0	78.8	-10.8
6	Valmiera Glass Via	3	0	3	0%	75.3	99.3	-24.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
VEF Riga	26	22	18	21	87
BK Liepaja	17	18	14	12	61

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VEF Riga vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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