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Balkan vs Lok. Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 94-89 (OT)
19-28 27-19 20-22 15-12 13-8
Position#1
Record30-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game77.1
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#4
Record24-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game84.2
BulgariaNBLNBL - Final· Arena Botevgrad
Other2025-26
Meetings · Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv
13 Nov 2026
BAL v LOK.
upcoming
05 Jun 2026
BAL81
LOK.80
27 May 2026
BAL94
LOK.89
25 May 2026
BAL88
LOK.73
14 Mar 2026
BAL82
LOK.90
11 Oct 2025
BAL83
LOK.80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lok. Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
67avg 86
H06/04
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
84-65
84
65
+19
75avg 86
A16/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
96-89
96
89
+7
92avg 86
A20/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
96avg 86
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
105-66
105
66
+39
107avg 86
H29/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
103-83
103
83
+20
100avg 86
A01/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
92avg 86
H09/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 86
H11/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
77-59
77
59
+18
67avg 86
A14/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 86
H25/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
22-11
9-24
27-20
15-19
19-20
22-14
28-12
27-27
24-23
22-19
23-20
27-16
29-20
19-25
18-25
24-20
22-21
26-13
33-12
20-18
26-23
34-22
23-20
26-16
21-20
15-26
29-27
27-14
19-27
14-19
20-18
19-14
16-14
13-20
29-11
19-23
24-16
23-18
22-16
166.4Avg total
89.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)91.077.1168.1+13.983%
Season at home (19)90.675.9166.5+14.789%
Season away (17)91.478.4169.8+13.076%
Last 10 (10)89.776.7166.4+13.0100%
Last 5 (5)87.876.4164.2+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)79.079.5158.5-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)93.178.0171.1+15.286%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 84
H20/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
109-94
109
94
+15
110avg 84
H25/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
74avg 84
H30/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
86-67
86
67
+19
83avg 84
A02/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 84
A10/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
65avg 84
A12/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
99-89
99
89
+10
100avg 84
H15/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
99-88
99
88
+11
97avg 84
H17/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
92-87
92
87
+5
78avg 84
A20/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
64avg 84
A25/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
14-15
15-23
21-7
23-25
32-26
31-16
23-27
14-24
22-22
26-16
17-14
25-12
26-21
17-14
18-20
19-19
23-23
22-24
15-21
15-24
17-27
21-16
22-30
20-17
26-21
27-20
26-31
22-22
31-19
28-21
18-26
24-21
26-16
17-28
25-22
23-19
16-24
18-23
16-22
170.8Avg total
86.8Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)89.984.2174.1+5.863%
Season at home (18)93.881.8175.6+12.078%
Season away (20)86.586.3172.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)86.884.0170.8+2.870%
Last 5 (5)87.689.8177.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)86.089.6175.6-3.640%
vs Similar (2)83.593.0176.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (18)95.482.6177.9+12.883%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
BalkanLok. Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H06/04
NBL
Shumen
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A16/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A20/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A01/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H09/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H25/05
NBL
83.4Avg total
44.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.439.584.9+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.737.583.3+8.280%-
Last 30 away (15)45.141.586.5+3.660%-
Last 10 (10)44.838.683.4+6.290%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.080.4+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.544.079.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.139.285.3+6.975%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H20/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H25/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H30/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A02/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A12/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H15/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H17/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A20/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A25/05
NBL
86.4Avg total
44.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.543.490.9+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.342.390.6+6.180%-
Last 30 away (15)46.744.591.1+2.260%-
Last 10 (10)44.541.986.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.086.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)43.842.586.3+1.360%-
vs Similar (2)45.547.092.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker (18)49.843.493.2+6.378%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.2
54.0%
54.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.6
36.1%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws26.020.1
77.3%
71.3%20.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.9
54.1%
54.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.5
34.9%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.316.5
77.5%
71.3%16.5
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
WWWWWWWWWW
Lok. Plovdiv
LWWWLLWWWW
#1
League position
#4
+14.1
Net rating
+3.2
99.9
Offensive rating
99.9
85.8
Defensive rating
96.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.1%
3-point %
34.9%
65.1%
Assist %
66.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 99.9Defence85.8 · 96.7Shooting54.1% · 53.4%3-point %36.1% · 34.9%Ball care15.4% · 12.4%Free throws0.41 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ Balkan   ■ Lok. Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Balkan wins
1
Lok. Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
25/05/26Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv88-73
14/03/26Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv82-90
23/12/25Lok. Plovdiv v Balkan89-94
11/10/25Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv83-80
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/26HLok. Plovdiv88-73
14/05/26ACherno More77-59
11/05/26HCherno More80-78
09/05/26HCherno More91-89
01/05/26AMinyor103-83
29/04/26HMinyor105-66
25/04/26HBotev 201293-86
20/04/26ABeroe96-89
16/04/26AShumen84-65
06/04/26HCherno More80-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/26ABalkan73-88
20/05/26ARilski Sportist92-87
17/05/26HRilski Sportist99-88
15/05/26HRilski Sportist99-89
12/05/26ARilski Sportist75-97
10/05/26ARilski Sportist79-87
02/05/26ABotev 201286-67
30/04/26HBotev 201279-76
25/04/26HMinyor109-94
20/04/26HSpartak Pleven77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %83%89%76%
Points / game91.090.691.4
Allowed / game77.175.978.4
Point differential+13.9+14.7+13.0
Avg total168.1166.5169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%47%65%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL63%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %63%78%50%
Points / game89.993.886.5
Allowed / game84.281.886.3
Point differential+5.8+12.0+0.1
Avg total174.1175.6172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan3630683%91.077.1+13.9
2 Rilski Sportist3931879%91.980.4+11.5
3 Cherno More38241463%90.182.4+7.6
4 Lok. Plovdiv38241463%89.984.2+5.8
5 Spartak Pleven33171652%82.282.0+0.2
6 Botev 201232161650%80.982.8-1.9
7 Minyor32151747%86.292.3-6.1
8 Beroe32112134%82.989.2-6.3
9 Academic Plovdiv3092130%81.287.2-6.0
10 Levski3052517%76.991.0-14.1
11 Shumen3032710%79.192.6-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Balkan192720151394
Lok. Plovdiv28192212889
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