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BK Liepaja vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 102-98 (OT)
20-18 26-29 20-18 21-22 15-11
Position#11
Record11-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#9
Record12-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League
Other2022
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Parnu
20 Jan 2027
BK L v PAR
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
BK L83
PAR90
11 Mar 2025
BK L98
PAR84
07 Dec 2023
BK L75
PAR65
11 Mar 2023
BK L102
PAR98
05 Mar 2022
BK L84
PAR70
13 Oct 2018
BK L62
PAR93
16 Nov 2016
BK L90
PAR76
05 Jan 2014
BK L70
PAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
62-89
62
89
-27
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
68-99
68
99
-31
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
55-102
55
102
-47
A15/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
19-20
29-14
12-26
16-25
23-22
12-20
7-17
24-18
10-12
15-24
21-15
16-31
16-19
19-23
11-16
27-25
21-16
20-18
15-24
22-15
20-20
21-17
22-23
20-23
19-27
11-25
18-24
10-25
16-18
11-28
18-31
15-26
27-24
10-23
15-15
22-14
23-16
20-15
18-24
157.2Avg total
72.3Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.484.2161.6-6.839%
Season at home (14)80.182.1162.1-2.050%
Season away (14)74.886.3161.1-11.529%
Last 10 (10)72.384.9157.2-12.640%
Last 5 (5)71.686.6158.2-15.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.783.4156.1-10.724%
vs Similar (5)86.284.8171.0+1.460%
vs Weaker (4)83.080.0163.0+3.075%
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
59-94
59
94
-35
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
103-80
103
80
+23
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
21-6
34-19
16-20
23-11
22-18
14-16
17-28
13-28
19-23
15-24
12-19
26-19
28-15
21-21
28-25
20-12
11-19
20-19
21-10
18-26
19-14
14-18
17-21
16-22
22-23
21-17
11-18
19-26
18-16
17-18
25-25
19-16
24-14
22-15
16-20
19-17
17-24
21-23
27-27
155.4Avg total
78.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.677.8156.4+0.746%
Season at home (13)80.974.2155.1+6.862%
Season away (13)76.281.5157.8-5.331%
Last 10 (10)78.177.3155.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)76.480.0156.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)71.383.3154.6-11.920%
vs Similar (8)74.276.4150.6-2.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.470.4162.9+22.086%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
BK LiepajaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A15/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
80.6Avg total
38.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.880.8-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.340.080.3+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)37.843.681.4-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.780.6-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.680.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.642.779.3-6.119%-
vs Similar (5)45.441.286.6+4.280%-
vs Weaker (4)44.037.881.8+6.2100%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
76.2Avg total
39.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.677.7+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.136.177.1+5.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.278.3-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.076.2+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.677.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.640.676.2-5.027%-
vs Similar (8)38.936.875.6+2.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.736.683.3+10.171%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.021.0
46.7%
53.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.09.0
45.0%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws11.09.0
81.8%
69.4%9.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BK Liepaja wins
5
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22Parnu v BK Liepaja90-58
05/03/22BK Liepaja v Parnu84-70
06/10/21Parnu v BK Liepaja79-68
27/01/19Parnu v BK Liepaja96-83
13/10/18BK Liepaja v Parnu62-93
11/01/17Parnu v BK Liepaja93-75
16/11/16BK Liepaja v Parnu90-76
25/01/14Parnu v BK Liepaja59-75
05/01/14BK Liepaja v Parnu70-64
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/23HValmiera Glass Via83-69
04/03/23HPrometey67-88
15/02/23AVentspils55-102
10/02/23HBK Ogre68-99
03/02/23AKeila KK85-75
28/01/23HBC Kalev/Cramo92-93 OT
25/01/23ATartu Ulikool62-89
21/01/23HRakvere Tarvas70-69
14/01/23ATal Tech58-84
13/01/23ATallinna Kalev83-81
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/23AVentspils84-91
04/03/23HLatvijas Universitate81-65
01/03/23ATal Tech79-85
19/02/23AViimsi70-80
14/02/23ATartu Ulikool68-79
04/02/23HValmiera Glass Via72-60
01/02/23HRakvere Tarvas103-80
28/01/23APrometey59-94
24/01/23ARapla76-73
18/01/23HKeila KK89-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW39%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%50%29%
Points / game77.480.174.8
Allowed / game84.282.186.3
Point differential-6.8-2.0-11.5
Avg total161.6162.1161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)50% (8)50% (6)
Overtime %11%7%14%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL46%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%62%31%
Points / game78.680.976.2
Allowed / game77.874.281.5
Point differential+0.7+6.8-5.3
Avg total156.4155.1157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%46%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey2827196%95.671.5+24.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2722581%86.572.8+13.7
3 VEF Riga2721678%83.269.2+14.0
4 Ventspils2819968%86.579.6+6.9
5 Tartu Ulikool29191066%80.775.6+5.1
6 Rapla29171259%79.275.1+4.2
7 BK Ogre28161257%79.477.9+1.5
8 Viimsi28151354%80.780.2+0.4
9 Parnu26121446%78.677.8+0.7
10 Tal Tech28111739%76.879.5-2.7
11 BK Liepaja28111739%77.484.2-6.8
12 Keila KK29101934%78.487.7-9.3
13 Latvijas Universitate2791833%73.377.1-3.7
14 Tallinna Kalev2752219%75.381.0-5.6
15 Valmiera Glass Via2752219%71.992.8-20.9
16 Rakvere Tarvas262248%70.794.0-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
BK Liepaja2026202115102
Parnu182918221198
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