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VEF Riga vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-64
25-18 16-12 29-13 24-21
Position#3
Record9-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#16
Record2-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game84.8
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Rimi Olimpiskais centrs (Riga)
Other2023
Meetings · VEF Riga v Tallinna Kalev
10 Dec 2023
VRI94
TALL64
13 Dec 2022
VRI93
TALL60
10 Nov 2021
VRI97
TALL51
30 Sep 2018
VRI95
TALL56
22 Jan 2011
VRI94
TALL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#15
W
96-46
96
46
+50
99avg 75
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tenerife
#7
L
55-76
55
76
-21
49avg 75
A08/11
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
84avg 75
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 75
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
81avg 75
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Cholet
#14
W
70-63
70
63
+7
64avg 75
H21/11
Champions League
Keila KK
#12
W
81-60
81
60
+21
74avg 75
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
55avg 75
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 75
A01/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tenerife
#7
W
77-72
77
72
+5
76avg 75
H05/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
27-14
19-14
30-5
19-15
17-20
10-22
9-19
28-20
15-17
24-14
18-21
26-21
19-14
19-21
21-22
22-15
22-13
16-17
25-26
18-9
15-26
15-11
22-17
18-13
28-10
17-22
18-15
13-16
7-21
19-19
27-17
39-16
27-26
16-26
23-17
19-28
20-10
21-16
17-18
150.1Avg total
80.5Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.670.4155.0+14.269%
Season at home (3)85.756.7142.3+29.0100%
Season away (10)84.374.5158.8+9.860%
Last 10 (10)80.569.6150.1+10.980%
Last 5 (5)79.870.6150.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.073.8138.8-8.825%
vs Similar (5)73.471.8145.2+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.570.1155.6+15.476%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-98
51
98
-47
33avg 57
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
50-78
50
78
-28
41avg 57
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 57
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
57avg 57
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 57
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
66-93
66
93
-27
48avg 57
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
75-83
75
83
-8
61avg 57
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
73-101
73
101
-28
61avg 57
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 57
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
91-101
91
101
-10
89avg 57
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
13-28
14-23
8-23
12-16
6-15
12-24
20-23
21-22
25-19
10-17
17-24
12-21
19-17
19-20
13-19
16-29
15-20
20-18
12-20
18-25
10-21
23-30
15-17
20-22
20-17
16-14
19-30
21-25
15-22
20-29
17-25
15-20
18-24
23-13
20-25
18-17
18-32
33-30
22-22
156.3Avg total
68.1Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.484.8154.2-15.415%
Season at home (7)74.481.9156.3-7.414%
Season away (6)63.588.2151.7-24.717%
Last 10 (10)68.188.2156.3-20.10%
Last 5 (5)76.292.0168.2-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)69.185.3154.4-16.114%
vs Similar (6)78.881.2160.0-2.317%
vs Weaker (3)91.376.3167.7+15.067%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -6.5-6.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -6.5-6.5
VEF RigaTallinna Kalev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tenerife
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/11
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Cholet
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H21/11
Champions League
Keila KK
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
66-42
66
42
+24
A01/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tenerife
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H05/12
Champions League
75.6Avg total
41.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.875.9+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.434.975.3+5.567%-
Last 30 away (18)39.936.376.3+3.661%-
Last 10 (10)41.933.775.6+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.075.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.839.274.0-4.550%-
vs Similar (5)32.440.072.4-7.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.034.177.1+8.976%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
76.4Avg total
32.8Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.340.375.6-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.139.276.3-2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)33.841.275.0-7.525%-
Last 10 (10)32.843.676.4-10.820%-
Last 5 (5)34.645.079.6-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.941.574.4-8.719%-
vs Similar (6)40.537.377.8+3.250%-
vs Weaker (3)42.037.779.7+4.367%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
50.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.9
35.9%
32.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.313.2
68.4%
70.5%13.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.616.5
43.9%
50.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.8
27.9%
32.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
70.5%13.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WWLWWWWWLW
Tallinna Kalev
LLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#16
+15.1
Net rating
-26.6
110.5
Offensive rating
88.1
95.4
Defensive rating
114.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
43.1%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
22.1%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.9%
3-point %
27.9%
69.4%
Assist %
50.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 88.1Defence95.4 · 114.7Shooting53.7% · 43.1%3-point %35.9% · 27.9%Ball care18.9% · 22.1%Off. rebounds34.7% · 27.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 0%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Tallinna Kalev
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
VEF Riga wins
0
Tallinna Kalev wins
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/23HTenerife77-72
01/12/23AValmiera Glass Via105-85
28/11/23ABC Kalev/Cramo66-73
25/11/23HKeila KK81-60
21/11/23HCholet70-63
17/11/23ARapla85-71
14/11/23ABK Liepaja85-78
11/11/23ALatvijas Universitate85-72
08/11/23ATenerife55-76
04/11/23HViimsi96-46
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HKeila KK91-101
28/11/23HRapla76-82
25/11/23ABK Ogre73-101
19/11/23HLatvijas Universitate75-83
10/11/23AVentspils66-93
09/11/23ABK Liepaja63-87
01/11/23HTartu Ulikool63-77
29/10/23HTal Tech73-82
21/10/23ARigas Zelli50-78
13/10/23ABC Kalev/Cramo51-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13310
Win %69%100%60%
Points / game84.685.784.3
Allowed / game70.456.774.5
Point differential+14.2+29.0+9.8
Avg total155.0142.3158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %15%14%17%
Points / game69.474.463.5
Allowed / game84.881.988.2
Point differential-15.4-7.4-24.7
Avg total154.2156.3151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1211192%90.669.1+21.5
2 Prometey1110191%91.668.5+23.2
3 Rigas Zelli1410471%79.569.2+10.3
4 VEF Riga139469%84.670.4+14.2
5 Ventspils139469%90.584.1+6.5
6 Tartu Ulikool138562%77.071.4+5.6
7 Tal Tech138562%80.677.8+2.8
8 BK Ogre148657%80.777.8+2.9
9 BK Liepaja137654%81.280.5+0.8
10 Keila KK146843%80.485.1-4.8
11 Parnu125742%73.275.9-2.7
12 Viimsi1551033%69.385.6-16.3
13 Rapla1541127%73.478.5-5.1
14 Valmiera Glass Via1531220%75.587.7-12.1
15 Latvijas Universitate1631319%68.686.5-17.9
16 Tallinna Kalev1321115%69.484.8-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga2516292494
Tallinna Kalev1812132164
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